AI | Semiconductors | Commodities, Mint Finance

Raghav Vashisht

AI | Semiconductors | Commodities

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Despite a 307% surge in revenue, CoreWeave's extended six-year GPU depreciation schedule flatters its profitability while masking faster asset wear-down.</li>
<li>Despite ballooning into a $30 bn market cap, CoreWeave is weighed down by debt and lease obligations; Q2 interest expense exceeded operating profit, with CRWV netting $290 m in losses. </li>
<li>The Aug 15 IPO lock-up expiry triggered insider selling via $1 bn+ block trades, driving a 35% stock plunge and spiking short interest.</li>
</ul>


Despite a 307% surge in revenue, CoreWeave's extended six-year GPU depreciation schedule flatters its profitability while masking faster asset wear-down.
Despite ballooning into a $30 bn market cap, CoreWeave is weighed down by debt and lease obligations; Q2 interest expense exceeded operating profit, with CRWV netting $290 m in losses. 
The Aug 15 IPO lock-up expiry triggered insider selling via $1 bn+ block trades, driving a 35% stock plunge and spiking short interest.


CoreWeave’s Growth Meets Debt-Heavy Risk

Podcast On the Business of Semiconductors, The Circuit

The Circuit

Podcast On the Business of Semiconductors

A Podcast On the Business of Semiconductors. With Jay Goldberg and Ben Bajarin

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Discussion about the licenses and revenue share/tax imposed on AMD and Nvidia for selling to China</li><li>Concerns raised about the constitutionality of the measure and potential precedent it sets</li><li>Previous experiences in China contrasted with current moves towards a planned economy in America</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Discussion about the licenses and revenue share/tax imposed on AMD and Nvidia for selling to ChinaConcerns raised about the constitutionality of the measure and potential precedent it setsPrevious experiences in China contrasted with current moves towards a planned economy in AmericaThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

EP 131: NVIDIA/AMD Export Tax Unconstitutional? AMAT Earnings, Another Week for Intel!

Quantitative Researcher, MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Quantitative Researcher

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>A quick synoptic look at the tactical setups for the indices, stocks, commodities and bonds we cover, for the week August 18 - August 22.     .XLSX MODEL DATA FILE ATTACHED.
</li>
<li>
OVERBOUGHT at the WEEKLY Close: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/apple-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:666:1" rel="noopener">AAPL US</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alphabet-inc-cl-c" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11369:1" rel="noopener">GOOG US</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meta-platforms-inc-class-a-facebook" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:665:1" rel="noopener">META US</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-mobile-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27:1" rel="noopener">China Mobile (941 HK)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyota-motor-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:73:1" rel="noopener">Toyota Motor (7203 JP)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/softbank-group-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:315:1" rel="noopener">Softbank Group (9984 JP)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909:1" rel="noopener">Nikkei 225</a>
</li>
<li>
OVERSOLD at the WEEKLY Close: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/commonwealth-bank-of-australia" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14:1" rel="noopener">Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA AU)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/crude-oil" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22869:1" rel="noopener">Crude Oil (CL1 COM COMDTY)</a> </li>
</ul>


A quick synoptic look at the tactical setups for the indices, stocks, commodities and bonds we cover, for the week August 18 - August 22.     .XLSX MODEL DATA FILE ATTACHED.


OVERBOUGHT at the WEEKLY Close: AAPL US , GOOG US , META US , China Mobile (941 HK) , Toyota Motor (7203 JP) , Softbank Group (9984 JP) , Nikkei 225


OVERSOLD at the WEEKLY Close: Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA AU) , Crude Oil (CL1 COM COMDTY) 


Global Markets Tactical Outlook WEEKLY: August 18 – August 22

Head of Research, Krungthai XSpring

Waraporn Wiboonkanarak

Head of Research

A full service Thai brokerage

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring is a full service broker. The company provides a wide range of investment services such as Securities Brokerage, Derivative Agent Business, Securities Borrowing and Lending, Securities Trading, Underwriting, Financial Advisory, Wealth Advisory, Private Fund Management and International Markets Securities Trading. 

In terms of credibility, Fitch Ratings has assigned Krunghtai XSpring a long-term rating of AA- and a national short-term rating of F1+ with stable outlook.

<ul><li>The SET Index today is expected to rebound within a limited range, with the resistance at 1,270/1,280 points and the support at 1,252/1,239 points (200-day EMA).</li><li>External factors are slightly negative after the US July PPI rose more than expected, dampening hopes that the Fed will cut interest rates by 50 bps at its mid-September meeting, though there may be a positive surprise from tonight’s meeting between the US and Ukraine if Ukraine agrees to Russia’s proposal, contrary to market expectations.</li><li>Domestic factors are slightly positive, supported by: i) better-than-expected 2Q25 earnings from Thai listed companies (+8.6%), with 1H25 earnings accounting for 57.5% of full-year estimates, which could lead to upward earnings and target revisions, and ii) the House of Representatives passing the 2026 fiscal budget bill last Friday, while the NESDC signaled a more positive outlook for the second half of the year compared to earlier concerns over US tariff hikes, adding upside to 2025E GDP growth and reducing the risk of contraction if Prime Minister Paetongtarn is found guilty by the court and a new prime minister must be selected on August 29.</li></ul>

The SET Index today is expected to rebound within a limited range, with the resistance at 1,270/1,280 points and the support at 1,252/1,239 points (200-day EMA).External factors are slightly negative after the US July PPI rose more than expected, dampening hopes that the Fed will cut interest rates by 50 bps at its mid-September meeting, though there may be a positive surprise from tonight’s meeting between the US and Ukraine if Ukraine agrees to Russia’s proposal, contrary to market expectations.Domestic factors are slightly positive, supported by: i) better-than-expected 2Q25 earnings from Thai listed companies (+8.6%), with 1H25 earnings accounting for 57.5% of full-year estimates, which could lead to upward earnings and target revisions, and ii) the House of Representatives passing the 2026 fiscal budget bill last Friday, while the NESDC signaled a more positive outlook for the second half of the year compared to earlier concerns over US tariff hikes, adding upside to 2025E GDP growth and reducing the risk of contraction if Prime Minister Paetongtarn is found guilty by the court and a new prime minister must be selected on August 29.

Krungthai XSpring Zoom Eng. August 18, 2025

HarmoniQ Insights

William Mann

Independent Insight Provider

At HarmoniQ Insights, we empower investors to enhance their investment strategies by integrating cutting-edge quantitative research processes and technologies. Our solutions provide access to leading quantitative data providers and services, tailored to align with each client’s unique goals. By bridging the gap between traditional investment approaches and advanced data-driven methods, we help clients gain a competitive edge through innovation in both process and technology.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>Lauren is a bilingual expert in traditional investments and Bitcoin</li><li>Institutions are moving into Bitcoin and exploring UTXO management</li><li>Markets are experiencing unprecedented moves, with Bitcoin and gold leading the way</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Lauren is a bilingual expert in traditional investments and BitcoinInstitutions are moving into Bitcoin and exploring UTXO managementMarkets are experiencing unprecedented moves, with Bitcoin and gold leading the wayThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Institutions Are Coming for Bitcoin — UTXO’s Loren Asmus Explains How

United States

NVIDIA Corporation designs, develops, and markets three dimensional (3D) graphics processors and related software.  The Company's products provide interactive 3D graphics to the mainstream personal computer market.

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NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US)

CoreWeave’s Growth Meets Debt-Heavy Risk

CoreWeave's revenue surge masks faster asset wear-down; debt and lease obligations weigh down $30 bn market cap; insider selling triggers 35%...

Mint Finance

EP 131: NVIDIA/AMD Export Tax Unconstitutional? AMAT Earnings, Another Week for Intel!

An analyst discusses the potential impact of licensing and taxes on AMD and Nvidia in China, expressing concerns about legality and the need for a...

The Circuit

Global Markets Tactical Outlook WEEKLY: August 18 – August 22

Global Tactical setups for the week of August 18-22: Many US and Asia/Pacific stocks are overbought but Asia/Pacific stocks can rally higher.

Nico Rosti

Krungthai XSpring Zoom Eng. August 18, 2025

The SET Index today is expected to rebound within a limited range, with the resistance at 1,270/1,280 points and the support at 1,252/1,239 points...

Krungthai XSpring

Institutions Are Coming for Bitcoin — UTXO’s Loren Asmus Explains How

Lauren, a bilingual investor, will discuss the move of institutions towards bitcoin, the playbook for bringing traditional finance capital into the...

William Mann

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52-week Range

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Dividend (Yield)

CoreWeave’s Growth Meets Debt-Heavy Risk

​CoreWeave's revenue surge masks faster asset wear-down; debt and lease obligations weigh down $30 bn market cap; insider selling triggers 35%...

Mint Finance

EP 131: NVIDIA/AMD Export Tax Unconstitutional? AMAT Earnings, Another Week for Intel!

An analyst discusses the potential impact of licensing and taxes on AMD and Nvidia in China, expressing concerns about legality and the need for a...

The Circuit

Global Markets Tactical Outlook WEEKLY: August 18 – August 22

​Global Tactical setups for the week of August 18-22: Many US and Asia/Pacific stocks are overbought but Asia/Pacific stocks can rally higher.

Nico Rosti

Krungthai XSpring Zoom Eng. August 18, 2025

The SET Index today is expected to rebound within a limited range, with the resistance at 1,270/1,280 points and the support at 1,252/1,239 points...

Krungthai XSpring

Institutions Are Coming for Bitcoin — UTXO’s Loren Asmus Explains How

Lauren, a bilingual investor, will discuss the move of institutions towards bitcoin, the playbook for bringing traditional finance capital into the...

William Mann

CoreWeave's revenue surge masks faster asset wear-down; debt and lease obligations weigh down $30 bn market cap; insider selling triggers 35%...

Global Tactical setups for the week of August 18-22: Many US and Asia/Pacific stocks are overbought but Asia/Pacific stocks can rally higher.