External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>TME reported in-line 3Q23 results on 14 Nov: total revenue declined by 11% YoY and 10% QoQ to RMB6.6bn mainly on soft social entertainment business, versus consensus/our estimate of RMB6.4/6.3bn; non-IFRS net income was up 2% YoY to RMB1.41bn, in line with consensus/our estimate of RMB1.42/1.37bn.</li><li>Core music subscription revenue growth further accelerated to +42% YoY in 3Q23 (vs. 1Q23/2Q23 +30/37% YoY &amp; consensus +37% YoY), driven by solid growth of both paying users and ARPPU.</li><li>Looking ahead, we forecast total revenue to decline by 10% YoY to RMB6.7bn in 4Q23E, due to the persisting impact of social entertainment business adjustment. </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

TME reported in-line 3Q23 results on 14 Nov: total revenue declined by 11% YoY and 10% QoQ to RMB6.6bn mainly on soft social entertainment business, versus consensus/our estimate of RMB6.4/6.3bn; non-IFRS net income was up 2% YoY to RMB1.41bn, in line with consensus/our estimate of RMB1.42/1.37bn.Core music subscription revenue growth further accelerated to +42% YoY in 3Q23 (vs. 1Q23/2Q23 +30/37% YoY &amp; consensus +37% YoY), driven by solid growth of both paying users and ARPPU.Looking ahead, we forecast total revenue to decline by 10% YoY to RMB6.7bn in 4Q23E, due to the persisting impact of social entertainment business adjustment. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

TME (TME US) – Inline 3Q23 results; strong music subscription revenue growth

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

<ul>
<li>We expect that Tencent’s C3Q23’s revenue/non-IFRS operating profit/IFRS net income to be 2.3%/3.3%/4.2% above consensus.</li>
<li>We raised estimates of Tencent’s international game growth to 12% YoY to reflect the success. We also expect Tencent's advertising business to benefit from e-commerce advertisers’ competition.</li>
<li>We raised the Target Price to HK$425, which implies 22.4X PE in 2024.</li>
</ul>


We expect that Tencent’s C3Q23’s revenue/non-IFRS operating profit/IFRS net income to be 2.3%/3.3%/4.2% above consensus.
We raised estimates of Tencent’s international game growth to 12% YoY to reflect the success. We also expect Tencent's advertising business to benefit from e-commerce advertisers’ competition.
We raised the Target Price to HK$425, which implies 22.4X PE in 2024.


[Tencent(700 HK,BUY,TP HK$425)Target Price Change]: International Game and Advertising Drove Results

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Ethan Aw

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Chenqi Technology Limited / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chenqi-technology-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40058:1" rel="noopener">Chenqi Technology Limited (CT HK)</a> is looking to raise US$300m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. </li>
<li>Chenqi Technology (Chenqi) is a mobility technology and service company in China, founded by the GAC Group and Tencent. </li>
<li>Chenqi has grown its GTV fast on the back of network expansion. However, Dida’s inability to list and Chinese regulators’ scrutiny on Didi would likely dent sentiment surrounding Chenqi. </li>
</ul>



Chenqi Technology Limited (CT HK) is looking to raise US$300m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. 
Chenqi Technology (Chenqi) is a mobility technology and service company in China, founded by the GAC Group and Tencent. 
Chenqi has grown its GTV fast on the back of network expansion. However, Dida’s inability to list and Chinese regulators’ scrutiny on Didi would likely dent sentiment surrounding Chenqi. 


Chenqi Technology Pre-IPO - Listing Would Almost Feel like a Pipe Dream

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cirrus-aircraft" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39858:1" rel="noopener">Cirrus Aircraft (0153126D US)</a> is looking to raise up to US$300m in its upcoming HK IPO. </li>
<li>Cirrus Aircraft designs, develops, manufactures, and sells premium aircrafts. Its two aircraft product lines, the SR2X Series and the Vision Jet, are currently certified and validated in over 60 countries.</li>
<li>CA has managed to grow its profitability steadily over the track record period. However, the firm is subjected to heightened regulatory risks as US and China tensions rise.</li>
</ul>



Cirrus Aircraft (0153126D US) is looking to raise up to US$300m in its upcoming HK IPO. 
Cirrus Aircraft designs, develops, manufactures, and sells premium aircrafts. Its two aircraft product lines, the SR2X Series and the Vision Jet, are currently certified and validated in over 60 countries.
CA has managed to grow its profitability steadily over the track record period. However, the firm is subjected to heightened regulatory risks as US and China tensions rise.


Cirrus Aircraft Pre-IPO - Has Grown Steadily but Faces Prominent Regulatory Risks

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vertex-technology-acquisition-corporation-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35394:1" rel="noopener">Vertex Technology Acquisition Corporation (VTAC SP)</a> agreed to a De-SPAC transaction with 17LIVE, the top pure-play live streaming platform (by revenue) in Japan and Taiwan combined.</li>
<li>Industry data and the financials suggest that 17LIVE does not have a sustainable competitive advantage to translate its position into high earnings quality. </li>
<li>The purchase consideration of 17LIVE in the De-SPAC transaction is S$925.1 million (US$682.2 million). Our valuation analysis suggests that this consideration is full.</li>
</ul>



Vertex Technology Acquisition Corporation (VTAC SP) agreed to a De-SPAC transaction with 17LIVE, the top pure-play live streaming platform (by revenue) in Japan and Taiwan combined.
Industry data and the financials suggest that 17LIVE does not have a sustainable competitive advantage to translate its position into high earnings quality. 
The purchase consideration of 17LIVE in the De-SPAC transaction is S$925.1 million (US$682.2 million). Our valuation analysis suggests that this consideration is full.


Vertex Technology Acquisition (VTAC SP)/17LIVE: Turn Off

China

Tencent Music Entertainment operates an online music entertainment platform in China. The Company offers platform that comprises of online music, recording, music-centric live streaming enabling users to discover, listen, sing, watch, perform, and socialize music.

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Tencent Music (TME US)

TME (TME US) – Inline 3Q23 results; strong music subscription revenue growth

Looking ahead, we forecast total revenue to decline by 10% YoY to RMB6.7bn in 4Q23E, due to the persisting impact of social entertainment business...

CMB International

[Tencent(700 HK,BUY,TP HK$425)Target Price Change]: International Game and Advertising Drove Results

Tencent's Q3 results are expected to exceed consensus, with increased estimates for international game growth and advertising business benefiting...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Chenqi Technology Pre-IPO - Listing Would Almost Feel like a Pipe Dream

Chenqi Technology Limited is looking to raise US$300m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. Dida’s inability to list and Chinese regulators’ scrutiny on...

Ethan Aw

Cirrus Aircraft Pre-IPO - Has Grown Steadily but Faces Prominent Regulatory Risks

Cirrus Aircraft (0153126D US) is looking to raise up to US$300m in its upcoming HK IPO. CA has grown its profitability steadily over the track...

Ethan Aw

Vertex Technology Acquisition (VTAC SP)/17LIVE: Turn Off

Industry data and the financials suggest caution is warranted. The purchase consideration of 17LIVE in the De-SPAC transaction is S$925.1 million...

Arun George

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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TME (TME US) – Inline 3Q23 results; strong music subscription revenue growth

Looking ahead, we forecast total revenue to decline by 10% YoY to RMB6.7bn in 4Q23E, due to the persisting impact of social entertainment business...

CMB International

[Tencent(700 HK,BUY,TP HK$425)Target Price Change]: International Game and Advertising Drove Results

​Tencent's Q3 results are expected to exceed consensus, with increased estimates for international game growth and advertising business benefiting...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Chenqi Technology Pre-IPO - Listing Would Almost Feel like a Pipe Dream

Chenqi Technology Limited is looking to raise US$300m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. Dida’s inability to list and Chinese regulators’ scrutiny on...

Ethan Aw

Cirrus Aircraft Pre-IPO - Has Grown Steadily but Faces Prominent Regulatory Risks

Cirrus Aircraft (0153126D US) is looking to raise up to US$300m in its upcoming HK IPO. CA has grown its profitability steadily over the track...

Ethan Aw

Vertex Technology Acquisition (VTAC SP)/17LIVE: Turn Off

Industry data and the financials suggest caution is warranted. The purchase consideration of 17LIVE in the De-SPAC transaction is S$925.1 million...

Arun George

Tencent's Q3 results are expected to exceed consensus, with increased estimates for international game growth and advertising business benefiting...