Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The trade war detente between the US and China is over. US legislation to further restrict China's access to chips was initiated the day after the Busan meeting.</li>
<li>China is formulating its US-style Validated End User (VEU) system for Rare Earth Element (REE) exports, which will restrict shipments for US military use.</li>
<li>The real conflict between the US and China over technology and rare earths is likely to involve many volatile periods in the coming year as both attempt to achieve self-sufficiency.</li>
</ul>


The trade war detente between the US and China is over. US legislation to further restrict China's access to chips was initiated the day after the Busan meeting.
China is formulating its US-style Validated End User (VEU) system for Rare Earth Element (REE) exports, which will restrict shipments for US military use.
The real conflict between the US and China over technology and rare earths is likely to involve many volatile periods in the coming year as both attempt to achieve self-sufficiency.


The Art of the Trade War: COVERT OPERATIONS AND PROPAGANDA

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/klook-technology-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36548:1" rel="noopener">Klook (KLK US)</a>, a pan-regional experiences platform in Asia-Pacific, aims to raise around US$500m in its US listing.</li>
<li>Klook connects travelers with merchants providing a vast array of activities, tours, attractions and other travel services across the globe.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



Klook (KLK US), a pan-regional experiences platform in Asia-Pacific, aims to raise around US$500m in its US listing.
Klook connects travelers with merchants providing a vast array of activities, tours, attractions and other travel services across the globe.
In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.


Klook Pre-IPO - The Positives - Growth Has Been Very Strong

Shenzhen Zhaowei Machinery / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Shenzhen Zhaowei Machinery &amp; Electronics (003021 CH), aims to raise around US$700m in its H-share listing.</li>
<li>Shenzhen Zhaowei Machinery &amp; Electronic (SZME) is a provider of integrated micro transmission and drive system solutions ranking first in China and fourth globally by revenue, according to F&amp;S.</li>
<li>In this note, we look at its past performance and other deal dynamics that might impact the listing.</li>
</ul>


Shenzhen Zhaowei Machinery &amp; Electronics (003021 CH), aims to raise around US$700m in its H-share listing.
Shenzhen Zhaowei Machinery &amp; Electronic (SZME) is a provider of integrated micro transmission and drive system solutions ranking first in China and fourth globally by revenue, according to F&amp;S.
In this note, we look at its past performance and other deal dynamics that might impact the listing.


Shenzhen Zhaowei A/H Listing - Autos Thriving but Robotics Driving Share Price

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There could be 3 constituent changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-china-large-cap-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:766:1" rel="noopener">iShares China Large-Cap (FXI) (FXI US)</a> ETF in December. That could easily increase to 4.</li>
<li>Two of the forecast inclusions will also have inflows from the FGlobal Index at the same time, increasing the impact. The third is a potential <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">HSCEI INDEX</a> add in December.</li>
<li>The HA premiums for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/contemporary-amperex-technology-catl-co-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45179:1" rel="noopener">CATL (3750 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jiangsu-hengrui-pharmaceuticals-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44224:1" rel="noopener">Jiangsu Hengrui (1276 HK)</a> have dropped ahead of lock-up expiry and there could be premium expansion closer to index/ETF inclusion.</li>
</ul>


There could be 3 constituent changes for the iShares China Large-Cap (FXI) (FXI US) ETF in December. That could easily increase to 4.
Two of the forecast inclusions will also have inflows from the FGlobal Index at the same time, increasing the impact. The third is a potential HSCEI INDEX add in December.
The HA premiums for CATL (3750 HK) and Jiangsu Hengrui (1276 HK) have dropped ahead of lock-up expiry and there could be premium expansion closer to index/ETF inclusion.


FXI Rebalance Preview: New Listings, Potential Inclusions, H/A Premiums

Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd-d7b798e2-202d-4e01-9a1e-799e2ae8f0c7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba (9988 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29043:1" rel="noopener">JD.com (9618 HK)</a> often see heightened volatility following Singles’ Day (11 November), though performance varies by year.</li>
<li>Alibaba’s post-event returns are mixed, averaging nearly twice its normal four-day move, while JD.com has shown stronger and more consistent gains.</li>
<li>Option markets imply elevated short-term volatility—especially for JD.com—with potential trading opportunities around the 14 November expiry.</li>
</ul>



Alibaba (9988 HK) and JD.com (9618 HK) often see heightened volatility following Singles’ Day (11 November), though performance varies by year.
Alibaba’s post-event returns are mixed, averaging nearly twice its normal four-day move, while JD.com has shown stronger and more consistent gains.
Option markets imply elevated short-term volatility—especially for JD.com—with potential trading opportunities around the 14 November expiry.


Happy Singles’ Day! How Alibaba (9988 HK) And JD.com (9618 HK) Move After 11/11

China

Alibaba Group Holding Limited provides online sales services. The Company provides internet infrastructure, electronic commerce, online financial, and internet content services through its subsidiaries. Alibaba Group Holding offers its products and services worldwide.

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Alibaba (9988 HK)

The Art of the Trade War: COVERT OPERATIONS AND PROPAGANDA

The trade war detente between the US and China is over. US legislation to further restrict China's access to chips was initiated the day after the...

David Mudd

Klook Pre-IPO - The Positives - Growth Has Been Very Strong

Klook (KLK US), a pan-regional experiences platform in Asia-Pacific, aims to raise around US$500m in its US listing. In this note, we talk about...

Sumeet Singh

FXI Rebalance Preview: New Listings, Potential Inclusions, H/A Premiums

There could be 3/4 changes for the FXI in Dec. 2/3 adds will also have flows from global index trackers. H/A premiums have been shrinking ahead of...

Brian Freitas

Happy Singles’ Day! How Alibaba (9988 HK) And JD.com (9618 HK) Move After 11/11

Alibaba and JD.com typically experience post-Singles' Day volatility, with JD.com showing stronger gains. Potential trading opportunities in the...

Gaudenz Schneider

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

The Art of the Trade War: COVERT OPERATIONS AND PROPAGANDA

The trade war detente between the US and China is over. US legislation to further restrict China's access to chips was initiated the day after the...

David Mudd

Klook Pre-IPO - The Positives - Growth Has Been Very Strong

Klook (KLK US), a pan-regional experiences platform in Asia-Pacific, aims to raise around US$500m in its US listing. In this note, we talk about...

Sumeet Singh

Shenzhen Zhaowei A/H Listing - Autos Thriving but Robotics Driving Share Price

Shenzhen Zhaowei Machinery & Electronics (003021 CH), aims to raise around US$700m in its H-share listing. In this note, we look at the company's...

Sumeet Singh

FXI Rebalance Preview: New Listings, Potential Inclusions, H/A Premiums

There could be 3/4 changes for the FXI in Dec. 2/3 adds will also have flows from global index trackers. H/A premiums have been shrinking ahead of...

Brian Freitas

Happy Singles’ Day! How Alibaba (9988 HK) And JD.com (9618 HK) Move After 11/11

​Alibaba and JD.com typically experience post-Singles' Day volatility, with JD.com showing stronger gains. Potential trading opportunities in the...

Gaudenz Schneider

Alibaba and JD.com typically experience post-Singles' Day volatility, with JD.com showing stronger gains. Potential trading opportunities in the...