HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Capital Markets

Beijing Yuanxin Technology Group Co Ltd / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Based on the business analysis, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beijing-yuanxin-technology-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34685:1" rel="noopener">Beijing Yuanxin Technology Group Co Ltd (1865453D CH)</a> is more of a traditional offline chain drugstores than a healthcare technology company.</li>
<li>Yuanxin has been suffering from loss for years. With a gross margin of lower than 10%, it's going to be tough to turn a profit, leading to concerns on survival. </li>
<li>Due to the fierce competition in each of its businesses, homogeneous business model, weak financial position, lack of high moat, policy risks, etc., we are conservative about the Company’s outlook.</li>
</ul>


Based on the business analysis, Beijing Yuanxin Technology Group Co Ltd (1865453D CH) is more of a traditional offline chain drugstores than a healthcare technology company.
Yuanxin has been suffering from loss for years. With a gross margin of lower than 10%, it's going to be tough to turn a profit, leading to concerns on survival. 
Due to the fierce competition in each of its businesses, homogeneous business model, weak financial position, lack of high moat, policy risks, etc., we are conservative about the Company’s outlook.


Pre-IPO Beijing Yuanxin Technology Group - Conservative About the Outlook

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The gradual lifting of the lockdown in two major cities means that China's industries are recovering. In healthcare, there are both opportunities and challenges worth discussing.</li>
<li>As China restores normal production and life, we analyzed the impact/logic on nucleic acid testing business, local fiscal expenditure, pharmaceutical/medical device companies, IVD, hospital operations, global supply chain, digital healthcare.</li>
<li>Due to geopolitical conflicts, negative impact of lockdown on economy, resource shortage,inflation, the priority of healthcare may decline.The performance/returns on advanced technology/pharmaceuticals/devices or nonrigid demand could be lower than expected. </li>
</ul>


The gradual lifting of the lockdown in two major cities means that China's industries are recovering. In healthcare, there are both opportunities and challenges worth discussing.
As China restores normal production and life, we analyzed the impact/logic on nucleic acid testing business, local fiscal expenditure, pharmaceutical/medical device companies, IVD, hospital operations, global supply chain, digital healthcare.
Due to geopolitical conflicts, negative impact of lockdown on economy, resource shortage,inflation, the priority of healthcare may decline.The performance/returns on advanced technology/pharmaceuticals/devices or nonrigid demand could be lower than expected. 


China Reopen - Opportunities and Challenges in China Healthcare

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

<ul>
<li>ClouDr was the largest digital chronic condition management solution provider in China. The company’ application for a HKEx IPO has been approved and plans to raise proceeds of around US$500m.</li>
<li>The company is well positioned to benefit from growing demand for digital healthcare marketing and services in China driven by increased health awareness, technological advancements and prevalence of chronic conditions.</li>
<li>In this insight, we examine the company’s business model, segments and financials.</li>
</ul>


ClouDr was the largest digital chronic condition management solution provider in China. The company’ application for a HKEx IPO has been approved and plans to raise proceeds of around US$500m.
The company is well positioned to benefit from growing demand for digital healthcare marketing and services in China driven by increased health awareness, technological advancements and prevalence of chronic conditions.
In this insight, we examine the company’s business model, segments and financials.


ClouDr IPO: Strong Business Model with Multiple Revenue Channels

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sunac-china-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:240:1" rel="noopener">Sunac China Holdings (1918 HK)</a> is still suspended from trading and could be deleted from the index in July and replaced by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sensetime-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34319:1" rel="noopener">SenseTime Group (20 HK)</a> or <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/petrochina-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:262:1" rel="noopener">PetroChina (857 HK)</a>. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sensetime-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34319:1" rel="noopener">SenseTime (20 HK)</a> or <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/petrochina-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:262:1" rel="noopener">PetroChina (857 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/great-wall-motor-co-ltd-cb302af9-398c-4d2d-ba39-023e43287eef" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:128:1" rel="noopener">Great Wall (2333 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhongsheng-group-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10573:1" rel="noopener">Zhongsheng (881 HK)</a> could replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haidilao-international-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27044:1" rel="noopener">Haidilao (6862 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-pacific-insurance-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6177:1" rel="noopener">CPIC (2601 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-health-information-technology-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:453:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Health (241 HK)</a> in September.</li>
<li>There will be buying on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sensetime-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34319:1" rel="noopener">SenseTime Group (20 HK)</a> from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">HSCEI INDEX</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">HSTECH INDEX</a> trackers. But there is also a big lock-up expiry on 29 June.</li>
</ul>



Sunac China Holdings (1918 HK) is still suspended from trading and could be deleted from the index in July and replaced by SenseTime Group (20 HK) or PetroChina (857 HK). 

SenseTime (20 HK) or PetroChina (857 HK), Great Wall (2333 HK) and Zhongsheng (881 HK) could replace Haidilao (6862 HK), CPIC (2601 HK) and Alibaba Health (241 HK) in September.
There will be buying on SenseTime Group (20 HK) from HSCEI INDEX and HSTECH INDEX trackers. But there is also a big lock-up expiry on 29 June.


HSCEI Index Rebalance Preview: Four Sets of Changes from July to September

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The revenue YoY growth, net profit YoY growth and net profit margin reached a new low in 2021. The performance of Medlive cannot meet the market's expectations of high growth.</li>
<li>The medical knowledge solutions is the cornerstone business and vital to the attractiveness of platform for users. However, this business is not strong enough to make the outlook certain.</li>
<li>In the fierce competition, more efforts are needed on how to convert physician resources into business value continuously. Due to unreliable logic, we are conservative about Medlive at current stage.</li>
</ul>


The revenue YoY growth, net profit YoY growth and net profit margin reached a new low in 2021. The performance of Medlive cannot meet the market's expectations of high growth.
The medical knowledge solutions is the cornerstone business and vital to the attractiveness of platform for users. However, this business is not strong enough to make the outlook certain.
In the fierce competition, more efforts are needed on how to convert physician resources into business value continuously. Due to unreliable logic, we are conservative about Medlive at current stage.


Medlive Technology (2192.HK) - The Logic Has Shaken

China

Alibaba Health Information Technology Limited is an integrated healthcare information and content service provider. The Company uses product identification, authentication, and tracking system data for its healthcare information.

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Alibaba Health Information Tec (241 HK)

Pre-IPO Beijing Yuanxin Technology Group - Conservative About the Outlook

Yuanxin is more of a traditional offline drugstores than a healthcare technology company. The fierce competition/homogeneous business model/weak...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Reopen - Opportunities and Challenges in China Healthcare

As China restores normal production/life, we analyzed positive/negative impact on different healthcare sectors. There could be policy shifts. What...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

ClouDr IPO: Strong Business Model with Multiple Revenue Channels

ClouDr was the largest digital chronic condition management solution provider in China. The company’ application for a HKEx IPO has been approved...

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

HSCEI Index Rebalance Preview: Four Sets of Changes from July to September

There should be one change to the HSCEI in July and then three more in September. Sensetime, Petrochina, GWM and Zhongsheng are expected to replace...

Brian Freitas

Medlive Technology (2192.HK) - The Logic Has Shaken

The medical knowledge solutions is the key cornerstone business but it's still weak. Together with fierce competition and healthcare “rational...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

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