Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>China's 2025 trade-in subsidies now include smartphones and ICE vehicles, but with a price caveat that excludes Apple, positive for Xiaomi and JD.com;</li>
<li>China limits export of LFP battery technology, but lowers import tax again;</li>
<li>ICE-Turned EV makers continue to enjoy product superiority. The watchouts for 2025 are BYD and Geely. Tesla's sales may peter out from C2H25.</li>
</ul>


China's 2025 trade-in subsidies now include smartphones and ICE vehicles, but with a price caveat that excludes Apple, positive for Xiaomi and JD.com;
China limits export of LFP battery technology, but lowers import tax again;
ICE-Turned EV makers continue to enjoy product superiority. The watchouts for 2025 are BYD and Geely. Tesla's sales may peter out from C2H25.


Blue Lotus China Growth Equity Weekly (2/2025): Tesla Heading into a Different Chinese EV Market

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>SOUTHBOUND gross trading activity was not stronger per day than the previous two weeks. But SB Net Buying was HUGE. The biggest week since global index deletions in January 2021.</li>
<li>The story was similar. On Tuesday in the US, Tencent was put on a DoD list leading to a possible CMC list appearance (which would lead to index deletions).</li>
<li>Tencent saw US$4bn of SOUTHBOUND net buying. SMIC, Xiaomi, and China Mobile were another $1bn.</li>
</ul>


SOUTHBOUND gross trading activity was not stronger per day than the previous two weeks. But SB Net Buying was HUGE. The biggest week since global index deletions in January 2021.
The story was similar. On Tuesday in the US, Tencent was put on a DoD list leading to a possible CMC list appearance (which would lead to index deletions).
Tencent saw US$4bn of SOUTHBOUND net buying. SMIC, Xiaomi, and China Mobile were another $1bn.


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 10 Jan 2025); YUUUUGE Net Buying by SB, $4bn on Tencent

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>On 6 January, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/smart-share-global-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32217:1" rel="noopener">Smart Share Global (EM US)</a> disclosed a non-binding proposal from a Trustar Capital-sponsored MBO at US$1.25 per ADS, a 74.8% premium to the undisturbed price of US$0.72.</li>
<li>The offer is unattractive to the IPO price (US$8.50), average sell-side price targets (US$1.87) and historical trading ranges. </li>
<li>Despite the light offer, the shareholder vote is done (two-thirds voting threshold) as the buyer consortium represents 64.0% of the voting power. A binding proposal will be forthcoming.  </li>
</ul>


On 6 January, Smart Share Global (EM US) disclosed a non-binding proposal from a Trustar Capital-sponsored MBO at US$1.25 per ADS, a 74.8% premium to the undisturbed price of US$0.72.
The offer is unattractive to the IPO price (US$8.50), average sell-side price targets (US$1.87) and historical trading ranges. 
Despite the light offer, the shareholder vote is done (two-thirds voting threshold) as the buyer consortium represents 64.0% of the voting power. A binding proposal will be forthcoming.  


Smart Share Global (EM US): Trustar Capital-Sponsored MBO’s US$1.25 Per ADS Non-Binding Offer

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Dec 27th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.</li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Weimob, Byd Electronic, Meituan, Baba.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Dec 27th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.
We highlight short changes in Weimob, Byd Electronic, Meituan, Baba.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Weimob, Byd Electronic, Meituan, Baba

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The HSTECH Index tracks the performance of the top 30 technology companies listed in Hong Kong that have high business exposure to certain technology themes.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the final rankings of potential ADDs and potential DELs for the March 2025 index rebal event.</li>
<li>We expect one change for the HSTECH index in March 2025 and combined with capping flows currently see US$475mn one-way flows.</li>
</ul>


The HSTECH Index tracks the performance of the top 30 technology companies listed in Hong Kong that have high business exposure to certain technology themes.
In this insight, we take a look at the final rankings of potential ADDs and potential DELs for the March 2025 index rebal event.
We expect one change for the HSTECH index in March 2025 and combined with capping flows currently see US$475mn one-way flows.


Quiddity Leaderboard HSTECH Mar 25: One High-Conviction Change; US$475mn One-Way

China

Xiaomi Corporation manufactures communication equipment and parts. The Company produces and sells mobile phones, smart phone software,  set-top boxes, and related accessories. Xiaomi markets its products worldwide.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
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Xiaomi (1810 HK)

Blue Lotus China Growth Equity Weekly (2/2025): Tesla Heading into a Different Chinese EV Market

2025 trade-in subsidies favor Xiaomi and JD.com. China's new measure at limiting LFP battery exports added on export bans. Geely is new player at...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 10 Jan 2025); YUUUUGE Net Buying by SB, $4bn on Tencent

Gross SOUTHBOUND flows were not larger this week on a daily basis than over the holiday weeks, but SOUTHBOUND bought Tencent with a vengeance as it...

Travis Lundy

HK Short Interest Weekly: Weimob, Byd Electronic, Meituan, Baba

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Dec 27th and highlight short interest changes in Weimob, Byd Electronic,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Quiddity Leaderboard HSTECH Mar 25: One High-Conviction Change; US$475mn One-Way

We see Horizon Robotics (9660 HK) as a high conviction ADD and East Buy Holding (1797 HK) as a high-conviction DEL. In total, we estimate one-way...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Blue Lotus China Growth Equity Weekly (2/2025): Tesla Heading into a Different Chinese EV Market

2025 trade-in subsidies favor Xiaomi and JD.com. China's new measure at limiting LFP battery exports added on export bans. Geely is new player at...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 10 Jan 2025); YUUUUGE Net Buying by SB, $4bn on Tencent

Gross SOUTHBOUND flows were not larger this week on a daily basis than over the holiday weeks, but SOUTHBOUND bought Tencent with a vengeance as it...

Travis Lundy

Smart Share Global (EM US): Trustar Capital-Sponsored MBO’s US$1.25 Per ADS Non-Binding Offer

Despite the light offer, the shareholder vote is done (two-thirds voting threshold) as the buyer consortium represents 64.0% of the voting power. A...

Arun George

HK Short Interest Weekly: Weimob, Byd Electronic, Meituan, Baba

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Dec 27th and highlight short interest changes in Weimob, Byd Electronic,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Quiddity Leaderboard HSTECH Mar 25: One High-Conviction Change; US$475mn One-Way

We see Horizon Robotics (9660 HK) as a high conviction ADD and East Buy Holding (1797 HK) as a high-conviction DEL. In total, we estimate one-way...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA