Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Capital Markets

Kuaishou Technology / Equity Capital Markets

ByteDance’s Chinese rival <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beijing-kuaishou-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29725:1" rel="noopener">Beijing Kuaishou Technology Co Ltd (1496219D CH)</a>  has filed for an IPO to list its shares on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange ahead of its rival Douyin. The company aims to raise up to US$5bn at a rumoured valuation of over US$50bn.Kuaishou’s platform offers its users to create content through short videos and livestreams as well as sell and purchase products. On the other hand, it allows businesses to advertise and sell their products to the users of the platform.China has the world’s largest internet population which accounted for about 23% of mobile internet users globally. The internet users in China have been increasingly spending time on video-based social and entertainment platforms.These short video and live streaming platforms offer monetisation opportunities through virtual gifting and online marketing services. According to iResearch, both virtual gifting and mobile advertising through short videos and livestreaming will grow at a CAGR of 19.9% and 33.7% respectively through 2020-25E.The company generates a majority of its revenues from live streaming (through virtual gifting) however, online marketing services and other services (e-commerce and other services) have been growing at higher rates over the last two years which we believe should drive future growth for Kuaishou.In this insight, we examine the company’s business model, the industry and the revenue channels. We will be covering the company’s financials in detail in a follow-up insight.

ByteDance’s Chinese rival Beijing Kuaishou Technology Co Ltd (1496219D CH)  has filed for an IPO to list its shares on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange ahead of its rival Douyin. The company aims to raise up to US$5bn at a rumoured valuation of over US$50bn.Kuaishou’s platform offers its users to create content through short videos and livestreams as well as sell and purchase products. On the other hand, it allows businesses to advertise and sell their products to the users of the platform.China has the world’s largest internet population which accounted for about 23% of mobile internet users globally. The internet users in China have been increasingly spending time on video-based social and entertainment platforms.These short video and live streaming platforms offer monetisation opportunities through virtual gifting and online marketing services. According to iResearch, both virtual gifting and mobile advertising through short videos and livestreaming will grow at a CAGR of 19.9% and 33.7% respectively through 2020-25E.The company generates a majority of its revenues from live streaming (through virtual gifting) however, online marketing services and other services (e-commerce and other services) have been growing at higher rates over the last two years which we believe should drive future growth for Kuaishou.In this insight, we examine the company’s business model, the industry and the revenue channels. We will be covering the company’s financials in detail in a follow-up insight.

Kuaishou IPO: Advertising and E-Commerce Businesses to Drive Future Growth

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beijing-kuaishou-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29725:1" rel="noopener">Beijing Kuaishou Technology Co Ltd (1496219D CH)</a> (KT) is a content community and social platform. The company is backed by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent Holdings (700 HK)</a>, Sequoia China, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/baidu-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:179:1" rel="noopener">Baidu (BIDU US)</a>, DST Global, Boyu Capital, Temasek and others. As of six months ended Jun 2020, it had 302m daily active users (DAUs), who spent 85 mins on average on the app every day. It also had 776m monthly active users (MAUs) and total e-commerce GMV of RMB109.6bn. On an average 1.1bn short videos were uploaded on its app during 1H20. As per iResearch, Kuaishou was globally the largest live streaming platform by gross billings from virtual gifting and average live streaming MPUs, the second largest short video platform by average DAUs, and the second largest live streaming e-commerce platform by GMV, over six months ended June 30, 2020.In my earlier note, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/kuaishou-technology-pre-ipo-the-positives-hot-segment-fast-growth" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Kuaishou Technology Pre-IPO - The Positives - Hot Segment, fast growth</a>, I spoke about the positive aspects of the deal. In this note, I'll talk about the not so flattering aspects.

Beijing Kuaishou Technology Co Ltd (1496219D CH) (KT) is a content community and social platform. The company is backed by Tencent Holdings (700 HK), Sequoia China, Baidu (BIDU US), DST Global, Boyu Capital, Temasek and others. As of six months ended Jun 2020, it had 302m daily active users (DAUs), who spent 85 mins on average on the app every day. It also had 776m monthly active users (MAUs) and total e-commerce GMV of RMB109.6bn. On an average 1.1bn short videos were uploaded on its app during 1H20. As per iResearch, Kuaishou was globally the largest live streaming platform by gross billings from virtual gifting and average live streaming MPUs, the second largest short video platform by average DAUs, and the second largest live streaming e-commerce platform by GMV, over six months ended June 30, 2020.In my earlier note, Kuaishou Technology Pre-IPO - The Positives - Hot Segment, fast growth, I spoke about the positive aspects of the deal. In this note, I'll talk about the not so flattering aspects.

Kuaishou Technology Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Ample Doubts Remain

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beijing-kuaishou-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29725:1" rel="noopener">Beijing Kuaishou Technology Co Ltd (1496219D CH)</a> (KT) is a content community and social platform. The company is backed by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent Holdings (700 HK)</a>, Sequoia China, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/baidu-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:179:1" rel="noopener">Baidu (BIDU US)</a>, DST Global, Boyu Capital, Temasek and others. As of six months ended Jun 2020, it had 302m daily active users (DAUs), who spent 85 mins on average on the app every day. It also had 776m monthly active users (MAUs) and total e-commerce GMV of RMB109.6bn. On an average 1.1bn short videos were uploaded on its app during 1H20. As per iResearch, Kuaishou was globally the largest live streaming platform by gross billings from virtual gifting and average live streaming MPUs, the second largest short video platform by average DAUs, and the second largest live streaming e-commerce platform by GMV, over six months ended June 30, 2020.In this note, I'll talk about the positive aspects of the deal.

Beijing Kuaishou Technology Co Ltd (1496219D CH) (KT) is a content community and social platform. The company is backed by Tencent Holdings (700 HK), Sequoia China, Baidu (BIDU US), DST Global, Boyu Capital, Temasek and others. As of six months ended Jun 2020, it had 302m daily active users (DAUs), who spent 85 mins on average on the app every day. It also had 776m monthly active users (MAUs) and total e-commerce GMV of RMB109.6bn. On an average 1.1bn short videos were uploaded on its app during 1H20. As per iResearch, Kuaishou was globally the largest live streaming platform by gross billings from virtual gifting and average live streaming MPUs, the second largest short video platform by average DAUs, and the second largest live streaming e-commerce platform by GMV, over six months ended June 30, 2020.In this note, I'll talk about the positive aspects of the deal.

Kuaishou Technology Pre-IPO - The Positives - Hot Segment, Fast Growth

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beijing-kuaishou-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29725:1" rel="noopener">Beijing Kuaishou Technology Co Ltd (1496219D CH)</a> is the second-largest short video platform by average DAUs (daily active users) in 1H20, according to iResearch. Users access the platform primarily through a family of mobile apps comprising Kuaishou Flagship, Kuaishou Express and Kuaishou Concept, which is collectively referred to as the Kuaishou App. Kuaishou is backed by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent Holdings (700 HK)</a> (21.57% shareholder), Morningside Venture Capital, DCM Capital (9.23%), <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/baidu-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:179:1" rel="noopener">Baidu (BIDU US)</a> (3.78%), Sequoia Capital (3.20%), Boyu Capital (2.29%) and Temasek (0.86%). In January 2020, Kuaishou raised $3 billion through a Series F round at a valuation of $28 billion, according to press reports. Kuaishou has filed for a Hong Kong IPO to raise up to $5 billion as early as January 2021, according to Reuters. <div class="content-highlight">As a key competitor to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bytedance-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27936:1" rel="noopener">ByteDance (1460967D CH)</a>’s Douyin, Kuaishou offers public market investors the first opportunity to gain direct exposure to China’s short-video platform market. While Kuaishou’s performance over the track record period is distorted due to various factors, we believe that the underlying fundamentals are attractive.</div>

Beijing Kuaishou Technology Co Ltd (1496219D CH) is the second-largest short video platform by average DAUs (daily active users) in 1H20, according to iResearch. Users access the platform primarily through a family of mobile apps comprising Kuaishou Flagship, Kuaishou Express and Kuaishou Concept, which is collectively referred to as the Kuaishou App. Kuaishou is backed by Tencent Holdings (700 HK) (21.57% shareholder), Morningside Venture Capital, DCM Capital (9.23%), Baidu (BIDU US) (3.78%), Sequoia Capital (3.20%), Boyu Capital (2.29%) and Temasek (0.86%). In January 2020, Kuaishou raised $3 billion through a Series F round at a valuation of $28 billion, according to press reports. Kuaishou has filed for a Hong Kong IPO to raise up to $5 billion as early as January 2021, according to Reuters. As a key competitor to ByteDance (1460967D CH)’s Douyin, Kuaishou offers public market investors the first opportunity to gain direct exposure to China’s short-video platform market. While Kuaishou’s performance over the track record period is distorted due to various factors, we believe that the underlying fundamentals are attractive.

Kuaishou IPO Initiation: Dancing to Its Own Tune

Event-Driven

<div>
With the long drawn out merger of CCT+CMT finally approved with minimal resistance, with the little there was coming mostly from CCT holders, the combined entity will add to the bunch of listed REITs which offer a mix of office and retail exposure. 
</div>
For investors interested in obtaining Singapore (SG) office or suburban retail exposure, the pure play options are now fairly limited.

<div>
Links to my previous REITs insights:
</div>
<div>
<ul style="list-style-type: disc;">
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/singapore-reits-what-s-been-cooking-this-year" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Singapore REITs - What’s Been Cooking This Year,</a> I spoke about how the REITs have performed this year and touched upon some of the factors that have been driving them. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/trade-ideas-for-sgreits-retail-reits-share-price-has-been-more-resilient-than-it-should-be" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Trade Ideas for SGREITs - Retail REITs Share Price Has Been More Resilient than It Should Be,</a> covers the factors that have been impacting retail REITs. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/trade-ideas-sg-office-reits-this-time-it-s-different" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Trade Ideas SG Office REITs - This Time It’s Different</a> covers how the office REITs might fare better.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/trade-ideas-sg-industrial-reits-bigger-names-have-been-holding-up-a-little-too-well" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Trade Ideas SG Industrial REITs - Bigger Names Have Been Holding up a Little Too Well </a> looks at the industrial REITs</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/singapore-reits-get-out-of-jail-free-card-for-the-tenants" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Singapore REITs - Get Out of Jail Free Card, for the Tenants</a> I spoke about how the recent changes announced by the government would benefit the smaller tenants more than the landlords.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/trade-ideas-sg-eu-us-focus-reits-the-orphaned-lot-is-starting-to-look-interesting" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Trade Ideas SG EU/​US Focus REITs - The Orphaned Lot Is Starting to Look Interesting</a> looks at the EU/US focussed REITs trading wider than their SG and US listed peers</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/trade-ideas-for-sgreits-update-on-office-vs-retail-trade-up-8-so-far" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Trade Ideas for SGREITs - Update on Office Vs Retail Trade, up 8% so Far</a> I spoke about the recent updates impacting the REITs and implications of Suntec Results</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/trade-ideas-for-sgreits-more-updates-on-office-vs-retail-trade-from-kreit-and-mct-results" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Trade Ideas for SGREITs - More Updates on Office Vs Retail Trade from KREIT and MCT Results</a> I spoke about KREIT and MCT results</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/trade-ideas-sgreits-office-vs-retail-vs-industrial-up-16-so-far" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Trade Ideas SGREITs - Office Vs Retail Vs Industrial, up 16% so Far</a> I spoke about sticking to the trade till CMT results and post that switching to office versus industrial</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/singapore-reits-update-even-as-circuit-breaker-ends-2q-dpu-for-retail-reits-will-be-close-to-0" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Singapore REITs Update - Even as Circuit Breaker Ends, 2Q DPU for Retail REITs Will Be Close to 0</a> I covered the impact of the governments plans for circuit breaker exit</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/trade-ideas-for-singapore-reits-coming-back-to-life" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Trade Ideas for Singapore REITs - Coming Back to Life</a> I covered the updates over the Jan-Mar 2020 earnings season</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/singapore-reits-reits-will-have-to-fund-some-sme-rents-by-law" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Singapore REITs - REITs Will Have to Fund Some SME Rents, by Law</a>, I spoke out the updates from the Fortitude budget</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/singapore-reits-new-rental-relief-framework-for-smes" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Singapore REITs - New Rental Relief Framework for SMEs</a>, I spoke about the impact of the rental relief for SMEs</li>
</ul>
</div>


With the long drawn out merger of CCT+CMT finally approved with minimal resistance, with the little there was coming mostly from CCT holders, the combined entity will add to the bunch of listed REITs which offer a mix of office and retail exposure. 

For investors interested in obtaining Singapore (SG) office or suburban retail exposure, the pure play options are now fairly limited.


Links to my previous REITs insights:




Singapore REITs - What’s Been Cooking This Year, I spoke about how the REITs have performed this year and touched upon some of the factors that have been driving them. 

Trade Ideas for SGREITs - Retail REITs Share Price Has Been More Resilient than It Should Be, covers the factors that have been impacting retail REITs. 

Trade Ideas SG Office REITs - This Time It’s Different covers how the office REITs might fare better.

Trade Ideas SG Industrial REITs - Bigger Names Have Been Holding up a Little Too Well  looks at the industrial REITs

Singapore REITs - Get Out of Jail Free Card, for the Tenants I spoke about how the recent changes announced by the government would benefit the smaller tenants more than the landlords.

Trade Ideas SG EU/​US Focus REITs - The Orphaned Lot Is Starting to Look Interesting looks at the EU/US focussed REITs trading wider than their SG and US listed peers

Trade Ideas for SGREITs - Update on Office Vs Retail Trade, up 8% so Far I spoke about the recent updates impacting the REITs and implications of Suntec Results

Trade Ideas for SGREITs - More Updates on Office Vs Retail Trade from KREIT and MCT Results I spoke about KREIT and MCT results

Trade Ideas SGREITs - Office Vs Retail Vs Industrial, up 16% so Far I spoke about sticking to the trade till CMT results and post that switching to office versus industrial

Singapore REITs Update - Even as Circuit Breaker Ends, 2Q DPU for Retail REITs Will Be Close to 0 I covered the impact of the governments plans for circuit breaker exit

Trade Ideas for Singapore REITs - Coming Back to Life I covered the updates over the Jan-Mar 2020 earnings season

Singapore REITs - REITs Will Have to Fund Some SME Rents, by Law, I spoke out the updates from the Fortitude budget

Singapore REITs - New Rental Relief Framework for SMEs, I spoke about the impact of the rental relief for SMEs



Trade Ideas for Singapore REITs - Implications from CCT+CMT Merger

China

Beijing Douyin Information Service Co. Ltd. provides online information and contents. The Company develops and operates short video platform, original short video community, news platform, and other related products. Beijing Douyin Information Service offers services worldwide.

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ByteDance (1439927D CH)

Kuaishou IPO: Advertising and E-Commerce Businesses to Drive Future Growth

ByteDance’s Chinese rival Kuaishou Technology has filed for an IPO to list its shares on the HKEX at a rumoured valuation of over US$50bn.

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

Kuaishou Technology Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Ample Doubts Remain

Kuaishou Technology is a content community and social platform. The company is backed by Tencent Holdings (700 HK), Sequoia China, Baidu (BIDU US),...

Sumeet Singh

Kuaishou Technology Pre-IPO - The Positives - Hot Segment, Fast Growth

Kuaishou Technology is a content community and social platform. The company is backed by Tencent Holdings (700 HK), Sequoia China, Baidu (BIDU US),...

Sumeet Singh

Kuaishou IPO Initiation: Dancing to Its Own Tune

Kuaishou is a key competitor to ByteDance’s Douyin. While Kuaishou’s performance is distorted due to various factors, we believe that the...

Arun George

Trade Ideas for Singapore REITs - Implications from CCT+CMT Merger

In my earlier insight on Singapore's Fortitude budget, Singapore REITs - REITs Will Have to Fund Some SME Rents, by Law, I had mentioned the...

Sumeet Singh

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