HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Capital Markets

Hutchmed China Ltd / Equity Capital Markets

In March this year, the CEO of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hutchison-china-meditech-ltd-7c2c4b58-ca71-4ac4-befb-345e8d0f10ca" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27342:1" rel="noopener">Hutchison China MediTech Ltd (HCM US)</a> said at its 2020 earnings conference that the Company has no plans for an IPO in Hong Kong. Just three months later, on June 18, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hutchmed-china-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:133:1" rel="noopener">Hutchmed China Ltd (13 HK)</a> formally passed the HKEX hearing for its IPO. After listing in the UK and the US, Hutchmed has made its way to Hong Kong after all. However, those leading listed domestic biopharmaceutical companies have already started their commercialization of products, and the construction of supporting capabilities such as sales team and production capacity is also under way. Therefore, in the context of fierce domestic innovative drug competition, it is not clear whether Hutchmed can perform well based on its pipeline and commercialization capabilities. This insights mainly analyzed both the strength and the concerns of the Company.

In March this year, the CEO of Hutchison China MediTech Ltd (HCM US) said at its 2020 earnings conference that the Company has no plans for an IPO in Hong Kong. Just three months later, on June 18, Hutchmed China Ltd (13 HK) formally passed the HKEX hearing for its IPO. After listing in the UK and the US, Hutchmed has made its way to Hong Kong after all. However, those leading listed domestic biopharmaceutical companies have already started their commercialization of products, and the construction of supporting capabilities such as sales team and production capacity is also under way. Therefore, in the context of fierce domestic innovative drug competition, it is not clear whether Hutchmed can perform well based on its pipeline and commercialization capabilities. This insights mainly analyzed both the strength and the concerns of the Company.

Pre-IPO Hutchmed China Ltd (13.HK) - The Strength and the Concerns

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Industry viewpoints:<ul>
<li>The 2021 medical insurance catalogue adjustment plan is soliciting opinions, and drugs approved for market launch during 2020.8.17 - 2021.6.30 will be eligible to participate in the negotiations.</li>
<li>Related departments issued new documents stating that from June to December this year, they will jointly carry out a special campaign to crack down on illegal medical beauty activities.</li>
<li>The General Office of the State Council issued a new document about the  development of public hospitals.</li>
</ul>Company news:News about the updated progress on drugs of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beigene-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27352:1" rel="noopener">BeiGene Ltd (6160 HK), </a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jiangsu-hengrui-medicine-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14128:1" rel="noopener">Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine (600276 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/innovent-biologics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27452:1" rel="noopener">Innovent Biologics Inc (1801 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cspc-pharmaceutical-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:229:1" rel="noopener">CSPC Pharmaceutical Group (1093 HK)</a>.Market review:Last week, stock price for healthcare sector in A share decreased 2.8%, while CSI 300 decreased 2.34% over the same period of time.Risk disclosure:Policy risk, R&amp;D risk, Company risk and COVID-19 risk.

Industry viewpoints:
The 2021 medical insurance catalogue adjustment plan is soliciting opinions, and drugs approved for market launch during 2020.8.17 - 2021.6.30 will be eligible to participate in the negotiations.
Related departments issued new documents stating that from June to December this year, they will jointly carry out a special campaign to crack down on illegal medical beauty activities.
The General Office of the State Council issued a new document about the  development of public hospitals.
Company news:News about the updated progress on drugs of BeiGene Ltd (6160 HK), Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine (600276 CH), Innovent Biologics Inc (1801 HK), and CSPC Pharmaceutical Group (1093 HK).Market review:Last week, stock price for healthcare sector in A share decreased 2.8%, while CSI 300 decreased 2.34% over the same period of time.Risk disclosure:Policy risk, R&amp;D risk, Company risk and COVID-19 risk.

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<div>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hutchmed-china-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:133:1" rel="noopener">Hutchmed China Ltd (13 HK)</a> has launched a $603 million secondary listing on HKEx by offering 104.0 million ordinary shares at a maximum offer price of HK$45.00 per share. Bookbuilding is scheduled to run until the pricing on 23 June. The net proceeds will be used to fund the late-stage clinical programs (savolitinib, surufatinib, fruquintinib, HMPL-689 and HMPL-523), to support further proof-of-concept studies and strengthen commercialisation capabilities.
HutchMed has primary listings on Nasdaq and on UK AIM. The HKEx secondary listing will be supported by five cornerstone investors which will subscribe for HK$2,535 million ($325 million) of the offer shares (54.17% of the offer shares at the maximum offer price). The cornerstone investors are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/carlyle-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33402:1" rel="noopener">Carlyle Group Inc (CG US)</a>, CPP Investments, General Atlantic, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hbm-healthcare-investments-ag" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22373:1" rel="noopener">HBM Healthcare Investments AG (HBMN SW)</a> and CICC Capital.
HutchMed is a China-based, globally focused, biopharma company, active in discovery, development, manufacturing, and commercialisation. The investment case centres on the success of its oncology/immunology platform, which has several near-term clinical and regulatory catalysts from the novel highly selective small molecule (tyrosine kinase inhibitor) pipeline. Notably, in-house discovered drugs, Elunate (fruquintinib) and Sulanda (surufatinib), together with a likely approval for savolitinib, are transforming China prospects. Elunate is performing well in China, with NRDL inclusion boosting volumes. The first global launch is likely to be surufatinib with a US launch targeted for late 2021 or early 2022.
</div><div><div class="content-highlight">In this note, we will look at HutchMed’s potential HK-ADS premium/(discount). As per the norm, HutchMed will price its H-shares at a discount to its ADSs/UK shares to entice investors to participate in the secondary listing. HutchMed pricing its H-shares at a discount of 2-3% to its ADSs will be reasonable, in our view.</div></div>


Hutchmed China Ltd (13 HK) has launched a $603 million secondary listing on HKEx by offering 104.0 million ordinary shares at a maximum offer price of HK$45.00 per share. Bookbuilding is scheduled to run until the pricing on 23 June. The net proceeds will be used to fund the late-stage clinical programs (savolitinib, surufatinib, fruquintinib, HMPL-689 and HMPL-523), to support further proof-of-concept studies and strengthen commercialisation capabilities.
HutchMed has primary listings on Nasdaq and on UK AIM. The HKEx secondary listing will be supported by five cornerstone investors which will subscribe for HK$2,535 million ($325 million) of the offer shares (54.17% of the offer shares at the maximum offer price). The cornerstone investors are Carlyle Group Inc (CG US), CPP Investments, General Atlantic, HBM Healthcare Investments AG (HBMN SW) and CICC Capital.
HutchMed is a China-based, globally focused, biopharma company, active in discovery, development, manufacturing, and commercialisation. The investment case centres on the success of its oncology/immunology platform, which has several near-term clinical and regulatory catalysts from the novel highly selective small molecule (tyrosine kinase inhibitor) pipeline. Notably, in-house discovered drugs, Elunate (fruquintinib) and Sulanda (surufatinib), together with a likely approval for savolitinib, are transforming China prospects. Elunate is performing well in China, with NRDL inclusion boosting volumes. The first global launch is likely to be surufatinib with a US launch targeted for late 2021 or early 2022.
In this note, we will look at HutchMed’s potential HK-ADS premium/(discount). As per the norm, HutchMed will price its H-shares at a discount to its ADSs/UK shares to entice investors to participate in the secondary listing. HutchMed pricing its H-shares at a discount of 2-3% to its ADSs will be reasonable, in our view.

HutchMed Secondary Listing: HK-ADS Premium/​​​(Discount) Views

Industry viewpoints:<ul>
<li>Recently, a new document was released by the National Health Care Security Administration about the centralized procurement of high-value medical consumables.</li>
<li>The bidding of the 5th national volume-based purchase (VBP) will be officially opened on June 23, 2021.</li>
<li>The scale of China's rehabilitation therapy industry is growing rapidly.</li>
</ul>Company news:News about the new ultrasound system and updated progress on drugs of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/remegen-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29191:1" rel="noopener">Remegen Co Ltd (9995 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beigene-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27352:1" rel="noopener">BeiGene Ltd (6160 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shenzhen-mindray-bio-medic-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28017:1" rel="noopener">Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics (300760 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jiangsu-hengrui-medicine-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14128:1" rel="noopener">Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine (600276 CH)</a>.Market review:Last week, stock price for healthcare sector in A share decreased 0.81%, while CSI 300 decreased 1.09% over the same period of time.Risk disclosure:Policy risk, R&amp;D risk, Company risk and COVID-19 risk.

Industry viewpoints:
Recently, a new document was released by the National Health Care Security Administration about the centralized procurement of high-value medical consumables.
The bidding of the 5th national volume-based purchase (VBP) will be officially opened on June 23, 2021.
The scale of China's rehabilitation therapy industry is growing rapidly.
Company news:News about the new ultrasound system and updated progress on drugs of Remegen Co Ltd (9995 HK), BeiGene Ltd (6160 HK), Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics (300760 CH) and Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine (600276 CH).Market review:Last week, stock price for healthcare sector in A share decreased 0.81%, while CSI 300 decreased 1.09% over the same period of time.Risk disclosure:Policy risk, R&amp;D risk, Company risk and COVID-19 risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

At present, although the competition of PD-1/PD-L1 is becoming more and more fierce in China, it has to be admitted that, compared with the global market share of about 55%, domestic monoclonal antibodies only occupy 6% of the biopharmaceutical market share, so there is still a broad space and growth potential. Meanwhile, with PD-1/PD-L1 products of the domestic top four companies (<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jiangsu-hengrui-medicine-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14128:1" rel="noopener">Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine (600276 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beigene-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27352:1" rel="noopener">BeiGene Ltd (6160 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/innovent-biologics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27452:1" rel="noopener">Innovent Biologics Inc (1801 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-junshi-bioscience-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27760:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Junshi Bioscience Co. Ltd. (1877 HK)</a>) being included in medical insurance catalogue, the pricing of PD-1/PD-L1 products of these four companies would be the ceiling for all subsequent homogeneous enterprises. The only companies that are capable of joining the competition are those with the best products and strong commercialization capability. Actually, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/akeso-biopharma-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28830:1" rel="noopener">Akeso Biopharma Inc (9926 HK)</a> could be the very one to challenge the top four. Besides, as a competitive and strong biotech company, Akeso is also moving in the direction of a Big Pharma.

At present, although the competition of PD-1/PD-L1 is becoming more and more fierce in China, it has to be admitted that, compared with the global market share of about 55%, domestic monoclonal antibodies only occupy 6% of the biopharmaceutical market share, so there is still a broad space and growth potential. Meanwhile, with PD-1/PD-L1 products of the domestic top four companies (Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine (600276 CH), BeiGene Ltd (6160 HK), Innovent Biologics Inc (1801 HK) and Shanghai Junshi Bioscience Co. Ltd. (1877 HK)) being included in medical insurance catalogue, the pricing of PD-1/PD-L1 products of these four companies would be the ceiling for all subsequent homogeneous enterprises. The only companies that are capable of joining the competition are those with the best products and strong commercialization capability. Actually, Akeso Biopharma Inc (9926 HK) could be the very one to challenge the top four. Besides, as a competitive and strong biotech company, Akeso is also moving in the direction of a Big Pharma.

Akeso Biopharma Inc (9926.HK) - Could Be the Very One to Challenge the “Top Four”

China

BeiGene, Ltd. operates as a commercial stage biopharmaceutical company. The Company focuses on discovery, development, and commercialization of molecularly targeted and immuno-oncology drugs for the treatment of cancer. BeiGene serves patients worldwide.

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BeOne (ONC US)

Pre-IPO Hutchmed China Ltd (13.HK) - The Strength and the Concerns

The article analyzed Hutchmed in terms of its business analysis, financial performance, pipeline, comparison with other biotech companies, and also...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (Jun.18)

The article analyzed the 2021 medical insurance catalogue adjustment plan, new document to crack down on illegal medical beauty activities, new...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

HutchMed Secondary Listing: HK-ADS Premium/(Discount) Views

HutchMed has launched a $603 million secondary listing on HKEx. In this note, we will look at HutchMed’s potential HK-ADS premium/(discount).

Arun George

China Healthcare Weekly (Jun.11)

The article analyzed the new document about centralized procurement of high-value consumables,the opening of bidding of 5th volume-based...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Akeso Biopharma Inc (9926.HK) - Could Be the Very One to Challenge the “Top Four”

This article mainly analyzed Akeso in terms of its core product candidates AK-105, AK-104, AK-112, AK-101, the potential, the business outlook, and...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

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Pre-IPO Hutchmed China Ltd (13.HK) - The Strength and the Concerns

The article analyzed Hutchmed in terms of its business analysis, financial performance, pipeline, comparison with other biotech companies, and also...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (Jun.18)

The article analyzed the 2021 medical insurance catalogue adjustment plan, new document to crack down on illegal medical beauty activities, new...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

HutchMed Secondary Listing: HK-ADS Premium/​​​(Discount) Views

HutchMed has launched a $603 million secondary listing on HKEx. In this note, we will look at HutchMed’s potential HK-ADS premium/(discount).

Arun George

China Healthcare Weekly (Jun.11)

The article analyzed the new document about centralized procurement of high-value consumables,the opening of bidding of 5th volume-based...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Akeso Biopharma Inc (9926.HK) - Could Be the Very One to Challenge the “Top Four”

This article mainly analyzed Akeso in terms of its core product candidates AK-105, AK-104, AK-112, AK-101, the potential, the business outlook, and...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

HutchMed Secondary Listing: HK-ADS Premium/(Discount) Views