China/Asia TMT

Shawn Yang

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Baidu delivered 4Q22 results with top line beating cons. by 3.2% and non-GAAP net income beating cons. by 13.4%. </li>
<li>We expect both its ads and AI cloud businesses to recover with accelerated pace, which could partially offset the increase of R&amp;D investment in AI related technologies.</li>
<li>Reiterate BUY rating and slightly raise TP to US$ 172 to reflect the on-track recovery and AIGC synergy. Our TP implies 17.9x PE in 2023.</li>
</ul>


Baidu delivered 4Q22 results with top line beating cons. by 3.2% and non-GAAP net income beating cons. by 13.4%. 
We expect both its ads and AI cloud businesses to recover with accelerated pace, which could partially offset the increase of R&amp;D investment in AI related technologies.
Reiterate BUY rating and slightly raise TP to US$ 172 to reflect the on-track recovery and AIGC synergy. Our TP implies 17.9x PE in 2023.


[Baidu (BIDU US) Target Price Change]: Margin Improvement Offsets R&D Increase

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Positive to PDD: Temu aired its commercial at the Super Bowl</li>
<li>Negative to FUTU: Bright Smart Securities downsizing the mainland account</li>
<li>Positive to BIDU: Updates on Baidu's ChatGPT-similar product "ERNIE Bot"</li>
</ul>


Positive to PDD: Temu aired its commercial at the Super Bowl
Negative to FUTU: Bright Smart Securities downsizing the mainland account
Positive to BIDU: Updates on Baidu's ChatGPT-similar product "ERNIE Bot"


China TMT Update(Feb.11-14): PDD, FUTU, BIDU

<ul>
<li>We estimate that Baidu’s 4Q22 top line/bottom line would miss cons. by (1.6%)/(3.1%), mostly driven by the temporal disturbance of increasing COVID cases after reopening in Dec. 2022. </li>
<li>However, we remain optimistic about 2023 outlook: 1) Baidu’s ads would be recovering quickly in 1H23 as macro improves, and 2) leading position in AIGC development gives Baidu more potential.</li>
<li>Maintain BUY rating and raise TP to US$170, implying 17.2X PE in 2023</li>
</ul>


We estimate that Baidu’s 4Q22 top line/bottom line would miss cons. by (1.6%)/(3.1%), mostly driven by the temporal disturbance of increasing COVID cases after reopening in Dec. 2022. 
However, we remain optimistic about 2023 outlook: 1) Baidu’s ads would be recovering quickly in 1H23 as macro improves, and 2) leading position in AIGC development gives Baidu more potential.
Maintain BUY rating and raise TP to US$170, implying 17.2X PE in 2023


Baidu (Bidu.US): AIGC to Bring More Potential and Empower Search Biz

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hesai-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36743:1" rel="noopener">Hesai Group (HSAI US)</a> (HSAI) raised around US$190m in its US IPO.</li>
<li>HSAI is a manufacturer of three-dimensional light detection and ranging (Lidar) solutions. It has shipped over 103,000 Lidar units from 2017 to the end of 2022.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance and valuations. In this note, we will talk about the trading updates.</li>
</ul>



Hesai Group (HSAI US) (HSAI) raised around US$190m in its US IPO.
HSAI is a manufacturer of three-dimensional light detection and ranging (Lidar) solutions. It has shipped over 103,000 Lidar units from 2017 to the end of 2022.
We have looked at the company’s past performance and valuations. In this note, we will talk about the trading updates.


Hesai Group IPO Trading - Managed to Break the Drought

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>
In Depth: What’s worrying regulators about China’s mutual fund boom
</li>
<li>
China calls balloon incident a ‘test’ for U.S. to improve relations
</li>
<li>
China stock exchanges appoint IPO review committees to clean up listings
</li>
</ul>



In Depth: What’s worrying regulators about China’s mutual fund boom


China calls balloon incident a ‘test’ for U.S. to improve relations


China stock exchanges appoint IPO review committees to clean up listings



CX Daily: What’s Worrying Regulators About China’s Mutual Fund Boom

China

Baidu, Inc. operates an Internet search engine. The Company offers algorithmic search, enterprise search, news, MP3, and image searches, voice assistance, online storage, and navigation services. Baidu serves clients globally.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Baidu (BIDU US)

[Baidu (BIDU US) Target Price Change]: Margin Improvement Offsets R&D Increase

Reiterate Baidu BUY rating and slightly raise TP to US$ 172 to reflect the on-track recovery and AIGC synergy. Our TP implies 17.9x PE in 2023.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

China TMT Update(Feb.11-14): PDD, FUTU, BIDU

PDD: Temu aired its commercial at the Super Bowl; FUTU: Bright Smart Securities downsizing the mainland account; BIDU: Updates on Baidu's ChatGPT...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Baidu (Bidu.US): AIGC to Bring More Potential and Empower Search Biz

We remain optimistic about Baidu’s 2023 outlook: 1) Baidu’s ads would be recovering quickly in 1H23 as macro improves, and 2) leading position in...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Hesai Group IPO Trading - Managed to Break the Drought

Hesai Group (HSAI US) raised around US$190m in its US IPO. We have looked at the company's performance in our previous note, in this note we will...

Sumeet Singh

CX Daily: What’s Worrying Regulators About China’s Mutual Fund Boom

In Depth: What’s worrying regulators about China’s mutual fund boom China calls balloon incident a ‘test’ for U.S. to improve relations China...

Caixin Global

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)