Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Communication Services allocations among active China managers are at their lowest levels on record. Average weights have drifted below 10% for the first time since 2013.</li>
<li>Tencent was the driver of the declining sector weight, yet managers are keeping the faith.  Asian managers cut exposure to Bilibili and China Mobile yet increased NetEase and Baidu.</li>
<li>Versus the MSCI China index, active managers are underweight -6.69% on average, the largest among sector peers and offset by overweights in Industrials and Consumer Staples</li>
</ul>


Communication Services allocations among active China managers are at their lowest levels on record. Average weights have drifted below 10% for the first time since 2013.
Tencent was the driver of the declining sector weight, yet managers are keeping the faith.  Asian managers cut exposure to Bilibili and China Mobile yet increased NetEase and Baidu.
Versus the MSCI China index, active managers are underweight -6.69% on average, the largest among sector peers and offset by overweights in Industrials and Consumer Staples


China Communication Services: Lowest Exposure on Record

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Chow Tai Fook Jewellery / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The inclusion of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-shenhua-energy-co-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:382:1" rel="noopener">China Shenhua Energy Co H (1088 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chow-tai-fook-jewellery-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:549:1" rel="noopener">Chow Tai Fook Jewellery (1929 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hansoh-pharmaceutical-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23675:1" rel="noopener">Hansoh Pharmaceutical (3692 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/baidu-inc-a55ca720-5968-48f0-8194-ac94390d065c" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32212:1" rel="noopener">Baidu (9888 HK)</a> takes us to 73 index constituents.</li>
<li>Changes to the stocks, number of shares, float and capping result in an estimated one-way turnover of 5.09% and will result in a one-way trade of HK$10,562m.</li>
<li>There are large shorts on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chow-tai-fook-jewellery-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:549:1" rel="noopener">Chow Tai Fook Jewellery (1929 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hansoh-pharmaceutical-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23675:1" rel="noopener">Hansoh Pharmaceutical (3692 HK)</a> and there could be some short covering from now to implementation.</li>
</ul>


The inclusion of China Shenhua Energy Co H (1088 HK), Chow Tai Fook Jewellery (1929 HK), Hansoh Pharmaceutical (3692 HK) and Baidu (9888 HK) takes us to 73 index constituents.
Changes to the stocks, number of shares, float and capping result in an estimated one-way turnover of 5.09% and will result in a one-way trade of HK$10,562m.
There are large shorts on Chow Tai Fook Jewellery (1929 HK) and Hansoh Pharmaceutical (3692 HK) and there could be some short covering from now to implementation.


HSI Index Rebalance: Another Small Step Towards 80 Members, But BIG Impact

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

China Tourism Group Duty Free Corp Ltd / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited (CDF) is gearing up to launch Hong Kong’s largest listing so far this year, with a reported deal size of around US$2-3bn.</li>
<li>Prior to the deal launch, we’ve had a quick look at the A/H premium, subscription and past performance of some of the earlier A/H listings.</li>
<li>Overall, most of the recent A/H listings haven’t done much over the first month.</li>
</ul>


China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited (CDF) is gearing up to launch Hong Kong’s largest listing so far this year, with a reported deal size of around US$2-3bn.
Prior to the deal launch, we’ve had a quick look at the A/H premium, subscription and past performance of some of the earlier A/H listings.
Overall, most of the recent A/H listings haven’t done much over the first month.


Past A/H Listings Performance - Most of the Deals Haven’t Done Much

<ul>
<li>WCP aims to raise around US$690m via selling a mix of primary and secondary shares in its Korean IPO.</li>
<li>WCP designs, manufactures, and sells separators, which are one of the four core materials for secondary Lithium-ion batteries</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the recent refiling updates, peer comparison and valuations.</li>
</ul>


WCP aims to raise around US$690m via selling a mix of primary and secondary shares in its Korean IPO.
WCP designs, manufactures, and sells separators, which are one of the four core materials for secondary Lithium-ion batteries
In this note, we talk about the recent refiling updates, peer comparison and valuations.


WCP IPO - Peer Comparison and Valuation - Needs a Price Cut Not a Timeline Extension

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Zomato (Zomato IN) raised US$1.3bn in its India IPO in Jul 2021. At that time, it was the largest technology sector listing in India.</li>
<li>Zomato is one of two leading food delivery app operators in India. It recently acquired Blinkit marking its foray into the instant grocery segment.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.</li>
</ul>


Zomato (Zomato IN) raised US$1.3bn in its India IPO in Jul 2021. At that time, it was the largest technology sector listing in India.
Zomato is one of two leading food delivery app operators in India. It recently acquired Blinkit marking its foray into the instant grocery segment.
In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.


Zomato IPO Lock-Up - A US$3.4bn Lockup Release Test Case for India

China

Baidu, Inc. operates an Internet search engine. The Company offers algorithmic search, enterprise search, news, MP3, and image searches, voice assistance, online storage, and navigation services. Baidu serves clients globally.

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Baidu (BIDU US)

China Communication Services: Lowest Exposure on Record

Communication Services allocations among active China managers are at their lowest levels on record. This analysis looks at the funds and the...

Steven Holden

HSI Index Rebalance: Another Small Step Towards 80 Members, But BIG Impact

There are 4 adds to the index in September - China Shenhua, Chow Tai Fook, Baidu & Hansoh Pharma. There will be big impact on some of the stocks...

Brian Freitas

Past A/H Listings Performance - Most of the Deals Haven’t Done Much

China Tourism is gearing up to launch Hong Kong’s largest listing so far this year, with a reported deal size of around US$2-3bn. Ahead of its...

Sumeet Singh

WCP IPO - Peer Comparison and Valuation - Needs a Price Cut Not a Timeline Extension

WCP aims to raise around US$690m via selling a mix of primary and secondary shares in its Korean IPO. In this note we talk about the refiling...

Sumeet Singh

Zomato IPO Lock-Up - A US$3.4bn Lockup Release Test Case for India

Zomato raised US$1.3bn in its India IPO in Jul 2021. At that time, it was the largest technology sector listing in India. The lock-up on its pre...

Sumeet Singh

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