HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The YTD rally in the Hong Kong and China markets has made it appealing for highly leveraged and outperforming stocks to make placements to raise fresh equity.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gds-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32157:1" rel="noopener">GDS Holdings (9698 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-youran-dairy-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31075:1" rel="noopener">China Youran Dairy Group (9858 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shandong-gold-mining-co-ltd-4527fb98-bb5d-4d74-91fe-66f9c0224eb3" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27455:1" rel="noopener">Shandong Gold Mining (1787 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhaojin-mining-industry-company-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4626:1" rel="noopener">Zhaojin Mining Industry (1818 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-electronic-international-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1927:1" rel="noopener">BYD Electronics (285 HK)</a> are possible candidates.</li>
<li>Four of the top 30 YTD best-performing Hang Seng Composite stocks have made placements in the last three months, raising a total of HK$1.3bn with mixed performance since then.</li>
</ul>


The YTD rally in the Hong Kong and China markets has made it appealing for highly leveraged and outperforming stocks to make placements to raise fresh equity.

GDS Holdings (9698 HK), China Youran Dairy Group (9858 HK), Shandong Gold Mining (1787 HK), Zhaojin Mining Industry (1818 HK), and BYD Electronics (285 HK) are possible candidates.
Four of the top 30 YTD best-performing Hang Seng Composite stocks have made placements in the last three months, raising a total of HK$1.3bn with mixed performance since then.


China & HK Strategy: Assessing Placement Risks, Who Needs Money?

Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist, Clifton Derivatives

John Ley

Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist

Clifton Derivatives

Independent derivative and volatility research firm focusing on events/catalysts, earnings, relative value and cross asset volatility strategies.

Equity Derivatives

Hang Seng China Enterprises Index / Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>Weekly recap of key option metrics across single stocks, including most active names and strikes, largest volume increases, biggest movers, and key earnings reports.</li>
<li>Post-Earnings performance of Tencent, Xiaomi, Anta, and China Tower analyzed.</li>
<li>Financials take center stage with several major earnings releases on deck this week.</li>
</ul>


Weekly recap of key option metrics across single stocks, including most active names and strikes, largest volume increases, biggest movers, and key earnings reports.
Post-Earnings performance of Tencent, Xiaomi, Anta, and China Tower analyzed.
Financials take center stage with several major earnings releases on deck this week.


Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly (Mar 17–21): Tencent, Xiaomi, and Financials in the Spotlight

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Most key P&amp;L items and revenue drivers improved Y/Y and sequentially vs Q324</li>
<li>Although GTV per transaction dipped slightly, estimated "take rate" improved in Q424</li>
<li>Strong OpCF obviates need for quick FY25 IPO -- but it could still happen this year</li>
</ul>


Most key P&amp;L items and revenue drivers improved Y/Y and sequentially vs Q324
Although GTV per transaction dipped slightly, estimated "take rate" improved in Q424
Strong OpCF obviates need for quick FY25 IPO -- but it could still happen this year


Didi Global Q424 Results: Another Set of Solid Numbers from China's Ride Hailing Giant

Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Andrei Zakharov

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Hesai Group, a global leader in LiDAR solutions in the ADAS and robotics markets, forecasted hyper-growth and GAAP profitability for the full year of 2025.</li>
<li>The stock has bottomed in the low $4s (~0.3x 2025E EV/Revs) in 2024 and gained about 350%. Hesai Group currently trades at ~4x EV/2025E revenues, ~32% discount relative to RoboSense.</li>
<li>I believe that the market has already priced in growth acceleration (~58% y/y) scenario in 2025 along with GAAP profitability and 1M+ LiDAR shipments this year.</li>
</ul>


Hesai Group, a global leader in LiDAR solutions in the ADAS and robotics markets, forecasted hyper-growth and GAAP profitability for the full year of 2025.
The stock has bottomed in the low $4s (~0.3x 2025E EV/Revs) in 2024 and gained about 350%. Hesai Group currently trades at ~4x EV/2025E revenues, ~32% discount relative to RoboSense.
I believe that the market has already priced in growth acceleration (~58% y/y) scenario in 2025 along with GAAP profitability and 1M+ LiDAR shipments this year.


Hesai Group: Growth Acceleration Has Already Priced In While Upside May Be Limited

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Hon Hai Precision Industry / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Mitsubishi Motors plans to outsource EV production to Foxconn, signaling the most significant commercial validation of Foxconn’s MIH EV platform to date.</li>
<li>While Foxconn’s AI server manufacturing is currently the company’s strongest growth driver, its EV strategy is increasingly gaining credibility as a second long-term pillar.</li>
<li>Foxconn -- Structural Long. We see depressed share price as buying opportunity. Mitsubishi contract win increases the probability for additional major OEM production partnership wins this year for Foxconn.</li>
</ul>


Mitsubishi Motors plans to outsource EV production to Foxconn, signaling the most significant commercial validation of Foxconn’s MIH EV platform to date.
While Foxconn’s AI server manufacturing is currently the company’s strongest growth driver, its EV strategy is increasingly gaining credibility as a second long-term pillar.
Foxconn -- Structural Long. We see depressed share price as buying opportunity. Mitsubishi contract win increases the probability for additional major OEM production partnership wins this year for Foxconn.


Foxconn's Huge EV Bet Pays Off: Key Mitsubishi Win Could Spark Additional Automaker Deals to Come

China

BYD Company Limited manufactures automotive products. The Company produces ordinary passenger cars, commercial vehicles, and other products. BYD also operates battery making, rail transportation construction, and other businesses.

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BYD (002594 CH)

China & HK Strategy: Assessing Placement Risks, Who Needs Money?

Zhaojin Mining Industry (1818 HK) is the first one in our top 5 list to make a placement. The company is placing 140m H-shares at HK$14.08 to raise...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly (Mar 17–21): Tencent, Xiaomi, and Financials in the Spotlight

Weekly recap of key option metrics for single stocks, analysis of post-earnings performance for Tencent, Xiaomi, Anta, and China Tower, and focus...

John Ley

Didi Global Q424 Results: Another Set of Solid Numbers from China's Ride Hailing Giant

Didi Global reported solid Q424 numbers last week, with most key metrics improving Y/Y. We believe the company could pursue an(other) IPO this year...

Tracking Traffic

Hesai Group: Growth Acceleration Has Already Priced In While Upside May Be Limited

Hesai Group stock is a one of the most speculative stocks in the LiDAR industry, in my view. I believe investors should take profits on Hesai Group...

Andrei Zakharov

Foxconn's Huge EV Bet Pays Off: Key Mitsubishi Win Could Spark Additional Automaker Deals to Come

Mitsubishi Motors to outsource EV production to Foxconn, boosting credibility of Foxconn's EV strategy and potential for more OEM partnerships.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

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52-week Range

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China & HK Strategy: Assessing Placement Risks, Who Needs Money?

Zhaojin Mining Industry (1818 HK) is the first one in our top 5 list to make a placement. The company is placing 140m H-shares at HK$14.08 to raise...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly (Mar 17–21): Tencent, Xiaomi, and Financials in the Spotlight

​Weekly recap of key option metrics for single stocks, analysis of post-earnings performance for Tencent, Xiaomi, Anta, and China Tower, and focus...

John Ley

Didi Global Q424 Results: Another Set of Solid Numbers from China's Ride Hailing Giant

Didi Global reported solid Q424 numbers last week, with most key metrics improving Y/Y. We believe the company could pursue an(other) IPO this year...

Tracking Traffic

Hesai Group: Growth Acceleration Has Already Priced In While Upside May Be Limited

Hesai Group stock is a one of the most speculative stocks in the LiDAR industry, in my view. I believe investors should take profits on Hesai Group...

Andrei Zakharov

Foxconn's Huge EV Bet Pays Off: Key Mitsubishi Win Could Spark Additional Automaker Deals to Come

​Mitsubishi Motors to outsource EV production to Foxconn, boosting credibility of Foxconn's EV strategy and potential for more OEM partnerships.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Weekly recap of key option metrics for single stocks, analysis of post-earnings performance for Tencent, Xiaomi, Anta, and China Tower, and focus...

Mitsubishi Motors to outsource EV production to Foxconn, boosting credibility of Foxconn's EV strategy and potential for more OEM partnerships.