Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

Zhejiang Leapmotor Technologie / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Several news media outlets reported that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhejiang-leapmotor-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35968:1" rel="noopener">Leapmotor (9863 HK)</a> had inflated its sales data for December 2022 based on distributor claims.</li>
<li>With China ending its new energy vehicle subsidy policy in 2022, EV makers were rushing to sell as many units as possible before embracing price hikes and face competition.</li>
<li>The company announced a price hike in January and sales volumes have declined in 1Q2023. We think the company will struggle to increase its sales volume going forward.</li>
</ul>


Several news media outlets reported that Leapmotor (9863 HK) had inflated its sales data for December 2022 based on distributor claims.
With China ending its new energy vehicle subsidy policy in 2022, EV makers were rushing to sell as many units as possible before embracing price hikes and face competition.
The company announced a price hike in January and sales volumes have declined in 1Q2023. We think the company will struggle to increase its sales volume going forward.


Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

Zhejiang Leapmotor Technologie / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhejiang-leapmotor-technologie" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35968:1" rel="noopener">Leapmotor (9863 HK)</a> (LM) raised around US$800m in its Hong Kong IPO. The stock was listed in Sep 2022, its lockup on pre-IPO investors will expire on 29th Sep 2023.</li>
<li>LM is a smart EV company based in China, founded in 2015.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.</li>
</ul>



Leapmotor (9863 HK) (LM) raised around US$800m in its Hong Kong IPO. The stock was listed in Sep 2022, its lockup on pre-IPO investors will expire on 29th Sep 2023.
LM is a smart EV company based in China, founded in 2015.
In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.


Leapmotor IPO Lock-Up - US$3.3bn Lockup Expiry, Everyone in the Money, CCASS Movement to Boot

China/Asia TMT

Shawn Yang

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>NIO ：NIO' s sales in Europe grew rapidly in August（+）</li>
<li>BYD/XPEV/NIO/TSLA: Chinese new energy vehicles no longer meet French electric vehicle subsidy standards（-）</li>
<li>August EV export growth decelerated, batttery export growth rebound while inverter in price war (-)</li>
</ul>


NIO ：NIO' s sales in Europe grew rapidly in August（+）
BYD/XPEV/NIO/TSLA: Chinese new energy vehicles no longer meet French electric vehicle subsidy standards（-）
August EV export growth decelerated, batttery export growth rebound while inverter in price war (-)


China TMT Update-NIO/BYD/XPEV/NIO/TSLA-August EV Export Growth Decelerated/NIO' S Sales in Europe

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>China’s passenger-vehicle (PV) retail sales volume rose 2% YoY and 8% MoM to 1.92mn units in Aug 2023, the 3rd highest Aug in history, and 1% higher than our prior forecast.</li><li>YTD retail sales volume rose 3% YoY. Wholesale volume rose 7% YoY and 8% MoM to 2.27mn units in Aug 2023, the best Aug in history, and 2% higher than our prior forecast.</li><li>Wholesale volume rose 7% YoY (or +0.99mn units YoY) YTD, aided by 70% YoY growth (or +1.01mn units YoY) of exports. </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

China’s passenger-vehicle (PV) retail sales volume rose 2% YoY and 8% MoM to 1.92mn units in Aug 2023, the 3rd highest Aug in history, and 1% higher than our prior forecast.YTD retail sales volume rose 3% YoY. Wholesale volume rose 7% YoY and 8% MoM to 2.27mn units in Aug 2023, the best Aug in history, and 2% higher than our prior forecast.Wholesale volume rose 7% YoY (or +0.99mn units YoY) YTD, aided by 70% YoY growth (or +1.01mn units YoY) of exports. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Auto Sector – More NEV Model Rollouts as a Positive Catalyst

<ul>
<li>NIO/LI/XPEV:Xpeng G9 facelift price cut exceeds expectations ( -/ -/ +)</li>
<li>Real Estate Industry Update: Guangzhou lift purchase restrictions in outer regions, and property transaction activities are ramping sequentially（+）</li>
<li>NIO：NIO released a self-developed chip, automotive operating system SkyOS , and NIO Phone（+）</li>
</ul>


NIO/LI/XPEV:Xpeng G9 facelift price cut exceeds expectations ( -/ -/ +)
Real Estate Industry Update: Guangzhou lift purchase restrictions in outer regions, and property transaction activities are ramping sequentially（+）
NIO：NIO released a self-developed chip, automotive operating system SkyOS , and NIO Phone（+）


China TMT Update-NIO/LI/XPEV/BEKE/NIO-Xpeng G9/Guangzhou Lift Purchase Restrictions/NIO Chip

China

NIO Inc. manufactures and sells automobiles. The Company offers electric vehicles and parts, as well as provides battery charging services. NIO serves customers worldwide.

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NIO (NIO US)

Leapmotor: In Desperate Straits..

AS Leapmotor's IPO lock-up expiry is approaching, we think this insight will offer investors a glimpse into the company's financials...

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

Leapmotor IPO Lock-Up - US$3.3bn Lockup Expiry, Everyone in the Money, CCASS Movement to Boot

Leapmotor (9863 HK) (LM) raised around US$800m in its Hong Kong IPO. The stock was listed in Sep 2022, its lockup on pre-IPO investors will expire...

Sumeet Singh

China TMT Update-NIO/BYD/XPEV/NIO/TSLA-August EV Export Growth Decelerated/NIO' S Sales in Europe

NIO' s sales in Europe grew rapidly in August;Chinese new energy vehicles no longer meet French electric vehicle subsidy standards;August EV export...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

China Auto Sector – More NEV Model Rollouts as a Positive Catalyst

China’s passenger-vehicle (PV) retail sales volume rose 2% YoY and 8% MoM to 1.92mn units in Aug 2023, the 3rd highest Aug in history, and 1%...

CMB International

China TMT Update-NIO/LI/XPEV/BEKE/NIO-Xpeng G9/Guangzhou Lift Purchase Restrictions/NIO Chip

Xpeng G9 facelift price cut exceeds expectations、Guangzhou lift purchase restrictions in outer regions、NIO released a self-developed chip

Blue Lotus Research Institute

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