Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/Events/Delta One

Event-Driven

The Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET) will announce the results of the semi-annual review of the SET50 index in December and the changes will be effective from 2 January 2020. Passive funds and index arb desks will need to trade at (or by) the close on 30 December 2019.We see a possibility of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vgi-pcl" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12409:1">VGI Global Media (VGI TB)</a> being added to the SET50 index in this review and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/banpu-power-pcl" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23631:1">Banpu Power PCL (BPP TB)</a> as a possible deletion candidate.This Insight covers the SET50 index methodology, our expected changes, historical impact on additions/deletions to the index and suggest trades for this rebalance.

Periscope Analytics

<ul>
<li>Last week we had the implementation of the first two tranches of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909:1" rel="noopener">Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX)</a> rebalance with the third tranche to be implemented at the close on Monday.</li>
<li>Thursday saw the NIFTY indices implementation while Friday marked the end of the review period for the December rebalance of the Hang Seng family of indices.</li>
<li>There were large inflows to China, Taiwan, Korea and Hong Kong ETFs during the week while there were some outflows from Japan.</li>
</ul>

<ul>
<li>The SET has commenced a market consultation on lowering the turnover ratio level from 5% to 2% while selecting stocks to be added to and deleted from the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/stock-exchange-of-thailand-set-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31493:1" rel="noopener">SET50 INDEX</a>.</li>
<li>The change to the turnover ratio level could lead to three changes in December that result in one-way turnover of 7.44% and in a one-way trade of THB 6.79bn.</li>
<li>Separately, the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/total-access-communication" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:948:1" rel="noopener">Total Access Communication (DTAC TB)</a> / <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/true-corp-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8:1" rel="noopener">True Corp Pcl (TRUE TB)</a> merger could result in an ad hoc inclusion prior to the regular rebalance in December.</li>
</ul>

<ul>
<li>It was a busy week with a bunch of index rebalances being implemented at the close of trading on Friday.</li>
<li>We list out potential changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">STAR50 INDEX</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/philippines-stock-exchange-psei-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22912:1" rel="noopener">Philippines Stock Exchange PSEi Index (PCOMP INDEX)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/stock-exchange-of-thailand-set-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31493:1" rel="noopener">SET50 INDEX</a> at the upcoming rebalances.</li>
<li>There was a large outflow from the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-msci-acwi-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24402:1" rel="noopener">iShares MSCI ACWI ETF (ACWI US)</a> for yet another week.</li>
</ul>

<ul>
<li>The market cap review period for the December rebalance of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/stock-exchange-of-thailand-set-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31493:1" rel="noopener">Stock Exchange of Thailand SET 50 Index (SET50 INDEX)</a> started on 1 September and will end 30 November.</li>
<li>We currently see one high probability change and two lower probability changes to the index at the upcoming rebalance.</li>
<li>There are a couple of lower probability adds/deletes that will have between 3-5 days of ADV to trade from passive funds and could be interesting from a trading angle.</li>
</ul>

Thailand

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