Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On 26th Aug 2022, PCAOB and CSRC announced that they had entered into an agreement granting US authorities access to investigate public accounting firms headquartered in China and HK.</li>
<li>On 2nd Apr 2022, CSRC put out a draft for public comments on the revision of certain provisions which would allow easier access by overseas regulators to China ADRs audits.</li>
<li>In this note, we'll talk about the latest developments and its implications.</li>
</ul>


On 26th Aug 2022, PCAOB and CSRC announced that they had entered into an agreement granting US authorities access to investigate public accounting firms headquartered in China and HK.
On 2nd Apr 2022, CSRC put out a draft for public comments on the revision of certain provisions which would allow easier access by overseas regulators to China ADRs audits.
In this note, we'll talk about the latest developments and its implications.


China ADRs Delisting - Tide Is Turning - Non-HK Listed ADRs Are Already Outperforming

<ul>
<li>SenseTime Group (STG) raised US$741m in its Hong Kong IPO in Dec 21. The IPO barely made it through and was priced at the bottom of its IPO price range.</li>
<li>STG is a leading AI software company. STG was the largest AI software company in Asia in terms of 2020 revenue, as per Frost &amp; Sullivan (F&amp;S).</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.</li>
</ul>


SenseTime Group (STG) raised US$741m in its Hong Kong IPO in Dec 21. The IPO barely made it through and was priced at the bottom of its IPO price range.
STG is a leading AI software company. STG was the largest AI software company in Asia in terms of 2020 revenue, as per Frost &amp; Sullivan (F&amp;S).
In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.


SenseTime Lock-Up -Investment Blacklist Will Further Pressurize the Upcoming US$18bn Lock-Up Release

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>IPO volumes remain subdued across the region, although a number of deals are said to be looking to launch soon.</li>
<li>Placements stole the limelight this week too with Kakao Pay's selldown by Ant and Joy Spreader's crash pulling the scales even on last week's better performing deals.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
IPO volumes remain subdued across the region, although a number of deals are said to be looking to launch soon.
Placements stole the limelight this week too with Kakao Pay's selldown by Ant and Joy Spreader's crash pulling the scales even on last week's better performing deals.


ECM Weekly (12th June 2022) - Alibaba, Kakao Pay, Thai Life, Tuhu, GoGoX, Net Protection, WM Motor

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Bilibili reported 1Q2022 results yesterday. Revenue grew 29.6% YoY to RMB5.1bn (vs consensus RMB5.04bn) while operating losses as a % of revenue increased to 39.4% from 26.4% in 1Q2021.</li>
<li>Monthly Paying Users (MPUs) reached 27.2m vs 20.5m in 1Q2021, however, blended ARPU declined to RMB41.8 from RMB43.4 a year ago suggesting that user growth comes at lower pricing.</li>
<li>Bilibili’s ADS’ closed 15% lower at the end of yesterday’s trading as widening losses and softer guidance for 2Q2022 disappointed the market.</li>
</ul>


Bilibili reported 1Q2022 results yesterday. Revenue grew 29.6% YoY to RMB5.1bn (vs consensus RMB5.04bn) while operating losses as a % of revenue increased to 39.4% from 26.4% in 1Q2021.
Monthly Paying Users (MPUs) reached 27.2m vs 20.5m in 1Q2021, however, blended ARPU declined to RMB41.8 from RMB43.4 a year ago suggesting that user growth comes at lower pricing.
Bilibili’s ADS’ closed 15% lower at the end of yesterday’s trading as widening losses and softer guidance for 2Q2022 disappointed the market.


Bilibili 1Q2022: Widening Losses and There Is Further Downside

<ul>
<li>IQiyi reported 1Q2022 results last week. Revenue fell 8.7% YoY to RMB 7.3bn (vs consensus RMB 7.22bn) and reported an OP of RMB 93.4m (vs consensus loss of RMB 297m).</li>
<li>Growth in ARM helped offset decline in the number of subscribers for membership revenue. However, online advertising and content distribution both declined due to lack of content and macroeconomic weaknesses.  </li>
<li>IQiyi’s shares have gained 11.2% since its earnings announcement as the company reported an OPM for the first time.</li>
</ul>


IQiyi reported 1Q2022 results last week. Revenue fell 8.7% YoY to RMB 7.3bn (vs consensus RMB 7.22bn) and reported an OP of RMB 93.4m (vs consensus loss of RMB 297m).
Growth in ARM helped offset decline in the number of subscribers for membership revenue. However, online advertising and content distribution both declined due to lack of content and macroeconomic weaknesses.  
IQiyi’s shares have gained 11.2% since its earnings announcement as the company reported an OPM for the first time.


IQiyi – Generates Profits for the First Time; Can It Maintain Its Profitability?

China

Tencent Music Entertainment operates an online music entertainment platform in China. The Company offers platform that comprises of online music, recording, music-centric live streaming enabling users to discover, listen, sing, watch, perform, and socialize music.

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Tencent Music (TME US)

China ADRs Delisting - Tide Is Turning - Non-HK Listed ADRs Are Already Outperforming

On 26th Aug 2022, PCAOB and CSRC announced that they had entered into an agreement granting US authorities access to investigate public accounting...

Sumeet Singh

SenseTime Lock-Up -Investment Blacklist Will Further Pressurize the Upcoming US$18bn Lock-Up Release

SenseTime Group (STG) raised US$741m in its Hong Kong IPO in Dec 21. The lockup on the pre-IPO and cornerstone investors will expire later this month.

Sumeet Singh

ECM Weekly (12th June 2022) - Alibaba, Kakao Pay, Thai Life, Tuhu, GoGoX, Net Protection, WM Motor

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

Bilibili 1Q2022: Widening Losses and There Is Further Downside

Though 1Q2022 revenues beat consensus, operating losses further widened to 39.4% of revenues. MPUs increased but at the cost of lower ARPU and the...

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

IQiyi – Generates Profits for the First Time; Can It Maintain Its Profitability?

Though iQiyi's revenues declined YoY in 1Q2022 due to weaknesses in online ad and content distrbn, the company managed to report operating profits...

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

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