Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Winner winner chicken dinner.  A Nikke article suggests a bid higher than ¥6tn for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyota-industries-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4500:1" rel="noopener">Toyota Industries (6201 JP)</a>. In addition, people  thinking about ¥18,400/share are going about this incorrectly. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/contemporary-amperex-technology-catl-co-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45179:1" rel="noopener">Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) (3750 HK)</a> pops on its IPO debut. The HKEx has issued a high concentration warning</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mitsubishi-logisnext-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11662:1" rel="noopener">Mitsubishi Logisnext Co., Ltd. (7105 JP)</a> is still ragingly cheap given the move to delist dual parent/sub listings and having a global footprint. Own it here and now.</li>
</ul>


Winner winner chicken dinner.  A Nikke article suggests a bid higher than ¥6tn for Toyota Industries (6201 JP). In addition, people  thinking about ¥18,400/share are going about this incorrectly. 

Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) (3750 HK) pops on its IPO debut. The HKEx has issued a high concentration warning

Mitsubishi Logisnext Co., Ltd. (7105 JP) is still ragingly cheap given the move to delist dual parent/sub listings and having a global footprint. Own it here and now.


Last Week in Event SPACE: Toyota Industries, CATL, Mitsubishi Logisnext, Mayne Pharma, Melco

<ul>
<li>I tally  46 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - arb transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma.</li>
<li>Just one new deal was discussed on Smartkarma this week: Bastion's off-market Offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xanadu-mines-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1270:1" rel="noopener">Xanadu Mines (XAM AU)</a>.</li>
<li>Key updates/news took place on: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/reject-shop-ltd-the" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:272:1" rel="noopener">Reject Shop (TRS AU)</a>,<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/esr-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27983:1" rel="noopener">ESR Group (1821 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shibaura-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12704:1" rel="noopener">Shibaura Electronics (6957 JP)</a>,<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jamco-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14741:1" rel="noopener">Jamco Corp (7408 JP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tsuruha-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9536:1" rel="noopener">Tsuruha Holdings (3391 JP)</a>/<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/welcia-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20895:1" rel="noopener">Welcia Holdings (3141 JP)</a>.</li>
</ul>


I tally  46 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - arb transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma.
Just one new deal was discussed on Smartkarma this week: Bastion's off-market Offer for Xanadu Mines (XAM AU).
Key updates/news took place on: Reject Shop (TRS AU),ESR Group (1821 HK), Shibaura Electronics (6957 JP),Jamco Corp (7408 JP), and Tsuruha Holdings (3391 JP)/Welcia Holdings (3141 JP).


(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Xanadu Mines, Reject Shop, ESR Group, Shibaura Elect., Jamco, Tsuruha/Welcia

<ul>
<li>Back on the 21st May, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xanadu-mines-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1270:1" rel="noopener">Xanadu Mines (XAM AU)</a>, a Mongolian copper-gold mining play, inked an off-market deal with Bastion @A$0.08/share in cash. </li>
<li>Bastion comprises Singapore-based Baroo (comprising board members from Mongolia) and Xanadu director Ganbayer Lkhagvasuren. Bastion is also subscribing for 286.8mn shares, at A$0.06/share, or 13% fully diluted.</li>
<li>A follow-up Q&amp;A session is worth listening to in full to gauge why Zijin (JV partner and 19.8% shareholder) may view Bastion taking control of XAM as a good thing.  </li>
</ul>


Back on the 21st May, Xanadu Mines (XAM AU), a Mongolian copper-gold mining play, inked an off-market deal with Bastion @A$0.08/share in cash. 
Bastion comprises Singapore-based Baroo (comprising board members from Mongolia) and Xanadu director Ganbayer Lkhagvasuren. Bastion is also subscribing for 286.8mn shares, at A$0.06/share, or 13% fully diluted.
A follow-up Q&amp;A session is worth listening to in full to gauge why Zijin (JV partner and 19.8% shareholder) may view Bastion taking control of XAM as a good thing.  


Xanadu (XAM AU): A Mongolian Face To A Mongolian Project

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xanadu-mines-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1270:1" rel="noopener">Xanadu (XAM AU)</a>, a Mongolian copper-gold mining play, has <a href="https://announcements.asx.com.au/asxpdf/20250519/pdf/06jw159bvb537m.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">entered a deal with Bastion</a>, two weeks after an agreement with JV partner and major shareholder <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zijin-mining-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24628:1" rel="noopener">Zijin Mining (601899 CH)</a> lapsed.</li>
<li>Bastion, which comprises Singapore-based Baroo and Xanadu director Ganbayer Lkhagvasuren, are offering A$0.08/share in cash. Bastion is also subscribing for 286.8mn shares, at A$0.06/share, or 13% fully diluted. </li>
<li>The off-market Offer is contingent on a 50.1% acceptance hurdle. CAAF (11.85%) is supportive. No word on how Zijin (19.8% stakeholder, before dilution) will play this. </li>
</ul>



Xanadu (XAM AU), a Mongolian copper-gold mining play, has entered a deal with Bastion, two weeks after an agreement with JV partner and major shareholder Zijin Mining (601899 CH) lapsed.
Bastion, which comprises Singapore-based Baroo and Xanadu director Ganbayer Lkhagvasuren, are offering A$0.08/share in cash. Bastion is also subscribing for 286.8mn shares, at A$0.06/share, or 13% fully diluted. 
The off-market Offer is contingent on a 50.1% acceptance hurdle. CAAF (11.85%) is supportive. No word on how Zijin (19.8% stakeholder, before dilution) will play this. 


Xanadu Mines (XAM AU) Inks Deal With Bastion After Zijin Tarries

<ul>
<li>Back on the 27th March, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/reject-shop-ltd-the" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:272:1" rel="noopener">Reject Shop (TRS AU)</a>, a discount variety store, has entered into a Scheme Implementation Deed with Canadian outfit <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dollarama-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25273:1" rel="noopener">Dollarama (DOL CN)</a>.</li>
<li>Dollarama Offered A$6.68/share, a 112% premium to last close. The Offer does NOT require FIRB signing off. The Offer has the backing of TRS' largest shareholder, Kin Group (20.8%). </li>
<li>
The Scheme Booklet is now <a href="https://announcements.asx.com.au/asxpdf/20250516/pdf/06jtb84bd2mpg3.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">out</a>, with a Scheme Meeting on the 23 June, and expected payment on or before the 22nd July. The IE (Kroll) says "fair &amp; reasonable".</li>
</ul>


Back on the 27th March, Reject Shop (TRS AU), a discount variety store, has entered into a Scheme Implementation Deed with Canadian outfit Dollarama (DOL CN).
Dollarama Offered A$6.68/share, a 112% premium to last close. The Offer does NOT require FIRB signing off. The Offer has the backing of TRS' largest shareholder, Kin Group (20.8%). 

The Scheme Booklet is now out, with a Scheme Meeting on the 23 June, and expected payment on or before the 22nd July. The IE (Kroll) says "fair &amp; reasonable".


Reject Shop (TRS AU): 23rd June Vote On Dollarama's Offer

Canada

Dollarama Inc. operates as an online marketplace. The Company offers cleaning, school, office, home, kitchen, food, health, beauty, hardware, electronics, toys, and pets products, as well as provides delivery services. Dollarama serves customers in Canada.

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Dollarama (DOL CN)

Last Week in Event SPACE: Toyota Industries, CATL, Mitsubishi Logisnext, Mayne Pharma, Melco

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Xanadu Mines, Reject Shop, ESR Group, Shibaura Elect., Jamco, Tsuruha/Welcia

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

Xanadu (XAM AU): A Mongolian Face To A Mongolian Project

This is a clean deal. Trading at terms. I don't think Zijin Mining will counter. Bastion's presence is a good thing. If small, illiquid arbs are...

David Blennerhassett

Xanadu Mines (XAM AU) Inks Deal With Bastion After Zijin Tarries

This is largely a clean deal. Trading at terms. Will Zijin now step up to the plate? Arguably its NBIO has not been withdrawn. If small, illiquid...

David Blennerhassett

Reject Shop (TRS AU): 23rd June Vote On Dollarama's Offer

This is done. Tading tight at 1.4%/7.8% gross/annualised spread. If in, stay in. Otherwise, lI would be looking elsewhere.

David Blennerhassett

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