Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>DeepSeek has permanently changed the future of AI.  With its R1 model the company democratized AI much the same as Google did for search more than 20 years ago.</li>
<li>China's platform companies like <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd-d7b798e2-202d-4e01-9a1e-799e2ae8f0c7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/baidu-inc-a55ca720-5968-48f0-8194-ac94390d065c" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32212:1" rel="noopener">Baidu (9888 HK)</a> , and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kuaishou-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29725:1" rel="noopener">Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK)</a> have released their own AI models.</li>
<li>As China's AI industry is benefiting from DeepSeek's cost-effective innovations, the US hyperscalers are being questioned on their ability to justify their enormous AI investments, historical and projected investments.</li>
</ul>


DeepSeek has permanently changed the future of AI.  With its R1 model the company democratized AI much the same as Google did for search more than 20 years ago.
China's platform companies like Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK) , Tencent (700 HK) , Baidu (9888 HK) , and Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK) have released their own AI models.
As China's AI industry is benefiting from DeepSeek's cost-effective innovations, the US hyperscalers are being questioned on their ability to justify their enormous AI investments, historical and projected investments.


DeepSeek Reveals AI's Trillion Dollar Folly: Winners and Losers

AI | Semiconductors | Commodities, Mint Finance

Raghav Vashisht

AI | Semiconductors | Commodities

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>China’s analog chip probe and revived Nvidia antitrust case are part of a deeper strategy to force foreign tech out of its supply chain.</li>
<li>Nvidia’s China-only B40 flops, with buyers preferring grey market alternatives. Meanwhile, Domestic chipmakers like Novosense and SG Micro have rallied sharply as procurement tilts inward.</li>
<li>If Beijing blocks Nvidia’s B30A next, it could mark a full commercial exit. U.S. peers like TXN, AMD, and Synopsys may also not be far behind.</li>
</ul>


China’s analog chip probe and revived Nvidia antitrust case are part of a deeper strategy to force foreign tech out of its supply chain.
Nvidia’s China-only B40 flops, with buyers preferring grey market alternatives. Meanwhile, Domestic chipmakers like Novosense and SG Micro have rallied sharply as procurement tilts inward.
If Beijing blocks Nvidia’s B30A next, it could mark a full commercial exit. U.S. peers like TXN, AMD, and Synopsys may also not be far behind.


Not a Bargaining Chip: Beijing Is Dismantling Nvidia’s China Playbook

<ul>
<li>Hong Kong's Secular Bull Market continues with the index breaking  above its long term resistance levels.  Market breadth is expanding with 87% of stocks trading above their 200  (DMA).</li>
<li>Hong Kong market valuations are well below all other Asian markets.  This year, the materials and healthcare sectors have been the best performers.</li>
<li>Robosense Technology (2498 HK)  reported solid earnings in its LIDAR business with robotics posting surprising growth.  Deutsche Bank and China Renaissance both rate the company a BUY and raise targets.</li>
</ul>


Hong Kong's Secular Bull Market continues with the index breaking  above its long term resistance levels.  Market breadth is expanding with 87% of stocks trading above their 200  (DMA).
Hong Kong market valuations are well below all other Asian markets.  This year, the materials and healthcare sectors have been the best performers.
Robosense Technology (2498 HK)  reported solid earnings in its LIDAR business with robotics posting surprising growth.  Deutsche Bank and China Renaissance both rate the company a BUY and raise targets.


BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Market Update (September 10)

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Luxshare Precision Industry / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/luxshare-precision-industry-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12310:1" rel="noopener">Luxshare Precision Industry (002475 CH)</a> (LP), a precision intelligent manufacturer, aims to raise around US$2bn in its H-share listing.</li>
<li>LP provides cross-sector, vertically integrated development and intelligent manufacturing solutions—from components and modules to systems—for global clients across consumer electronics, automotive electronics, communication and data centers, and other end markets.</li>
<li>In this note, we look at its past performance and other deal dynamics that might impact the listing.</li>
</ul>



Luxshare Precision Industry (002475 CH) (LP), a precision intelligent manufacturer, aims to raise around US$2bn in its H-share listing.
LP provides cross-sector, vertically integrated development and intelligent manufacturing solutions—from components and modules to systems—for global clients across consumer electronics, automotive electronics, communication and data centers, and other end markets.
In this note, we look at its past performance and other deal dynamics that might impact the listing.


Luxshare Precision A/H Listing - Earnings Growth and Stock Have Been Rebounding

Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

<ul>
<li>
Context: The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd-d7b798e2-202d-4e01-9a1e-799e2ae8f0c7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba (9988 HK)</a> / <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX)</a> price-ratio deviated more than two standard deviations from its one-year average, presenting a potential relative value opportunity.</li>
<li>
Highlights: Going long the Hang Seng Index and short Alibaba (9988 HK) targets a 12% return.</li>
<li>
Why Read: Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean-reversion opportunities, with detailed execution framework, risk management protocols, and historical simulation showing the statistical basis for this relative value play.</li>
</ul>



Context: The Alibaba (9988 HK) / Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX) price-ratio deviated more than two standard deviations from its one-year average, presenting a potential relative value opportunity.

Highlights: Going long the Hang Seng Index and short Alibaba (9988 HK) targets a 12% return.

Why Read: Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean-reversion opportunities, with detailed execution framework, risk management protocols, and historical simulation showing the statistical basis for this relative value play.


Underweight/Short Alibaba (9988 HK): Quant Model Flags Mean Reversion After 40% Post-Earnings Surge

China

Alibaba Group Holding Limited provides online sales services. The Company provides internet infrastructure, electronic commerce, online financial, and internet content services through its subsidiaries. Alibaba Group Holding offers its products and services worldwide.

Price Gauge
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Alibaba (BABA US)

DeepSeek Reveals AI's Trillion Dollar Folly: Winners and Losers

China's large tech firms made announcements about their AI chip advancements igniting a market rally. This shows China's efforts to develop...

David Mudd

Not a Bargaining Chip: Beijing Is Dismantling Nvidia’s China Playbook

China is strategically pushing foreign tech out of its supply chain, with Nvidia facing challenges and domestic chipmakers benefiting. Another ban...

Mint Finance

BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Market Update (September 10)

Hong Kong reached the technical resistance level of 27100 targeted in the insight, and promptly reversed. The interday reversal could be the start...

David Mudd

Luxshare Precision A/H Listing - Earnings Growth and Stock Have Been Rebounding

Luxshare Precision Industry (002475 CH) (LP), a precision intelligent manufacturer, aims to raise around US$2bn in its H-share listing. In this...

Sumeet Singh

Underweight/Short Alibaba (9988 HK): Quant Model Flags Mean Reversion After 40% Post-Earnings Surge

Going short Alibaba (9988 HK) vs. long the Hang Seng Index targets a 12% return by applying a pair trade framework based on quantitative mean...

Gaudenz Schneider

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

DeepSeek Reveals AI's Trillion Dollar Folly: Winners and Losers

China's large tech firms made announcements about their AI chip advancements igniting a market rally. This shows China's efforts to develop...

David Mudd

Not a Bargaining Chip: Beijing Is Dismantling Nvidia’s China Playbook

​China is strategically pushing foreign tech out of its supply chain, with Nvidia facing challenges and domestic chipmakers benefiting. Another ban...

Mint Finance

BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Market Update (September 10)

Hong Kong reached the technical resistance level of 27100 targeted in the insight, and promptly reversed. The interday reversal could be the start...

David Mudd

Luxshare Precision A/H Listing - Earnings Growth and Stock Have Been Rebounding

Luxshare Precision Industry (002475 CH) (LP), a precision intelligent manufacturer, aims to raise around US$2bn in its H-share listing. In this...

Sumeet Singh

Underweight/Short Alibaba (9988 HK): Quant Model Flags Mean Reversion After 40% Post-Earnings Surge

Going short Alibaba (9988 HK) vs. long the Hang Seng Index targets a 12% return by applying a pair trade framework based on quantitative mean...

Gaudenz Schneider

China is strategically pushing foreign tech out of its supply chain, with Nvidia facing challenges and domestic chipmakers benefiting. Another ban...