Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR

<ul>
<li>Japan’s <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fujitsu-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16968:1" rel="noopener">Fujitsu Ltd (6702 JP)</a> is currently developing a 2nm CPU named “MONAKA” (link). The CPU is planned to be manufactured by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-semiconductor-sp-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8587:1" rel="noopener">Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US)</a>.  </li>
<li>Rapidus has to deal with high technical barriers, tight timelines, heavy R&amp;D costs, market and profitability challenges.</li>
<li>Talent shortage in Japan: A lingering pain for the Semiconductor industry</li>
</ul>


Japan’s Fujitsu Ltd (6702 JP) is currently developing a 2nm CPU named “MONAKA” (link). The CPU is planned to be manufactured by Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US).  
Rapidus has to deal with high technical barriers, tight timelines, heavy R&amp;D costs, market and profitability challenges.
Talent shortage in Japan: A lingering pain for the Semiconductor industry


TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): Will Rapidus Threaten TSMC's 2nm Market? We Think It's Too Early to Say (II)

Technology / Semiconductor / Internet Research

Nicolas Baratte

<ul>
<li>Nvidia, AMD launch a new GPU every 2 years. At each generation, higher performance manufacturing (TSMC) and HBM (higher density, higher speed, thinner layers). Hence, cost increase at each generation. </li>
<li>Price and volumes are negotiated 1 year ahead. TSMC, SK Hynix expect AI / HBM revenues to double in 2025. Expect another 50-60% in 2026. </li>
<li>Why HBM attracts less interest than Foundry (TSMC) or Design (AMD, AVGO, Nvidia)? Mostly, investor still think this is a cyclical business – HBM isn’t.</li>
</ul>


Nvidia, AMD launch a new GPU every 2 years. At each generation, higher performance manufacturing (TSMC) and HBM (higher density, higher speed, thinner layers). Hence, cost increase at each generation. 
Price and volumes are negotiated 1 year ahead. TSMC, SK Hynix expect AI / HBM revenues to double in 2025. Expect another 50-60% in 2026. 
Why HBM attracts less interest than Foundry (TSMC) or Design (AMD, AVGO, Nvidia)? Mostly, investor still think this is a cyclical business – HBM isn’t.


HBM Should Be as Attractive an Investment as Nvidia or TSMC but the Stocks Don’t Show That

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Shinhan Financial / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Affinity Equity Partners is looking to raise around US$425m via selling 1.9% of its stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shinhan-financial-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6978:1" rel="noopener">Shinhan Financial (055550 KS).</a>
</li>
<li>Affinity had sold half of its stake earlier in 2024, when the company witnessed a number of selldowns in 1H24.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>


Affinity Equity Partners is looking to raise around US$425m via selling 1.9% of its stake in Shinhan Financial (055550 KS).

Affinity had sold half of its stake earlier in 2024, when the company witnessed a number of selldowns in 1H24.
In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Shinhan Financial Group Placement - Clean-Up Trade but Stock Is at All Time-Highs

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>In our view, the sharp increase in the lending balance is one of the signs of many investors preparing for a pull-back in the Korean stock market.</li>
<li>The lending balance of the Korean stock market surged from 47.3 trillion won on 2 January 2025 to 90.4 trillion won as of 20 June 2025.</li>
<li>The rising lending balance in the Korean stock market could be construed as a bearish sign. </li>
</ul>


In our view, the sharp increase in the lending balance is one of the signs of many investors preparing for a pull-back in the Korean stock market.
The lending balance of the Korean stock market surged from 47.3 trillion won on 2 January 2025 to 90.4 trillion won as of 20 June 2025.
The rising lending balance in the Korean stock market could be construed as a bearish sign. 


A Sharp Increase in the Lending Balance of Korean Stock Market Suggests A Pull-Back

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Jun 20th. The aggregated holding was USD604.3bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD885mln. We tabulates the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in SK Hynix, Lg Cns, Doosan Enerbility, Hanwha Aerospace, Samsung Electronics.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Jun 20th. The aggregated holding was USD604.3bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD885mln. We tabulates the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in SK Hynix, Lg Cns, Doosan Enerbility, Hanwha Aerospace, Samsung Electronics.


KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Jun 20th): SK Hynix, Lg Cns, Doosan Enerbility, Hanwha Aerospace

South Korea

Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd. manufactures a wide range of consumer and industrial electronic equipment and products such as semiconductors, personal computers, peripherals, monitors, televisions, and home appliances including air conditioners and microwave ovens. The Company also produces Internet access network systems and telecommunications equipment including mobile phones.

Samsung Electronics Pref Shares (005935 KS)

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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Samsung Electronics Pref Shares (005935 KS)

TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): Will Rapidus Threaten TSMC's 2nm Market? We Think It's Too Early to Say (II)

Fujitsu developing 2nm CPU "MONAKA" with TSMC. Rapidus is facing technical barriers, talent shortage in Japan's Semiconductor industry.

Patrick Liao

HBM Should Be as Attractive an Investment as Nvidia or TSMC but the Stocks Don’t Show That

TSMC and SK Hynix expect AI/HBM revenues to double by 2025. Investors overlook HBM's potential due to misconceptions about its cyclical nature.

Nicolas Baratte

Shinhan Financial Group Placement - Clean-Up Trade but Stock Is at All Time-Highs

Affinity Equity Partners is looking to raise around US$425m via selling 1.9% of its stake in Shinhan Financial (055550 KS).

Sumeet Singh

A Sharp Increase in the Lending Balance of Korean Stock Market Suggests A Pull-Back

In our view, the sharp increase in the lending balance is one of the signs of many investors preparing for a pull-back in the Korean stock market.

Douglas Kim

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Jun 20th): SK Hynix, Lg Cns, Doosan Enerbility, Hanwha Aerospace

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in SK Hynix, Lg Cns, Doosan Enerbility, Hanwha...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): Will Rapidus Threaten TSMC's 2nm Market? We Think It's Too Early to Say (II)

​Fujitsu developing 2nm CPU "MONAKA" with TSMC. Rapidus is facing technical barriers, talent shortage in Japan's Semiconductor industry.

Patrick Liao

HBM Should Be as Attractive an Investment as Nvidia or TSMC but the Stocks Don’t Show That

TSMC and SK Hynix expect AI/HBM revenues to double by 2025. Investors overlook HBM's potential due to misconceptions about its cyclical nature.

Nicolas Baratte

Shinhan Financial Group Placement - Clean-Up Trade but Stock Is at All Time-Highs

Affinity Equity Partners is looking to raise around US$425m via selling 1.9% of its stake in Shinhan Financial (055550 KS).

Sumeet Singh

A Sharp Increase in the Lending Balance of Korean Stock Market Suggests A Pull-Back

In our view, the sharp increase in the lending balance is one of the signs of many investors preparing for a pull-back in the Korean stock market.

Douglas Kim

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Jun 20th): SK Hynix, Lg Cns, Doosan Enerbility, Hanwha Aerospace

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in SK Hynix, Lg Cns, Doosan Enerbility, Hanwha...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Fujitsu developing 2nm CPU "MONAKA" with TSMC. Rapidus is facing technical barriers, talent shortage in Japan's Semiconductor industry.