Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>SOUTHBOUND gross trading activity rebounded about 20% this week vs the previous week. Net buying was a little lower but still strong. Market volumes overall in HK remain weak.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd-d7b798e2-202d-4e01-9a1e-799e2ae8f0c7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK)</a> was again the top buy and EV names <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xpeng-inc-4cc65854-d10c-4d20-bf7e-ca0e016715ff" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33772:1" rel="noopener">XPeng (9868 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20962:1" rel="noopener">BYD (1211 HK)</a> were bought, but tech as a whole was sold.</li>
<li>I continue to expect HK-listed tech to see ongoing buying. Alibaba, Tencent, Xiaomi, etc are safe havens against Trump tariffs as they don't compete in the US. </li>
</ul>


SOUTHBOUND gross trading activity rebounded about 20% this week vs the previous week. Net buying was a little lower but still strong. Market volumes overall in HK remain weak.

Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK) was again the top buy and EV names XPeng (9868 HK) and BYD (1211 HK) were bought, but tech as a whole was sold.
I continue to expect HK-listed tech to see ongoing buying. Alibaba, Tencent, Xiaomi, etc are safe havens against Trump tariffs as they don't compete in the US. 


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 6 Dec 2024); SB Trading Volumes Up, US/China Trade Volleys Up Too

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of December 6th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Alibaba, CCB, Sunny Optical, Xpeng, CMB.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of December 6th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Alibaba, CCB, Sunny Optical, Xpeng, CMB.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Dec 6th): Alibaba, CCB, Sunny Optical, Xpeng, CMB

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Nov 29th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Anta Sports, Trip.Com, Baba, Tracker Fund, Tencent, BOC, BYD, CCB, Fi2 Csop Hsi.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Nov 29th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in Anta Sports, Trip.Com, Baba, Tracker Fund, Tencent, BOC, BYD, CCB, Fi2 Csop Hsi.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Anta Sports, Trip.Com, Baba, Tracker Fund, Tencent, BOC, BYD, CCB

<ul>
<li>We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Dec 6th based on HKEx daily reports.</li>
<li>In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK).</li>
<li>In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), Cosco Shipping (1919 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Dec 6th based on HKEx daily reports.
In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK).
In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), Cosco Shipping (1919 HK).


Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Dec 6th): Tencent, AIA, Kuaishou Technology

Analyst - Media&Entertainment Sector, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Stan Zhao

Analyst - Media&Entertainment Sector

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Earnings results have differed in the recently concluded C3Q24. Performance ads in home electronics, 3C, auto, entertainment and travel have benefited from recovery in consumption; </li>
<li>Heading into C4Q24, we expect rebound in real estate to benefit property ads, and the continuing warm up in consumption to spread to e-commerce (apparel and cosmetics);</li>
<li>We expect trade-in subsidies for home electronics and electrical vehicles to renew in C1Q25 and further stimulus to encourage consumption in travel and catering to be announced. </li>
</ul>


Earnings results have differed in the recently concluded C3Q24. Performance ads in home electronics, 3C, auto, entertainment and travel have benefited from recovery in consumption; 
Heading into C4Q24, we expect rebound in real estate to benefit property ads, and the continuing warm up in consumption to spread to e-commerce (apparel and cosmetics);
We expect trade-in subsidies for home electronics and electrical vehicles to renew in C1Q25 and further stimulus to encourage consumption in travel and catering to be announced. 


Stimulus Policies Are Now the Biggest Determinant of Internet Ads Performances

China

Kuaishou Technology operates as a content community and social platform. The Company helps users create, upload and watch short videos on mobile devices. Kuaishou Technology offers services worldwide.

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Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK)

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 6 Dec 2024); SB Trading Volumes Up, US/China Trade Volleys Up Too

Connect SOUTHBOUND volumes were +20%wow, Net buying continued though tech flows slower. Markets up. China first retaliation in trade is...

Travis Lundy

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Dec 6th): Alibaba, CCB, Sunny Optical, Xpeng, CMB

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Alibaba, CCB, Sunny Optical, Xpeng, CMB.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Short Interest Weekly: Anta Sports, Trip.Com, Baba, Tracker Fund, Tencent, BOC, BYD, CCB

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Nov 29th and highlight short interest changes in Anta Sports, Trip.Com,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Dec 6th): Tencent, AIA, Kuaishou Technology

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were Tencent (700 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Stimulus Policies Are Now the Biggest Determinant of Internet Ads Performances

C3Q24 earnings show ad performances are highly correlated with stimulus spending. We expect continuing stimulus to sustain the benefit and...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

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52-week Range

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P/E

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HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 6 Dec 2024); SB Trading Volumes Up, US/China Trade Volleys Up Too

Connect SOUTHBOUND volumes were +20%wow, Net buying continued though tech flows slower. Markets up. China first retaliation in trade is...

Travis Lundy

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Dec 6th): Alibaba, CCB, Sunny Optical, Xpeng, CMB

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Alibaba, CCB, Sunny Optical, Xpeng, CMB.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Short Interest Weekly: Anta Sports, Trip.Com, Baba, Tracker Fund, Tencent, BOC, BYD, CCB

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Nov 29th and highlight short interest changes in Anta Sports, Trip.Com,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Dec 6th): Tencent, AIA, Kuaishou Technology

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were Tencent (700 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Stimulus Policies Are Now the Biggest Determinant of Internet Ads Performances

​C3Q24 earnings show ad performances are highly correlated with stimulus spending. We expect continuing stimulus to sustain the benefit and...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

C3Q24 earnings show ad performances are highly correlated with stimulus spending. We expect continuing stimulus to sustain the benefit and...