Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>After two rejections, Mesoblast has finally received FDA approval for its first drug. Celltrion has received FDA approval for its Stelara biosimilar, which will be launched in February 2025.</li>
<li>Peptidream has become eligible for a milestone payment. Sumitomo Pharma is strengthening R&amp;D for regenerative medicine and cell therapy business. Astellas Pharma in-licenses technology for developing neurology drugs.</li>
<li>Hansoh Pharmaceutical granted an exclusive global license to Merck for its pre-clinical drug candidate. Lupin received FDA approval to market generic version of blockbuster Descovy tablets.</li>
</ul>


After two rejections, Mesoblast has finally received FDA approval for its first drug. Celltrion has received FDA approval for its Stelara biosimilar, which will be launched in February 2025.
Peptidream has become eligible for a milestone payment. Sumitomo Pharma is strengthening R&amp;D for regenerative medicine and cell therapy business. Astellas Pharma in-licenses technology for developing neurology drugs.
Hansoh Pharmaceutical granted an exclusive global license to Merck for its pre-clinical drug candidate. Lupin received FDA approval to market generic version of blockbuster Descovy tablets.


APAC Healthcare Weekly (Dec 22)- Mesoblast, Celltrion, Peptidream, Astellas, Hansoh, Lupin

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Event-Driven

Greatview Aseptic Packaging / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The 10th national VBP released results. The average price reduction was about 70%. CSPC, Kelun, Fosun Pharma, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sino-biopharmaceutical" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:230:1" rel="noopener">Sino Biopharmaceutical </a>are the "main force" and their performance would be affected.</li>
<li>WuXi Shares surge due to the absence of BIOSECURE Act from the proposed amendments to US NDAA. However, the rally could be short-term as the Bill may return next year.</li>
<li>Pre-Conditions of Newjf have been smooth so far. We think investors can directly consider Newjf's Offer. Based on the current situation, we are optimistic that Newjf will finally be successful.</li>
</ul>


The 10th national VBP released results. The average price reduction was about 70%. CSPC, Kelun, Fosun Pharma, Sino Biopharmaceutical are the "main force" and their performance would be affected.
WuXi Shares surge due to the absence of BIOSECURE Act from the proposed amendments to US NDAA. However, the rally could be short-term as the Bill may return next year.
Pre-Conditions of Newjf have been smooth so far. We think investors can directly consider Newjf's Offer. Based on the current situation, we are optimistic that Newjf will finally be successful.


China Healthcare Weekly (Dec.15) - 10th VBP Results, WuXi Shares Surge, Newjf Will Be Successful

<ul>
<li>Daiichi Sankyo is investing $152M for building a new ADC manufacturing facility in Shanghai. Eisai has received approval for Urece in China as a treatment for gout patients with hyperuricemia.</li>
<li>Celltrion has announced its largest-ever dividend of KRW750 per share and 1:20 bonus shares. The record date for dividend payment and bonus share is December 31.</li>
<li>Metropolis Healthcare is acquiring Core Diagnostics, a prominent player in India’s specialized diagnostics sector for INR2.5B. CSPC Pharmaceutical has granted an exclusive license to Beigene for a clinical-stage drug candidate.</li>
</ul>


Daiichi Sankyo is investing $152M for building a new ADC manufacturing facility in Shanghai. Eisai has received approval for Urece in China as a treatment for gout patients with hyperuricemia.
Celltrion has announced its largest-ever dividend of KRW750 per share and 1:20 bonus shares. The record date for dividend payment and bonus share is December 31.
Metropolis Healthcare is acquiring Core Diagnostics, a prominent player in India’s specialized diagnostics sector for INR2.5B. CSPC Pharmaceutical has granted an exclusive license to Beigene for a clinical-stage drug candidate.


APAC Healthcare Weekly (Dec 15)-Daiichi Sankyo, Eisai, Celltrion, Metropolis Healthcare, CSPC Pharma

Equity Bottom-Up

Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Hansoh’s 24H1 results beat the expectations. Product revenue (excluding BD cooperation revenue) would achieve double-digit growth in 2024 full year, among which revenue of Ameile would maintain 20%+ YoY growth.</li>
<li>Total product revenue would be about RMB14-14.5 billion in the future. Based on P/S of 5, market value is RMB70-72.5 billion, which is the lower end of market value range.</li>
<li>There is still certain gap in terms of R&amp;D capability/globalization outlook between Hansoh and those leading biotech in China. So, we think valuation of Hansoh would be lower than them.</li>
</ul>


Hansoh’s 24H1 results beat the expectations. Product revenue (excluding BD cooperation revenue) would achieve double-digit growth in 2024 full year, among which revenue of Ameile would maintain 20%+ YoY growth.
Total product revenue would be about RMB14-14.5 billion in the future. Based on P/S of 5, market value is RMB70-72.5 billion, which is the lower end of market value range.
There is still certain gap in terms of R&amp;D capability/globalization outlook between Hansoh and those leading biotech in China. So, we think valuation of Hansoh would be lower than them.


Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group (3692.HK) - Successful Business Transformation Opens up Valuation Upside

China Resources Pharmaceutical / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The 10th national VBP officially begins. Enterprises involved in this VBP include <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-fosun-pharmaceutical-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8045:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Fosun Pharmaceutical (2196 HK)</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-pharmaceuticals-holding" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:228:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Pharmaceuticals (2607 HK), </a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sichuan-kelun-pharmaceutical-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3625:1" rel="noopener">Sichuan Kelun Pharmaceutical (002422 CH), </a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cspc-pharmaceutical-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:229:1" rel="noopener">CSPC (1093 HK)</a>, etc..</li>
<li>We analyzed Chinese Biotech companies’ P/S range based on different product revenue growth. Due to low profitability, there is “a valuation discount” if they are included in global valuation system.</li>
<li>KPC has agreed to acquire 51% interest in CR Shenghuo from CR Sanjiu. Due to good performance, we are full of expectations for the future acquisition/integration within China Resources.</li>
</ul>


The 10th national VBP officially begins. Enterprises involved in this VBP include Shanghai Fosun Pharmaceutical (2196 HK)Shanghai Pharmaceuticals (2607 HK), Sichuan Kelun Pharmaceutical (002422 CH), CSPC (1093 HK), etc..
We analyzed Chinese Biotech companies’ P/S range based on different product revenue growth. Due to low profitability, there is “a valuation discount” if they are included in global valuation system.
KPC has agreed to acquire 51% interest in CR Shenghuo from CR Sanjiu. Due to good performance, we are full of expectations for the future acquisition/integration within China Resources.


China Healthcare Weekly (Nov.24) - 10th VBP, Biotech Valuation Logic, China Resources Reorganization

China

CSPC Pharmaceutical Group Limited, through its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells pharmaceutical products.  The Company's products include vitamin C, antibiotics and common generic drugs. The Company is also engages in the development of innovative drugs and antibiotics.

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CSPC Pharmaceutical Group (1093 HK)

APAC Healthcare Weekly (Dec 22)- Mesoblast, Celltrion, Peptidream, Astellas, Hansoh, Lupin

Mesoblast got FDA approval for its first drug, while Betta Pharma, Celltrion, and Lupin also received some major FDA approvals. Pharma companies...

Tina Banerjee

China Healthcare Weekly (Dec.15) - 10th VBP Results, WuXi Shares Surge, Newjf Will Be Successful

10th national VBP results show 70% price reduction. WuXi shares surge without BIOSECURE Act in US NDAA amendments, but rally may be short...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

APAC Healthcare Weekly (Dec 15)-Daiichi Sankyo, Eisai, Celltrion, Metropolis Healthcare, CSPC Pharma

The insight covers key developments in prominent APAC healthcare companies. These developments are expected to impact the financials of the...

Tina Banerjee

Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group (3692.HK) - Successful Business Transformation Opens up Valuation Upside

Hansoh's strong 24H1 results secure double-digit growth in 2024. However, valuation could be lower than leading biotech due to gap in R&D...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (Nov.24) - 10th VBP, Biotech Valuation Logic, China Resources Reorganization

The 10th national VBP kicks off. Chinese Biotech face valuation discount when included in global valuation system. China Resources is undergoing...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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APAC Healthcare Weekly (Dec 22)- Mesoblast, Celltrion, Peptidream, Astellas, Hansoh, Lupin

Mesoblast got FDA approval for its first drug, while Betta Pharma, Celltrion, and Lupin also received some major FDA approvals. Pharma companies...

Tina Banerjee

China Healthcare Weekly (Dec.15) - 10th VBP Results, WuXi Shares Surge, Newjf Will Be Successful

​10th national VBP results show 70% price reduction. WuXi shares surge without BIOSECURE Act in US NDAA amendments, but rally may be short...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

APAC Healthcare Weekly (Dec 15)-Daiichi Sankyo, Eisai, Celltrion, Metropolis Healthcare, CSPC Pharma

The insight covers key developments in prominent APAC healthcare companies. These developments are expected to impact the financials of the...

Tina Banerjee

Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group (3692.HK) - Successful Business Transformation Opens up Valuation Upside

​Hansoh's strong 24H1 results secure double-digit growth in 2024. However, valuation could be lower than leading biotech due to gap in R&D...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (Nov.24) - 10th VBP, Biotech Valuation Logic, China Resources Reorganization

The 10th national VBP kicks off. Chinese Biotech face valuation discount when included in global valuation system. China Resources is undergoing...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

10th national VBP results show 70% price reduction. WuXi shares surge without BIOSECURE Act in US NDAA amendments, but rally may be short...

Hansoh's strong 24H1 results secure double-digit growth in 2024. However, valuation could be lower than leading biotech due to gap in R&D...