Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Shopify Inc. delivered an all-around beat in the previous quarter.</li><li>Key milestones in the quarter include the continued success of Shop Pay, facilitating $12 billion in GMV with a 50% YoY increase.</li><li>In this report, we have carried out a fundamental analysis of the historical financial statements of the company.</li></ul>

Shopify Inc. delivered an all-around beat in the previous quarter.Key milestones in the quarter include the continued success of Shop Pay, facilitating $12 billion in GMV with a 50% YoY increase.In this report, we have carried out a fundamental analysis of the historical financial statements of the company.

Shopify Inc.: Global Commerce Leader Unveils AI-Powered Breakthroughs! - Major Drivers

<ul><li>Shopify Inc. managed to exceed analyst expectations in terms of revenue as well as earnings with strong financial results.</li><li>The company's focus on improving the merchant experience, including pricing changes and innovative product offerings, contributed to strong top-line growth and attachment rates across the Merchant Solutions product suite.</li><li>In this report, we have carried out a fundamental analysis of the historical financial statements of the company.</li></ul>

Shopify Inc. managed to exceed analyst expectations in terms of revenue as well as earnings with strong financial results.The company's focus on improving the merchant experience, including pricing changes and innovative product offerings, contributed to strong top-line growth and attachment rates across the Merchant Solutions product suite.In this report, we have carried out a fundamental analysis of the historical financial statements of the company.

Shopify Inc.: 5 Details Behind Their Improving Revenues! – Key Drivers

<ul><li>Shopify managed to surpass the revenue expectations as well as the earnings expectations of Wall Street.</li><li>The company continued to build its merchant base in Q1 with excellent growth in all geographies and merchant sizes.</li><li>GMV was $50 billion in the first quarter, up 15% year on year or 18% in constant currency terms, as merchants delivered another robust quarter of growth.</li></ul>

Shopify managed to surpass the revenue expectations as well as the earnings expectations of Wall Street.The company continued to build its merchant base in Q1 with excellent growth in all geographies and merchant sizes.GMV was $50 billion in the first quarter, up 15% year on year or 18% in constant currency terms, as merchants delivered another robust quarter of growth.

Shopify Inc.: Post-Pandemic Slowdown Forced Shopify To Sell Deliverr & Logistics Assets? – Key Drivers

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The FRTIB benchmark switch from the EAFE Index to the ACWI IMI ex-USA ex-China ex-Hong Kong Index will result in a round trip trade of around US$56bn.</li>
<li>The changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-inde" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">CSI 300</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csi-smallcap-500-index-shang" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35347:1" rel="noopener">CSI 500</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">STAR50</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-stock-exchange-sse-50-a-share-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31073:1" rel="noopener">SSE50</a> and a bunch of other mainland China indices will be announced after market close on Friday.</li>
<li>Relatively quiet week for ETF flows with no major creations or redemptions during the week.</li>
</ul>


The FRTIB benchmark switch from the EAFE Index to the ACWI IMI ex-USA ex-China ex-Hong Kong Index will result in a round trip trade of around US$56bn.
The changes for the CSI 300, CSI 500, STAR50, SSE50 and a bunch of other mainland China indices will be announced after market close on Friday.
Relatively quiet week for ETF flows with no major creations or redemptions during the week.


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: FRTIB, Japan, CSI300, CSI500, STAR50, WuXi XDC, Asahi

Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shopify-inc-de74469e-4678-489b-9b50-a80a5790c5ef" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25906:1" rel="noopener">Shopify Inc (SHOP US)</a> 's share price declined by -15% in after hours trade on weaker-than-expected US E-commerce trends</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mercari-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27149:1" rel="noopener">Mercari Inc (4385 JP)</a> 's US business is highly correlated with its US peer, as is its stock price</li>
<li>A normalisation of e-commerce trends could also impact its much larger Japanese GMV as consumers shift spending patterns back to normal </li>
</ul>



Shopify Inc (SHOP US) 's share price declined by -15% in after hours trade on weaker-than-expected US E-commerce trends

Mercari Inc (4385 JP) 's US business is highly correlated with its US peer, as is its stock price
A normalisation of e-commerce trends could also impact its much larger Japanese GMV as consumers shift spending patterns back to normal 


Mercari (4385) | We Were Wrong…its Worse

Canada

Shopify Inc. provides a cloud-based commerce platform. The Company offers a platform for merchants to create an omni-channel experience that helps showcase the merchant's brand. Shopify serves customers in Canada.

Shopify (SHOP US)

Shopify Inc.: Global Commerce Leader Unveils AI-Powered Breakthroughs! - Major Drivers

Shopify Inc. delivered an all-around beat in the previous quarter. Key milestones in the quarter include the continued success of Shop Pay,...

Baptista Research

Shopify Inc.: 5 Details Behind Their Improving Revenues! – Key Drivers

Shopify Inc. managed to exceed analyst expectations in terms of revenue as well as earnings with strong financial results. The company's focus on...

Baptista Research

Shopify Inc.: Post-Pandemic Slowdown Forced Shopify To Sell Deliverr & Logistics Assets? – Key Drivers

Shopify managed to surpass the revenue expectations as well as the earnings expectations of Wall Street. The company continued to build its...

Baptista Research

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: FRTIB, Japan, CSI300, CSI500, STAR50, WuXi XDC, Asahi

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

Mercari (4385) | We Were Wrong…its Worse

We are Bearish on Mercari as we think GMV in the US will see a sharp pullback as early as the current quarter (4Q: April-June), with higher-than...

Mark Chadwick