Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR

<ul>
<li>TSMC ADRs are trading at the high end of the recent premium/discount range.</li>
<li>UMC ADRs are near the middle of their premium/discount range, however the company will host its analyst results call this afternoon.</li>
<li>ASE's ADR premium is at the upper end of its range.</li>
</ul>


TSMC ADRs are trading at the high end of the recent premium/discount range.
UMC ADRs are near the middle of their premium/discount range, however the company will host its analyst results call this afternoon.
ASE's ADR premium is at the upper end of its range.


Taiwan Dual-Listings: TSMC Premium In Upper Range, UMC Briefing This Afternoon

<ul>
<li>TSMC's ADR premium is entering the higher end of its range since early 2022. Earnings coming this week.</li>
<li>UMC's ADR has flipped from a discount to a moderate premium. Earnings are ahead as well.</li>
<li>ASE Technology's ADR premium has reached 6.1%, high even for this usually higher-premium trading pair.</li>
</ul>


TSMC's ADR premium is entering the higher end of its range since early 2022. Earnings coming this week.
UMC's ADR has flipped from a discount to a moderate premium. Earnings are ahead as well.
ASE Technology's ADR premium has reached 6.1%, high even for this usually higher-premium trading pair.


Taiwan Dual-Listings: TSMC Premium Hitting High Territory, ASE Shoots to 6.1%

<ul>
<li>Apple shares have fallen recently, nearing 52-week lows as analysts have been cutting share targets on China production uncertainty and weak consumer end-market demand.</li>
<li>Key Apple suppliers Quanta and Pegatron, in particular, appear to have not yet reacted to the declining market sentiment towards Apple.</li>
<li>Investors can consider Shorting Quanta and Pegatron vs. a Long position in Apple. We see limited potential for positive news flow for the stocks through January.</li>
</ul>


Apple shares have fallen recently, nearing 52-week lows as analysts have been cutting share targets on China production uncertainty and weak consumer end-market demand.
Key Apple suppliers Quanta and Pegatron, in particular, appear to have not yet reacted to the declining market sentiment towards Apple.
Investors can consider Shorting Quanta and Pegatron vs. a Long position in Apple. We see limited potential for positive news flow for the stocks through January.


Taiwan Apple Ecosystem Monitor: Quanta and Pegatron Shares Lagging Apple Decline?

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>GEM funds reduce exposure to Taiwanese Semiconductors, switching from overweight to their largest underweight in over a decade.</li>
<li>Absolute positioning levels still high, with Taiwanese Semiconductors the largest country/industry allocation for 61% of the managers in our analysis and a top 3 allocation for 78%.</li>
<li>Value investors moved first, switching from near equal weight in early 2020 to -1.95% underweight today.  All Style groups are now positioned underweight the MSCI EM benchmark, on average.</li>
</ul>


GEM funds reduce exposure to Taiwanese Semiconductors, switching from overweight to their largest underweight in over a decade.
Absolute positioning levels still high, with Taiwanese Semiconductors the largest country/industry allocation for 61% of the managers in our analysis and a top 3 allocation for 78%.
Value investors moved first, switching from near equal weight in early 2020 to -1.95% underweight today.  All Style groups are now positioned underweight the MSCI EM benchmark, on average.


Taiwan Semiconductors: Value Funds Drive Underweight

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)

<ul>
<li>Last week saw a wave of major tech companies report earnings with significance toward the semiconductor and technology space in Taiwan.</li>
<li>Memory chip takeaways - SK Hynix, Samsung see better supply/demand in 2023E. PC market -- Recent results discuss slight decline, potential stabilization in 2023E.</li>
<li>Mobile phones -- Relative strength in high-end vs. low-end. Auto &amp; Industrial -- Relative strength seen continuing. AMD, Qualcom, Elan, CHIPMos, Acer, Globalwafers results ahead.</li>
</ul>


Last week saw a wave of major tech companies report earnings with significance toward the semiconductor and technology space in Taiwan.
Memory chip takeaways - SK Hynix, Samsung see better supply/demand in 2023E. PC market -- Recent results discuss slight decline, potential stabilization in 2023E.
Mobile phones -- Relative strength in high-end vs. low-end. Auto &amp; Industrial -- Relative strength seen continuing. AMD, Qualcom, Elan, CHIPMos, Acer, Globalwafers results ahead.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Earnings Insights Emerging for Memory, Mobiles, PCs, and Autos

Taiwan

ASE Technology Holding Co., Ltd. offers assembly and testing services. The Company provides outsourced assembly, semiconductor testing, semiconductor packaging, and other related services. ASE Technology Holding operates in Taiwan.

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ASE Technology Holding (3711 TT)

Taiwan Dual-Listings: TSMC Premium In Upper Range, UMC Briefing This Afternoon

UMC ADRs are near the middle of their premium/discount range, however the company will host its analyst results call this afternoon.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Dual-Listings: TSMC Premium Hitting High Territory, ASE Shoots to 6.1%

TSMC's ADR premium is entering the higher end of its range since early 2022. TSMC earnings are coming this week as well. UMC's earnings will be...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Apple Ecosystem Monitor: Quanta and Pegatron Shares Lagging Apple Decline?

Apple shares have fallen most recently, nearing 52-week lows as analysts have been cutting share targets on China production uncertainty.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Semiconductors: Value Funds Drive Underweight

Taiwanese Semiconductor allocations among GEM active funds are well off the highs of 2021 as more funds scale back holdings and many move to an...

Steven Holden

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Earnings Insights Emerging for Memory, Mobiles, PCs, and Autos

Last week saw a wave of major tech companies report earnings with significance toward the semiconductor and technology space in Taiwan.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

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