Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Beneunder Limited (BL) aims to raise around US$500m in its Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>According to CIC, it was the largest sunprotection apparel brand in China in terms of both total retail sales value and online retail sales value with 5.0% and 12.9% marketshare. </li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>


Beneunder Limited (BL) aims to raise around US$500m in its Hong Kong IPO.
According to CIC, it was the largest sunprotection apparel brand in China in terms of both total retail sales value and online retail sales value with 5.0% and 12.9% marketshare. 
In this note, we will talk about the positive aspects of the deal.


Beneunder Pre-IPO - The Positives - Basking in the Sun

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The Nikkei 225 Annual Review is in September based on end-July data. Jumping the gun, I propose 3 additions and 3 deletions with granular data and details offered per sector.</li>
<li>I see ¥600bn to buy and a funding trade of 99% of that. There are 15+ names with more than 1 day of ADV to sell (funding only).</li>
<li>The impact on Real World Float is non-negligible. One name in particular is deserving of attention. </li>
</ul>


The Nikkei 225 Annual Review is in September based on end-July data. Jumping the gun, I propose 3 additions and 3 deletions with granular data and details offered per sector.
I see ¥600bn to buy and a funding trade of 99% of that. There are 15+ names with more than 1 day of ADV to sell (funding only).
The impact on Real World Float is non-negligible. One name in particular is deserving of attention. 


Nikkei 225 Sep Annual Review Predictions - 3 In, 3 Out

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>With discounting delayed, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fast-retailing-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:751:1" rel="noopener">Fast Retailing (9983 JP)'s</a> 3QFY22 was a surprise to the upside as its OP grew 36.5% YoY to ¥81.8bn (consensus:¥65.8bn) to exceed the pre-COVID level by 9.7%.</li>
<li>Nevertheless, the upside seems limited in the short-term, with shares already trading at a stretched valuation of 22.2x consensus FY+2 OP, compared to the historical median of 15.5x.</li>
<li>At around ¥290.0bn FY+1 OP, a fair price should be somewhere around ¥58,000-60,000, which implies a downside of around 25%.</li>
</ul>


With discounting delayed, Fast Retailing (9983 JP)'s 3QFY22 was a surprise to the upside as its OP grew 36.5% YoY to ¥81.8bn (consensus:¥65.8bn) to exceed the pre-COVID level by 9.7%.
Nevertheless, the upside seems limited in the short-term, with shares already trading at a stretched valuation of 22.2x consensus FY+2 OP, compared to the historical median of 15.5x.
At around ¥290.0bn FY+1 OP, a fair price should be somewhere around ¥58,000-60,000, which implies a downside of around 25%.


Fast Retailing: Guidance Upgraded, Yet The Upside Seems Limited Due to Stretched Valuations

David Blennerhassett

<ul>
<li>Berkshire appears set to exit <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20962:1" rel="noopener">BYD (1211 HK)</a></strong> partially or in full. But why signal to market well in advance?</li>
<li>
<strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-tractors-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:698:1" rel="noopener">United Tractors (UNTR IJ)</a></strong>'s buyback should be impactful. They could do another one afterwards as they have lots of cash. This is a raging buy. Buy now. With both hands.</li>
<li>The BOJ was expected to change its ETF allocations. It stopped buying Nikkei 225 and JPX Nikkei 400 ETFs. As the world moves more to passive, expect float to decrease.</li>
</ul>


Berkshire appears set to exit BYD (1211 HK) partially or in full. But why signal to market well in advance?

United Tractors (UNTR IJ)'s buyback should be impactful. They could do another one afterwards as they have lots of cash. This is a raging buy. Buy now. With both hands.
The BOJ was expected to change its ETF allocations. It stopped buying Nikkei 225 and JPX Nikkei 400 ETFs. As the world moves more to passive, expect float to decrease.


Last Week in Event SPACE: BYD, Astra/United Tractor, Japan Passive, AGL, Genting Singapore

Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>We share weekly commentaries on stocks in our coverage that had a good or bad week </li>
<li>Fast Retailing was the standout performer, trading up 11% this week</li>
<li>Wooden spoons for Money Forward and Yaskawa, both lower after reporting earnings</li>
</ul>


We share weekly commentaries on stocks in our coverage that had a good or bad week 
Fast Retailing was the standout performer, trading up 11% this week
Wooden spoons for Money Forward and Yaskawa, both lower after reporting earnings


Japan Stock Commentary | Uniqlo, Yaskawa and Money Forward

Japan

FAST RETAILING CO., LTD. operates a chain of clothing stores, UNIQLO, throughout Japan and in other markets overseas including UK, China, Hong Kong, South Korea, US, France, Singapore and Russia.  The Company designs, manufactures, and retails its own line of casual clothing.

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Fast Retailing (9983 JP)

Beneunder Pre-IPO - The Positives - Basking in the Sun

Beneunder Limited aims to raise around US$500m in its Hong Kong IPO. Sales have grown 6x over FY19-21. In this note, we talk about the positive...

Sumeet Singh

Nikkei 225 Sep Annual Review Predictions - 3 In, 3 Out

The September Nikkei 225 Rebal announcement is ~ 6 weeks away. Assuming the current plans go through, I see three adds, three deletes. The adds are...

Travis Lundy

Fast Retailing: Guidance Upgraded, Yet The Upside Seems Limited Due to Stretched Valuations

Fast Retailing’s share price rallied 8.7% on Friday, following a significant earnings beat in 3QFY22 which prompted the company to raise its annual...

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

Last Week in Event SPACE: BYD, Astra/United Tractor, Japan Passive, AGL, Genting Singapore

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Japan Stock Commentary | Uniqlo, Yaskawa and Money Forward

We share our weekly commentaries on stocks in our coverage universe that have appreciated or dropped by a significant amount during the course of...

Mark Chadwick

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