Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The HSCEI serves as a benchmark to reflect the overall performance of the top 50 "Mainland China" securities listed in Hong Kong.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes and capping flows for HSCEI index rebal event in September 2025.</li>
<li>We expect one ADD and one DEL for September 2025. We also estimate there to be US$269mn in one-way flows.</li>
</ul>


The HSCEI serves as a benchmark to reflect the overall performance of the top 50 "Mainland China" securities listed in Hong Kong.
In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes and capping flows for HSCEI index rebal event in September 2025.
We expect one ADD and one DEL for September 2025. We also estimate there to be US$269mn in one-way flows.


Quiddity Leaderboard HSCEI Sep25: Final Expectations; One Index Change Possible

Chief Executive Officer, Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Chief Executive Officer

Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Emmer Capital Partners is an Asia Pacific focused financial advisory firm engaging in strategic financial asset allocation advice, bespoke thematic research and advising early-stage companies and connecting them to investors. Emmer Capital provides macro-economic and multi-asset investment strategy inputs to institutions, family offices, private wealth managers, private equity, and corporate boards directly and through independent research platforms. Emmer Capital also advises a wide range of startup companies on fund raising and business strategy. Emmer Capital's active engagement with the print and electronic media reaches a broad spectrum of investors across the globe.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>We take a detailed look at forward PE multiples, absolute and relative to Asia, of all Asia ex Japan markets.  North Asia is in line with average valuations, India expensive.</li>
<li>Juxtaposing valuations in comparison to history with the earnings environment of each market, we arrive at conclusions about which market should rerate and which should derate.</li>
<li>We posit continued rerating for Korea and Philippines. India should derate. HK, Taiwan, Indonesia and Singapore could rerate modestly. Malaysia and Thailand are cheap but seem destined to remain so.</li>
</ul>


We take a detailed look at forward PE multiples, absolute and relative to Asia, of all Asia ex Japan markets.  North Asia is in line with average valuations, India expensive.
Juxtaposing valuations in comparison to history with the earnings environment of each market, we arrive at conclusions about which market should rerate and which should derate.
We posit continued rerating for Korea and Philippines. India should derate. HK, Taiwan, Indonesia and Singapore could rerate modestly. Malaysia and Thailand are cheap but seem destined to remain so.


Asian Equities: Absolute and Relative Valuations – Spotting Mean Reversion Opportunities

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Unisplendour Guhan Group A / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/unisplendour-corporation-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9688:1" rel="noopener">Unisplendour Corporation Limited (000938 CH)</a>, an ICT infrastructure products provider, aims to raise around US$1bn in its H-share listing.</li>
<li>UC designs and sells a diverse portfolio of ICT infrastructure products, covering the entire digital solutions industry chain.</li>
<li>In this note, we look at its past performance and other deal dynamics that might impact the listing.</li>
</ul>



Unisplendour Corporation Limited (000938 CH), an ICT infrastructure products provider, aims to raise around US$1bn in its H-share listing.
UC designs and sells a diverse portfolio of ICT infrastructure products, covering the entire digital solutions industry chain.
In this note, we look at its past performance and other deal dynamics that might impact the listing.


Unisplendour Corp A/H Listing - Growth Slowing, Margins Dropping

SBI (State Bank of India) / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/state-bank-of-india" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:160:1" rel="noopener">State Bank Of India (SBIN IN)</a> plans to raise around US$3bn via a QIP. The deal is very well flagged and we wrote on it last week.</li>
<li>Although the stock has been running up a bit going into the deal and the previous deal didn’t do well.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>



State Bank Of India (SBIN IN) plans to raise around US$3bn via a QIP. The deal is very well flagged and we wrote on it last week.
Although the stock has been running up a bit going into the deal and the previous deal didn’t do well.
In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.


SBI US$3bn QIP - No Surprises - Not the World’s Best Kept Secret

Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd A / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/muyuan-foodstuff-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3705:1" rel="noopener">Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd A (002714 CH)</a>, a leader in the hog farming industry, aims to raise around US$2bn in its H-share listing.</li>
<li>MF is a leading pork company with over 30 years of expertise in the hog farming industry.</li>
<li>In this note, we look at its past performance and other deal dynamics that might impact the listing.</li>
</ul>



Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd A (002714 CH), a leader in the hog farming industry, aims to raise around US$2bn in its H-share listing.
MF is a leading pork company with over 30 years of expertise in the hog farming industry.
In this note, we look at its past performance and other deal dynamics that might impact the listing.


Muyuan Foods A/H Listing - Long Term Growth with Short-Term Volatility

China

Tencent Holdings Limited operates as an investment holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides Internet and mobile value-added services (VAS), online advertising, and e-commerce transactions. Tencent Holdings offers services to users worldwide.

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Tencent (700 HK)

Quiddity Leaderboard HSCEI Sep25: Final Expectations; One Index Change Possible

Pop Mart (9992 HK) could replace J&T Global (1519 HK) in the HSCEI index in September 2025. If this change takes place, there could be one-way...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Asian Equities: Absolute and Relative Valuations – Spotting Mean Reversion Opportunities

Korea's, Hong Kong's and Singapore's continued rerating is in line with our expectations, as is the derating of India - especially when it comes to...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Unisplendour Corp A/H Listing - Growth Slowing, Margins Dropping

Unisplendour Corporation Limited (000938 CH), an ICT infrastructure products provider, aims to raise around US$1bn in its H-share listing. In this...

Sumeet Singh

SBI US$3bn QIP - No Surprises - Not the World’s Best Kept Secret

State Bank Of India (SBIN IN) plans to raise around US$3bn via a QIP. The deal is very well flagged and we wrote on it last week.

Sumeet Singh

Muyuan Foods A/H Listing - Long Term Growth with Short-Term Volatility

Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd A (002714 CH), a leader in the hog farming industry, aims to raise around US$2bn in its H-share listing. In this note, we...

Sumeet Singh

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