Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jardine-cycle-carriage-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:347:1" rel="noopener">Jardine Cycle &amp; Carriage (JCNC SP)</a></strong>'s implied stub value is around its highest-ever level, dating back to 2004. </li>
<li>The simple ratio of JCNC/ <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/astra-international-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46:1" rel="noopener">Astra International (ASII IJ)</a></strong> is also the highest level outside the brief spikes post-Covid and during the 2008 GFC.</li>
<li>There is no apparent justification for the current valuation. And a takeover from <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jardine-matheson-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19718:1" rel="noopener">Jardine Matheson Holdings (JM SP)</a></strong> at these levels appears unrealistic. </li>
</ul>



Jardine Cycle &amp; Carriage (JCNC SP)'s implied stub value is around its highest-ever level, dating back to 2004. 
The simple ratio of JCNC/ Astra International (ASII IJ) is also the highest level outside the brief spikes post-Covid and during the 2008 GFC.
There is no apparent justification for the current valuation. And a takeover from Jardine Matheson Holdings (JM SP) at these levels appears unrealistic. 


External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Mirae Asset Securities

Mirae Asset Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Leading full-service brokerage firm in Vietnam. 

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Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Recently, HSX announced updated component securities (including change in component stocks and calculation factors) in the VN30 Index, VNDiamond Index, and VNFin Lead Index baskets.</li><li>In detail, these changes will affect the component weighting in specific baskets.</li><li>Therefore, ETFs that are replicating the respective index will also have similar structural changes in their basket of component securities on the rebalancing date. </li></ul><div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

Recently, HSX announced updated component securities (including change in component stocks and calculation factors) in the VN30 Index, VNDiamond Index, and VNFin Lead Index baskets.In detail, these changes will affect the component weighting in specific baskets.Therefore, ETFs that are replicating the respective index will also have similar structural changes in their basket of component securities on the rebalancing date. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

<ul>
<li>
<strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jardine-cycle-carriage-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:347:1" rel="noopener">Jardine Cycle &amp; Carriage (JCNC SP)</a></strong> is currently trading at a ~9% discount to NAV, around the narrowest since the post-Covid nadir in April 2020.</li>
<li>JCNC's recent results highlighted a marked improvement in its unlisted Vietnamese automotive ops. </li>
<li>Weakness in the Indonesian rupiah has taken some of the shine off <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/astra-international-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46:1" rel="noopener">Astra International (ASII IJ)</a></strong>'s strong sales growth. </li>
</ul>



Jardine Cycle &amp; Carriage (JCNC SP) is currently trading at a ~9% discount to NAV, around the narrowest since the post-Covid nadir in April 2020.
JCNC's recent results highlighted a marked improvement in its unlisted Vietnamese automotive ops. 
Weakness in the Indonesian rupiah has taken some of the shine off Astra International (ASII IJ)'s strong sales growth. 


<ul><li>According to the Vietnam Electricity Corporation (EVN), electricity consumption increased by 6.3% YoY in 4M22.</li><li>Wind power was the biggest beneficiary, with a 500% YoY increase in April 2022 and 369% YoY increase in 4M22, in terms of volume.</li><li>Solar power output grew by 53% YoY in April 2022 and 6.6% YoY in 4M22.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

According to the Vietnam Electricity Corporation (EVN), electricity consumption increased by 6.3% YoY in 4M22.Wind power was the biggest beneficiary, with a 500% YoY increase in April 2022 and 369% YoY increase in 4M22, in terms of volume.Solar power output grew by 53% YoY in April 2022 and 6.6% YoY in 4M22.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Vietnam Utilities: Strong Earnings Growth in 1Q22

Equity Bottom-Up

Refrigeration Electrical Eng / Equity Bottom-Up

Investment thesis Strong 1H21 results mainly from M&amp;A activities; not significantly affected by Covid19  Consolidated revenue for Refrigeration Electrical Engineering (REE) reached VND2,819bn, up 14.1% versus the same period in 2020, thanks to the merger of Vinh Son – Song Hinh Hydropower JSC (VSH – power segment) and TK Cong Company Limited (water segment – small scale, revenue +VND23bn).<div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

Investment thesis Strong 1H21 results mainly from M&amp;A activities; not significantly affected by Covid19  Consolidated revenue for Refrigeration Electrical Engineering (REE) reached VND2,819bn, up 14.1% versus the same period in 2020, thanks to the merger of Vinh Son – Song Hinh Hydropower JSC (VSH – power segment) and TK Cong Company Limited (water segment – small scale, revenue +VND23bn).Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Refrigeration Electrical Engineering Corporation (REE VN/ Hold)

Vietnam

Refrigeration Electrical Engineering Corporation is an electrical company. The Company manufactures, markets, and installs refrigerating systems for commercial and industrial purposes.

Refrigeration Electrical Eng (REE VN)

JCNC's Logic-Defying Valuation

There is no apparent justification for the current level. Expect Matheson to chip away at minorities. But a full-blown Offer appears unrealistic....

David Blennerhassett

ETFs Monitor in 2Q24

Recently, HSX announced updated component securities (including change in component stocks and calculation factors) in the VN30 Index, VNDiamond...

Mirae Asset Securities

JCNC Is Overstretched Vs. Astra

If you had set up the stub, I would be unwinding here. I'd look to reverse the stub as and when the current momentum reverses.

David Blennerhassett

Vietnam Utilities: Strong Earnings Growth in 1Q22

According to the Vietnam Electricity Corporation (EVN), electricity consumption increased by 6.3% YoY in 4M22. Wind power was the biggest...

Mirae Asset Securities

Refrigeration Electrical Engineering Corporation (REE VN/ Hold)

Investment thesis Strong 1H21 results mainly from M&A activities; not significantly affected by Covid19  Consolidated revenue for Refrigeration...

Mirae Asset Securities