Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>
Context: Volatility cones provide a straightforward framework to evaluate whether options are trading cheap or rich. This Insight provides volatility analysis for eight prominent Hong Kong stocks and the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">HSI Index</a>.</li>
<li>
Highlights: Recent market turbulence moderately lifted implied volatility for many stocks, but not to extreme levels. The approaching earnings season impacts October and November implied volatility.</li>
<li>
Why Read: Spot opportunities, assess regime shifts, and manage risk effectively — volatility cones turn complex data into actionable insights for traders and investors.</li>
</ul>



Context: Volatility cones provide a straightforward framework to evaluate whether options are trading cheap or rich. This Insight provides volatility analysis for eight prominent Hong Kong stocks and the HSI Index.

Highlights: Recent market turbulence moderately lifted implied volatility for many stocks, but not to extreme levels. The approaching earnings season impacts October and November implied volatility.

Why Read: Spot opportunities, assess regime shifts, and manage risk effectively — volatility cones turn complex data into actionable insights for traders and investors.


Tariff Shock Sends HK Volatility Higher: Meituan (3690 HK) Looks Cheap, Alibaba (9988 HK) Stays Rich

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Sany Heavy Industry / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sany-heavy-industry-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20183:1" rel="noopener">Sany Heavy Industry (600031 CH)</a>, aims to raise around US$1.5bn in its H-share listing.</li>
<li>Sany Heavy Industry was the world’s third largest and China’s largest construction machinery company in terms of construction machinery’s cumulative revenue from 2020 to 2024, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance in our earlier note. In this note, we talk about the updates and likely A/H premium.</li>
</ul>



Sany Heavy Industry (600031 CH), aims to raise around US$1.5bn in its H-share listing.
Sany Heavy Industry was the world’s third largest and China’s largest construction machinery company in terms of construction machinery’s cumulative revenue from 2020 to 2024, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan.
We have looked at the company’s past performance in our earlier note. In this note, we talk about the updates and likely A/H premium.


Sany Heavy Industries A/H Listing - PHIP Updates and Thoughts on A/H Premium

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sany-heavy-industry-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20183:1" rel="noopener">Sany Heavy Industry (600031 CH)</a>, aims to raise around US$1.5bn in its H-share listing.</li>
<li>Sany Heavy Industry was the world’s third largest and China’s largest construction machinery company in terms of construction machinery’s cumulative revenue from 2020 to 2024, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan.</li>
<li>In this note, we look at its past performance and other deal dynamics that might impact the listing.</li>
</ul>



Sany Heavy Industry (600031 CH), aims to raise around US$1.5bn in its H-share listing.
Sany Heavy Industry was the world’s third largest and China’s largest construction machinery company in terms of construction machinery’s cumulative revenue from 2020 to 2024, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan.
In this note, we look at its past performance and other deal dynamics that might impact the listing.


Sany Heavy Industries A/H Listing - Has Suffered Recently, Showing Signs of Stabilizing

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/duality-biotherapeutics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43878:1" rel="noopener">Duality Biotherapeutics (9606 HK)</a>' s raised around US$200m in its Hong Kong listing in April 2025. The lockup on its cornerstone and pre-IPO investors is set to expire today.</li>
<li>Duality is a biopharma company focused primarily on the independent discovery and development of antibody-drug conjugate (ADC) assets.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.</li>
</ul>



Duality Biotherapeutics (9606 HK)' s raised around US$200m in its Hong Kong listing in April 2025. The lockup on its cornerstone and pre-IPO investors is set to expire today.
Duality is a biopharma company focused primarily on the independent discovery and development of antibody-drug conjugate (ADC) assets.
In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.


Duality Bio IPO Lockup - US$2.7bn Lockup Release, with Lots of CCASS Movement

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Fuyao Glass Industry Group / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Gross SOUTHBOUND volumes just over US$21bn a day in the four days spanning the long holiday break. Big. Quite decent net buying flows too though the market fell.</li>
<li>The recommended name was short <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/great-wall-motor-co-ltd-cb302af9-398c-4d2d-ba39-023e43287eef" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:128:1" rel="noopener">Great Wall Motor (2333 HK)</a>. The stock was +1% over two weeks, but underperformed its H by 0.52%. Great Wall is down 4+% today.</li>
<li>The data tables below update on a daily basis in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Tools</a> section of Smartkarma. The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/south-flow-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Southbound Flow Monitor</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/ah-shares-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">AH Pairs Monitor</a> are both there for all SK readers.</li>
</ul>


Gross SOUTHBOUND volumes just over US$21bn a day in the four days spanning the long holiday break. Big. Quite decent net buying flows too though the market fell.
The recommended name was short Great Wall Motor (2333 HK). The stock was +1% over two weeks, but underperformed its H by 0.52%. Great Wall is down 4+% today.
The data tables below update on a daily basis in the Tools section of Smartkarma. The Southbound Flow Monitor and AH Pairs Monitor are both there for all SK readers.


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (2wks To 10 Oct 2025); Big Pre/Post Holiday Flows. NB 2x as Big.

China

Meituan operates as a web based shopping platform for locally found consumer products and retail services. The Company offers deals of the day by selling vouchers on local services and entertainment, dining, delivery, and other services. Meituan provides its services throughout China.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Meituan (3690 HK)

Tariff Shock Sends HK Volatility Higher: Meituan (3690 HK) Looks Cheap, Alibaba (9988 HK) Stays Rich

Hong Kong volatility surged after U.S. tariff threats, with options pricing highlighting Meituan’s historically low implied volatility and elevated...

Gaudenz Schneider

Sany Heavy Industries A/H Listing - PHIP Updates and Thoughts on A/H Premium

Sany Heavy Industry (600031 CH), aims to raise around US$1.5bn in its H-share listing. In this note, we talk about its recent updates and likely A...

Sumeet Singh

Sany Heavy Industries A/H Listing - Has Suffered Recently, Showing Signs of Stabilizing

Sany Heavy Industry (600031 CH), aims to raise around US$1.5bn in its H-share listing. The company has now filed its PHIP and will look to launch...

Sumeet Singh

Duality Bio IPO Lockup - US$2.7bn Lockup Release, with Lots of CCASS Movement

Duality Biotherapeutics (9606 HK)' s raised around US$200m in its Hong Kong listing in April 2025. The lockup on its cornerstone and pre-IPO...

Sumeet Singh

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (2wks To 10 Oct 2025); Big Pre/Post Holiday Flows. NB 2x as Big.

This is just to keep track of the Southbound flows. There were two days in the previous week and two days last week spanning the big holiday. HK...

Travis Lundy

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)