Fundamental Short Selling Research

Eric Fernandez, CFA

TwoRiversAnalytics

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>This model seeks companies facing dangerously high leverage coupled with negative or declining cash flows.  It considers interest expense, capex and short term maturities for additional input. </li>
<li>The companies may not be viable given cash flows and capital structures.  These shorts tend to have  higher betas  and can have strong down moves as the crisis is recognized.</li>
<li>This week we flag: Invitae, AMC, 2U Inc., and Delek US</li>
</ul>


This model seeks companies facing dangerously high leverage coupled with negative or declining cash flows.  It considers interest expense, capex and short term maturities for additional input. 
The companies may not be viable given cash flows and capital structures.  These shorts tend to have  higher betas  and can have strong down moves as the crisis is recognized.
This week we flag: Invitae, AMC, 2U Inc., and Delek US


Solvency Risk Short Candidates: Invitae, AMC, 2U Inc., Delek US

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Encouraging developments continue to pour in. Over the past week we have seen dramatic improvements that could be setting the stage for a broad-based advance. We highlight these improvements in this report, along with what we would like to see in order to have confidence in labeling this a bull market.  In today’s report we also highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Energy, Financials, Manufacturing, and Technology: Refining, Banks, Super-Regional, Industrial, Diversified, Large-Cap, and Data Storage Solutions &amp; Devices, Large-Cap.

Encouraging developments continue to pour in. Over the past week we have seen dramatic improvements that could be setting the stage for a broad-based advance. We highlight these improvements in this report, along with what we would like to see in order to have confidence in labeling this a bull market.  In today’s report we also highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Energy, Financials, Manufacturing, and Technology: Refining, Banks, Super-Regional, Industrial, Diversified, Large-Cap, and Data Storage Solutions &amp; Devices, Large-Cap.

U.S. Equity Strategy: Dramatic Improvement

Global markets are overdue for a bounce, But a host of uncertainties including are providing a significant headwind for broad developed and emerging market indexes. Our outlook remains cautious and we expect additional weakness and consolidation across global equity markets.  We offer technical insights on major markets, and highlight a number of actionable bottoms up ideas.

Global markets are overdue for a bounce, But a host of uncertainties including are providing a significant headwind for broad developed and emerging market indexes. Our outlook remains cautious and we expect additional weakness and consolidation across global equity markets.  We offer technical insights on major markets, and highlight a number of actionable bottoms up ideas.

Global Equity Strategy: Still Cautious Despite Oversold Conditions

<ul><li>U.S. equity markets remain resilient. Led by strength in technology and biotech, the Nasdaq hit a new all-time high yesterday. Small-cap indexes are also hitting all-time highs. Moreover, the S&amp;P 500 has moved to a new high relative to May prices, providing new evidence that the market is likely to continue its trend higher. Given these developments, our outlook continues to move toward the bullish camp. In today’s report we highlight attractive and actionable stocks within Energy (Refiners) and Health Care (Cardiovascular Products, and Surgical Devices &amp; Equipment).</li></ul>

U.S. equity markets remain resilient. Led by strength in technology and biotech, the Nasdaq hit a new all-time high yesterday. Small-cap indexes are also hitting all-time highs. Moreover, the S&amp;P 500 has moved to a new high relative to May prices, providing new evidence that the market is likely to continue its trend higher. Given these developments, our outlook continues to move toward the bullish camp. In today’s report we highlight attractive and actionable stocks within Energy (Refiners) and Health Care (Cardiovascular Products, and Surgical Devices &amp; Equipment).

U.S. Equity Strategy: Opportunities in Refiners & Med Device Makers

Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania

Assistant Professor at The Wharton School, Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania

Dr Arthur van Benthem

Assistant Professor at The Wharton School

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

The environmental agenda of President-elect Trump and his transition team is deeply troubling. Plans include dismantling or defunding the Environmental Protection Agency, scrapping the Paris Climate Accord, repealing the Clean Power Plan, relaxing auto emissions standards, increasing coal production, weakening the Endangered Species Act, and on and on. While Trump claims to have an “open mind” on climate, the transition at the EPA is led by Myron Ebell, a science denier who believes that free…

The environmental agenda of President-elect Trump and his transition team is deeply troubling. Plans include dismantling or defunding the Environmental Protection Agency, scrapping the Paris Climate Accord, repealing the Clean Power Plan, relaxing auto emissions standards, increasing coal production, weakening the Endangered Species Act, and on and on. While Trump claims to have an “open mind” on climate, the transition at the EPA is led by Myron Ebell, a science denier who believes that free…

Time for Corporate America to Stand up for the Environment

United States

Delek US Holdings, Inc. operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, focuses on the petroleum refining, logistics, and convenience store retailing. Delek US Holdings gathers and transports crude oil, as well as markets, distributes, and stores refined production in the Southeast United States and West Texas.

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Delek US Holdings (DK US)

Solvency Risk Short Candidates: Invitae, AMC, 2U Inc., Delek US

This model seeks companies facing dangerously high leverage coupled with negative or declining cash flows. This week we flag: Invitae, AMC, 2U...

Eric Fernandez, CFA

U.S. Equity Strategy: Dramatic Improvement

Encouraging developments continue to pour in. Over the past week we have seen dramatic improvements that could be setting the stage for a...

Vermilion Research

Global Equity Strategy: Still Cautious Despite Oversold Conditions

Global markets are overdue for a bounce, But a host of uncertainties including are providing a significant headwind for broad developed and...

Vermilion Research

U.S. Equity Strategy: Opportunities in Refiners & Med Device Makers

U.S. equity markets remain resilient. Led by strength in technology and biotech, the Nasdaq hit a new all-time high yesterday. Small-cap indexes...

Vermilion Research

Time for Corporate America to Stand up for the Environment

The environmental agenda of President-elect Trump and his transition team is deeply troubling. Plans include dismantling or defunding the...

Dr Arthur van Benthem

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)