Head of Research, Krungthai XSpring

Waraporn Wiboonkanarak

Head of Research

A full service Thai brokerage

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring is a full service broker. The company provides a wide range of investment services such as Securities Brokerage, Derivative Agent Business, Securities Borrowing and Lending, Securities Trading, Underwriting, Financial Advisory, Wealth Advisory, Private Fund Management and International Markets Securities Trading. 

In terms of credibility, Fitch Ratings has assigned Krunghtai XSpring a long-term rating of AA- and a national short-term rating of F1+ with stable outlook.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>We maintain a Neutral rating on the energy sector, given the lackluster earnings growth outlook for 2025-27E (+4% CAGR) and external risk factors that could negatively impact earnings, such as Trump 2.0 policies, reciprocal tariffs, and domestic risks related to government policies on energy prices.</li><li>However, the downside risk for SET ENERGY is becoming more limited, as its implied EPS running close to -1.0 S.D. BCP remains our top pick (Outperform; FV Bt42.75), supported by its 2Y core EPS growth outpacing the sector (+12% CAGR), a well-diversified business portfolio, and a solid financial position.</li><li><p>4Q24 core profit recovered QoQ; 2024 core profit declined YoY, pressured by downstream</p></li></ul>

We maintain a Neutral rating on the energy sector, given the lackluster earnings growth outlook for 2025-27E (+4% CAGR) and external risk factors that could negatively impact earnings, such as Trump 2.0 policies, reciprocal tariffs, and domestic risks related to government policies on energy prices.However, the downside risk for SET ENERGY is becoming more limited, as its implied EPS running close to -1.0 S.D. BCP remains our top pick (Outperform; FV Bt42.75), supported by its 2Y core EPS growth outpacing the sector (+12% CAGR), a well-diversified business portfolio, and a solid financial position.4Q24 core profit recovered QoQ; 2024 core profit declined YoY, pressured by downstream

Industry Update - Energy (Upstream - Downstream) MARCH 20, 2025

<ul><li>The SET surged the most among Asian bourses while awaiting the Fed meeting results, supported by UBS upgrading its outlook on Thai equities and a technical rebound signal.</li><li>This attracted buying activity in large-cap stocks, including AOT, ADVANC, power plants, finance, commerce, and petroleum stocks.</li><li>However, trading volume remained light, and foreign investors returned to net selling.</li></ul>

The SET surged the most among Asian bourses while awaiting the Fed meeting results, supported by UBS upgrading its outlook on Thai equities and a technical rebound signal.This attracted buying activity in large-cap stocks, including AOT, ADVANC, power plants, finance, commerce, and petroleum stocks.However, trading volume remained light, and foreign investors returned to net selling.

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of Stock Exchange of Thailand as of Mar 14th.We estimate that they had an aggregated short interest worth USD1.9bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Advanced Info Service, Carabao.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of Stock Exchange of Thailand as of Mar 14th.We estimate that they had an aggregated short interest worth USD1.9bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Advanced Info Service, Carabao.


Thailand Short Interest Weekly (Mar 14th): Advanced Info Service, Carabao

CEO, A. Stotz Investment Research

Dr. Andrew Stotz, CFA

Quantamental Investing to beat Benchmarks

A. Stotz Investment Research

We pick stocks. We construct portfolios. All our effort is focused on how to better pick stocks and construct portfolios. We serve fund management companies, family offices, and high net worth individuals.

<ul>
<li>We highlight 14 stocks in Thailand that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology</li>
<li>Portfolio changes: Six stocks remain, eight new join the fray</li>
<li>Since inception, it has gained 91% versus the SET 100 Index’s return of 7%</li>
</ul>


We highlight 14 stocks in Thailand that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology
Portfolio changes: Six stocks remain, eight new join the fray
Since inception, it has gained 91% versus the SET 100 Index’s return of 7%


The Stocks to Own in Thailand – Vol. 48

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vgi-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12409:1" rel="noopener">VGI PCL (VGI TB)</a> could be added to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/stock-exchange-of-thailand-set-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31493:1" rel="noopener">SET50 INDEX</a> later this month following the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gulf-energy-development-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26038:1" rel="noopener">Gulf Energy Development (GULF TB)</a> / <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/intouch-holdings-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17638:1" rel="noopener">Intouch Holdings (INTUCH TB)</a> merger.</li>
<li>Then there could be 3 or 4 more changes to the index at the June rebalance. The review period has just commenced so price moves will move the list around.</li>
<li>Passive trackers will need to buy around 1.85% of float in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vgi-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12409:1" rel="noopener">VGI PCL (VGI TB)</a> while buying in the other stocks will be between 1-1.2% of float.</li>
</ul>



VGI PCL (VGI TB) could be added to the SET50 INDEX later this month following the Gulf Energy Development (GULF TB) / Intouch Holdings (INTUCH TB) merger.
Then there could be 3 or 4 more changes to the index at the June rebalance. The review period has just commenced so price moves will move the list around.
Passive trackers will need to buy around 1.85% of float in VGI PCL (VGI TB) while buying in the other stocks will be between 1-1.2% of float.


SET50 Index Rebalance Preview: VGI Could Be an Ad Hoc Add; Then 3/4 More in June

Thailand

Bangchak Corporation Public Company Limited operates as an energy company. The Company offers petroleum exploration and production, biomass, crude oil, and solar energy. Bangchak markets its products in Thailand.

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Bangchak Corporation (BCP TB)

Industry Update - Energy (Upstream - Downstream) MARCH 20, 2025

We maintain a Neutral rating on the energy sector, given the lackluster earnings growth outlook for 2025-27E (+4% CAGR) and external risk factors...

Krungthai XSpring

Technical Analysis - MARCH 20, 2025

The SET surged the most among Asian bourses while awaiting the Fed meeting results, supported by UBS upgrading its outlook on Thai equities and a...

Krungthai XSpring

Thailand Short Interest Weekly (Mar 14th): Advanced Info Service, Carabao

We analyzed SET short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Advanced Info Service, Carabao.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

The Stocks to Own in Thailand – Vol. 48

We highlight 14 stocks in Thailand that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology. Portfolio changes: Six stocks remain, eight new join...

A. Stotz Investment Research

SET50 Index Rebalance Preview: VGI Could Be an Ad Hoc Add; Then 3/4 More in June

VGI could be added to the index later this month following the GULF/INTUCH merger. Then there could be 3/4 more changes in June. The forecast adds...

Brian Freitas

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