Technology / Semiconductor / Internet Research

Nicolas Baratte

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>IDC and Counterpoint released their 2Q25 smartphone estimates. Smartphone units increased 1-2% YoY. Best performer: Samsung +8% YoY, but this didn’t help 2Q operating profits. Vivo +5%, Apple +2%.</li>
<li>The smartphone market is desperately flat – or in slow decline. Smartphone is 76% of revenues for Qualcomm, 57% for Mediatek, 50% Apple and Xiaomi, 35% Samsung, 31% TSMC. Problem?</li>
<li>For Semiconductor firms (QCOM, MTK, TSM), chips ASP increases 10-15% at each generation, between node migration (N3, N2) and increasing AI functionalities. For hardware vendors (Apple, Samsung, Xiaomi), it’s worse.</li>
</ul>


IDC and Counterpoint released their 2Q25 smartphone estimates. Smartphone units increased 1-2% YoY. Best performer: Samsung +8% YoY, but this didn’t help 2Q operating profits. Vivo +5%, Apple +2%.
The smartphone market is desperately flat – or in slow decline. Smartphone is 76% of revenues for Qualcomm, 57% for Mediatek, 50% Apple and Xiaomi, 35% Samsung, 31% TSMC. Problem?
For Semiconductor firms (QCOM, MTK, TSM), chips ASP increases 10-15% at each generation, between node migration (N3, N2) and increasing AI functionalities. For hardware vendors (Apple, Samsung, Xiaomi), it’s worse.


Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Jay Lee’s clean Supreme Court win may cool Samsung’s governance trade near term. With legal risks gone, there’s less urgency to push structural changes or shuffle shares now.</li>
<li>Samsung C&amp;T, a hotspot for governance spec flows, may see bids fade as urgency for structural shifts drops; longs on revamp bets might consider fading or shorting amid lingering risks.</li>
<li>Samsung Life gets relief as forced Elec share sales drop, supporting its stock. Samsung Elec stays neutral. Trade idea: Samsung Life long, Samsung C&amp;T short on cooled governance hopes.</li>
</ul>


Jay Lee’s clean Supreme Court win may cool Samsung’s governance trade near term. With legal risks gone, there’s less urgency to push structural changes or shuffle shares now.
Samsung C&amp;T, a hotspot for governance spec flows, may see bids fade as urgency for structural shifts drops; longs on revamp bets might consider fading or shorting amid lingering risks.
Samsung Life gets relief as forced Elec share sales drop, supporting its stock. Samsung Elec stays neutral. Trade idea: Samsung Life long, Samsung C&amp;T short on cooled governance hopes.


Samsung Jay Lee Cleared by Supreme Court — Market Reaction Could Flip From Consensus

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Jul 11th. The aggregated holding was USD638.1bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD373mln. We tabulates the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Alteogen, Samsung Electronics.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Jul 11th. The aggregated holding was USD638.1bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD373mln. We tabulates the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Alteogen, Samsung Electronics.


KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Jul 11th): Alteogen, Samsung Electronics

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

Equity Capital Markets

Lens Technology   / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lens-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24231:1" rel="noopener">Lens Technology (300433 CH)</a>, a precision manufacturing solution provider, raised around US$700m in its H-share listing.</li>
<li>Lens Technology (LT) is one of the leading players in precision structural parts and modules integrated solutions for both consumer electronics and smart vehicles interaction systems.</li>
<li>We have looked at the past performance and likely A/H premium in our previous note. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Lens Technology (300433 CH), a precision manufacturing solution provider, raised around US$700m in its H-share listing.
Lens Technology (LT) is one of the leading players in precision structural parts and modules integrated solutions for both consumer electronics and smart vehicles interaction systems.
We have looked at the past performance and likely A/H premium in our previous note. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.


Lens Technology A/H Trading - Decent Demand, Helped by A-Share Rally

Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Derivatives

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 / Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>
Context: The Bank of Korea will announce its rate decision on July 10, 2025. This Insight compares market and option-implied expectations with historical <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI 200</a> reactions.</li>
<li>
Highlights: While average market reactions to BoK moves are historically muted, options are pricing in elevated volatility. Two event-driven strategies are discussed.</li>
<li>
Why Read: This Insight offers actionable, volatility-focused options strategies grounded in empirical data and current pricing—timely for traders seeking to monetize elevated volatility ahead of central bank and geopolitical events.</li>
</ul>



Context: The Bank of Korea will announce its rate decision on July 10, 2025. This Insight compares market and option-implied expectations with historical KOSPI 200 reactions.

Highlights: While average market reactions to BoK moves are historically muted, options are pricing in elevated volatility. Two event-driven strategies are discussed.

Why Read: This Insight offers actionable, volatility-focused options strategies grounded in empirical data and current pricing—timely for traders seeking to monetize elevated volatility ahead of central bank and geopolitical events.


KOSPI 200: Event-Driven Strategies into the July 10 BoK Decision

South Korea

Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd. manufactures a wide range of consumer and industrial electronic equipment and products such as semiconductors, personal computers, peripherals, monitors, televisions, and home appliances including air conditioners and microwave ovens. The Company also produces Internet access network systems and telecommunications equipment including mobile phones.

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Samsung Electronics (005930 KS)

Smartphone 2Q25: Boring Boring

2Q25 smartphone estimates show slight YoY increase in units, but market is flat or declining. Semiconductor firms see ASP increases, while...

Nicolas Baratte

Samsung Jay Lee Cleared by Supreme Court — Market Reaction Could Flip From Consensus

Samsung Jay Lee’s final legal overhang just got wiped clean with the Supreme Court’s not-guilty stamp — but the market move might actually play out...

Sanghyun Park

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Jul 11th): Alteogen, Samsung Electronics

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Alteogen, Samsung Electronics.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

KOSPI 200: Event-Driven Strategies into the July 10 BoK Decision

Ahead of the Bank of Korea’s July 10 rate decision, option pricing implies larger-than-usual index moves. This Insight outlines two event-driven...

Gaudenz Schneider

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Smartphone 2Q25: Boring Boring

​2Q25 smartphone estimates show slight YoY increase in units, but market is flat or declining. Semiconductor firms see ASP increases, while...

Nicolas Baratte

Samsung Jay Lee Cleared by Supreme Court — Market Reaction Could Flip From Consensus

Samsung Jay Lee’s final legal overhang just got wiped clean with the Supreme Court’s not-guilty stamp — but the market move might actually play out...

Sanghyun Park

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Jul 11th): Alteogen, Samsung Electronics

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Alteogen, Samsung Electronics.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Lens Technology A/H Trading - Decent Demand, Helped by A-Share Rally

Lens Technology (300433 CH), a precision manufacturing solution provider, raised around US$700m in its H-share listing. In this note, we talk about...

Sumeet Singh

KOSPI 200: Event-Driven Strategies into the July 10 BoK Decision

Ahead of the Bank of Korea’s July 10 rate decision, option pricing implies larger-than-usual index moves. This Insight outlines two event-driven...

Gaudenz Schneider

2Q25 smartphone estimates show slight YoY increase in units, but market is flat or declining. Semiconductor firms see ASP increases, while...