Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>At end-September, the Nikkei 225 semi-annual review imposed a "cap" on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fast-retailing-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:751:1" rel="noopener">Fast Retailing (9983 JP)</a> in the Average, applying a 0.9 coefficient to the Price Adjustment Factor.</li>
<li>At its current weight, Fast Retailing will be capped again in March 2025. If the stock outperforms Nikkei 225 by another 3% before 31 January 2025, it could be double-capped.</li>
<li>And an additional 16% would mean ¥1.1trln of sales in March. But like last time, this is a rubber band which stretches. Too far, and selling pressure is obvious.</li>
</ul>


At end-September, the Nikkei 225 semi-annual review imposed a "cap" on Fast Retailing (9983 JP) in the Average, applying a 0.9 coefficient to the Price Adjustment Factor.
At its current weight, Fast Retailing will be capped again in March 2025. If the stock outperforms Nikkei 225 by another 3% before 31 January 2025, it could be double-capped.
And an additional 16% would mean ¥1.1trln of sales in March. But like last time, this is a rubber band which stretches. Too far, and selling pressure is obvious.


Mar25 Nikkei 225 Rebal: Considering Fast Retailing Capping.... Again...

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tokyo-metro-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40930:1" rel="noopener">Tokyo Metro (9023 JP)</a>'s  shareholders aim to raise up to US$2.3bn in its Japan IPO.</li>
<li>Tokyo Metro (TKM) is one of the two metro network operators in the Tokyo region. It operates nine subway lines with a total of 180 stations.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous note. In this note, we will undertake a peer comparison.</li>
</ul>



Tokyo Metro (9023 JP)'s  shareholders aim to raise up to US$2.3bn in its Japan IPO.
Tokyo Metro (TKM) is one of the two metro network operators in the Tokyo region. It operates nine subway lines with a total of 180 stations.
We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous note. In this note, we will undertake a peer comparison.


Tokyo Metro IPO - Peer Comparison - Pre-COVID to 1Q25

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tokyo-metro-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40930:1" rel="noopener">Tokyo Metro (9023 JP)</a>'s shareholders aim to raise up to US$2.3bn in its Japan IPO.</li>
<li>Tokyo Metro (TKM) is one of the two metro network operators in the Tokyo region. It operates nine subway lines with a total of 180 stations.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



Tokyo Metro (9023 JP)'s shareholders aim to raise up to US$2.3bn in its Japan IPO.
Tokyo Metro (TKM) is one of the two metro network operators in the Tokyo region. It operates nine subway lines with a total of 180 stations.
In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.


Tokyo Metro IPO - The Negatives - Hasn't Recovered Fully but Div and Debt Have

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tokyo-metro-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40930:1" rel="noopener">Tokyo Metro (9023 JP)</a>'s  shareholders aim to raise up to US$2.3bn in its upcoming Japan IPO. </li>
<li>Tokyo Metro (TKM) is one of the two metro network operators in the Tokyo region. It operates nine subway lines with a total of 180 stations.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



Tokyo Metro (9023 JP)'s  shareholders aim to raise up to US$2.3bn in its upcoming Japan IPO. 
Tokyo Metro (TKM) is one of the two metro network operators in the Tokyo region. It operates nine subway lines with a total of 180 stations.
In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.


Tokyo Metro IPO - The Positives - Quasi-Monopoly Status

Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets, JapanConsuming

Michael Causton

Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets

Real Insight on Japanese Consumer Markets

JapanConsuming

JapanConsuming is a specialist research firm producing intelligence on Japanese retail and consumer markets. Founded in 2000, JapanConsuming has become the leading provider of insights on Japanese retailers and consumer trends to retailers, brands, government agencies and investors. As well as a highly regarded monthly report on the market, JapanConsuming produces in-depth reports on retail sectors, seminars on key trends and telephone consulting to investors on trends and retailers.

JapanConsuming was founded by Michael Causton and Roy Larke. 

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Uniqlo’s European arm is on a roll, with more stores, higher sales and a loyal fan base. 35% of customers were under 29 last year up from 16% in 2019.</li>
<li>Uniqlo is also doing better at home but it needs the boost from newer markets given concerns over growth in China.</li>
<li>And it is far too early to know whether GU's formal launch in the US will pay off but so far so good.</li>
</ul>


Uniqlo’s European arm is on a roll, with more stores, higher sales and a loyal fan base. 35% of customers were under 29 last year up from 16% in 2019.
Uniqlo is also doing better at home but it needs the boost from newer markets given concerns over growth in China.
And it is far too early to know whether GU's formal launch in the US will pay off but so far so good.


Japan

FAST RETAILING CO., LTD. operates a chain of clothing stores, UNIQLO, throughout Japan and in other markets overseas including UK, China, Hong Kong, South Korea, US, France, Singapore and Russia.  The Company designs, manufactures, and retails its own line of casual clothing.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Fast Retailing (9983 JP)

Mar25 Nikkei 225 Rebal: Considering Fast Retailing Capping.... Again...

Fast Retailing is the first Nikkei 225 stock to be capped. That meant nearly ¥400bn of selling yesterday. Now it is due to be capped again in 6...

Travis Lundy

Tokyo Metro IPO - Peer Comparison - Pre-COVID to 1Q25

Tokyo Metro (9023 JP)'s shareholders aim to raise up to US$2.3bn in its Japan IPO. In this note, we undertake a peer comparison.

Sumeet Singh

Tokyo Metro IPO - The Negatives - Hasn't Recovered Fully but Div and Debt Have

Tokyo Metro (9023 JP)'s shareholders aim to raise up to US$2.3bn in its Japan IPO. In this note, we talk about the not-so-postive.

Sumeet Singh

Tokyo Metro IPO - The Positives - Quasi-Monopoly Status

Tokyo Metro (9023 JP)'s shareholders aim to raise up to US$2.3bn in its upcoming Japan IPO. In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of...

Sumeet Singh

Uniqlo’s European Romance

Uniqlo's European expansion has momentum with increased sales and a younger customer base, while growth in China remains uncertain and GU's US...

Michael Causton

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Mar25 Nikkei 225 Rebal: Considering Fast Retailing Capping.... Again...

Fast Retailing is the first Nikkei 225 stock to be capped. That meant nearly ¥400bn of selling yesterday. Now it is due to be capped again in 6...

Travis Lundy

Tokyo Metro IPO - Peer Comparison - Pre-COVID to 1Q25

Tokyo Metro (9023 JP)'s shareholders aim to raise up to US$2.3bn in its Japan IPO. In this note, we undertake a peer comparison.

Sumeet Singh

Tokyo Metro IPO - The Negatives - Hasn't Recovered Fully but Div and Debt Have

Tokyo Metro (9023 JP)'s shareholders aim to raise up to US$2.3bn in its Japan IPO. In this note, we talk about the not-so-postive.

Sumeet Singh

Tokyo Metro IPO - The Positives - Quasi-Monopoly Status

Tokyo Metro (9023 JP)'s shareholders aim to raise up to US$2.3bn in its upcoming Japan IPO. In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of...

Sumeet Singh

Uniqlo’s European Romance

​Uniqlo's European expansion has momentum with increased sales and a younger customer base, while growth in China remains uncertain and GU's US...

Michael Causton

Uniqlo's European expansion has momentum with increased sales and a younger customer base, while growth in China remains uncertain and GU's US...