TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research Analyst, Obex Capital Research

Aaron Gabin

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research Analyst

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research

Obex Capital Research

“Obex” is Latin for Barriers to Entry. Obex Capital Management’s investment philosophy is driven by an intense focus on which business model’s Barriers to Entry are able to withstand the ever increasing competitive disruption in the TMT and Consumer Sectors.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Meta now trades at 14x P/E and 6x fwd EV/EBITDA...valuation inline with Paramount and Warner Brothers Discovery. This is nuts!</li>
<li>While the drumbeat of competitive concerns and self inflicted wounds has piled up in the past month, even core Facebook is not in a death spiral of engagement.</li>
<li>META is investing in new ad tech and ad formats, and has the ability to cut significant opex from its budget that could yield 10-20% upside to current 2023 consensus.</li>
</ul>


Meta now trades at 14x P/E and 6x fwd EV/EBITDA...valuation inline with Paramount and Warner Brothers Discovery. This is nuts!
While the drumbeat of competitive concerns and self inflicted wounds has piled up in the past month, even core Facebook is not in a death spiral of engagement.
META is investing in new ad tech and ad formats, and has the ability to cut significant opex from its budget that could yield 10-20% upside to current 2023 consensus.


What Are the Prospects for a Meta Rebound?

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>Meta hosted the Meta Connect 2022 on 11 Oct, launching its first high-end VR headset Meta Quest Pro.</li><li>The new VR headset will begin shipping on 25 October for US$1,499.99.</li><li>With innovative features like pancake lenses, eye tracking, natural facial expressions and colour passthrough, Meta Quest Pro will meaningfully enhance the social/gaming/work VR experience in our view.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Meta hosted the Meta Connect 2022 on 11 Oct, launching its first high-end VR headset Meta Quest Pro.The new VR headset will begin shipping on 25 October for US$1,499.99.With innovative features like pancake lenses, eye tracking, natural facial expressions and colour passthrough, Meta Quest Pro will meaningfully enhance the social/gaming/work VR experience in our view.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Internet Sector – Meta Connect 2022: bridging the gap towards metaverse

SPAC Deep Dive, subSPAC

subSPAC

SPAC Deep Dive

Each week we’ll identify and break down for you SPACs that are capturing market share and making an impact.

<ul><li>Direct to Consumer and E-commerce brands benefited massively from the demand during the pandemic but have struggled in recent months due to the recent slump in demand.</li><li>Furthermore, Privacy focused changes instituted by both Apple and Google have led to poor conversion rates and soaring customer acquisition costs whiles also lowering conversion rates.</li><li>System1, which went public through a SPAC, aims to solve all these issues by matching high-intent customers with advertisers at scales, effectively sidestepping the recent changes.</li></ul>

Direct to Consumer and E-commerce brands benefited massively from the demand during the pandemic but have struggled in recent months due to the recent slump in demand.Furthermore, Privacy focused changes instituted by both Apple and Google have led to poor conversion rates and soaring customer acquisition costs whiles also lowering conversion rates.System1, which went public through a SPAC, aims to solve all these issues by matching high-intent customers with advertisers at scales, effectively sidestepping the recent changes.

US Tech Company Research, MT Capital

MT Capital

US Tech Company Research

I demystify the world's most interesting tech companies, providing in-depth, no-nonsense, un-biased analysis on the most interesting Tech Companies available for investment today. I am a Mechanical Engineer by education, Software Engineer by trade and a self-trained Financial Analyst.

<ul><li>The technology sector is full of polarizing personalities, many of whom stand at the helm of some of the largest companies in the world.</li><li>Whether that be with the brash antics and lofty ambitions of Elon Musk, the undoubtable brilliance tainted by Bitcoin Maximalism exhibited by Jack Dorsey, the SEC-challenging twitter threads blasted by Brain Armstrong, or the naivety potentially falsely portrayed by Vlad Tenev, there is no shortage of individuals that, love or hate, you can’t help but pay attention to.</li><li>Mark Zuckerburg is one of those people. The man that steers the ship of of Metaverse has clear technical aptitude, a far-cry away from the resume full of consulting experience and MBAs possessed by a lot of modern c-suite executives.</li></ul>

The technology sector is full of polarizing personalities, many of whom stand at the helm of some of the largest companies in the world.Whether that be with the brash antics and lofty ambitions of Elon Musk, the undoubtable brilliance tainted by Bitcoin Maximalism exhibited by Jack Dorsey, the SEC-challenging twitter threads blasted by Brain Armstrong, or the naivety potentially falsely portrayed by Vlad Tenev, there is no shortage of individuals that, love or hate, you can’t help but pay attention to.Mark Zuckerburg is one of those people. The man that steers the ship of of Metaverse has clear technical aptitude, a far-cry away from the resume full of consulting experience and MBAs possessed by a lot of modern c-suite executives.

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tdcx-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34187:1" rel="noopener">TDCX (TDCX US)</a> offers digital customer experience solutions for innovative technology and blue-chip companies and has global client base including <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meta-platforms-inc-class-a-facebook" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:665:1" rel="noopener">Meta Platforms (Facebook) (META US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/airbnb-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:431:1" rel="noopener">Airbnb Inc (ABNB US)</a> .</li>
<li>The company’s share price has dropped more than 40% since its IPO as its largest clients were negatively impacted due to the Covid-19 outbreak.</li>
<li>TDCX’s 2Q2022 earnings were strong and the company’s client acquisition strategy is paying off and the share price has moved up 60% since then.</li>
</ul>



TDCX (TDCX US) offers digital customer experience solutions for innovative technology and blue-chip companies and has global client base including Meta Platforms (Facebook) (META US) and Airbnb Inc (ABNB US) .
The company’s share price has dropped more than 40% since its IPO as its largest clients were negatively impacted due to the Covid-19 outbreak.
TDCX’s 2Q2022 earnings were strong and the company’s client acquisition strategy is paying off and the share price has moved up 60% since then.


TDCX: Attractive Growth Profile; Drop in Multiples Offer a Good Entry Point

United States

Meta Platforms Inc. operates as a social technology company. The Company builds applications and technologies that help people connect, find communities, and grow businesses. meta Platform is also involved in advertisements, augmented and virtual reality.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Meta (META US)

What Are the Prospects for a Meta Rebound?

Meta has seen its valuation converge with structurally impaired cable network / streamers with margins 50% lower. We think it can boost EPS through...

Aaron Gabin

China Internet Sector – Meta Connect 2022: bridging the gap towards metaverse

With innovative features like pancake lenses, eye tracking, natural facial expressions and colour passthrough, Meta Quest Pro will meaningfully...

CMB International

Advertisement Apocalypse

Direct to Consumer and E-commerce brands benefited massively from the demand during the pandemic but have struggled in recent months due to the...

subSPAC

Meta Platforms ($META)

The technology sector is full of polarizing personalities, many of whom stand at the helm of some of the largest companies in the world.

MT Capital

TDCX: Attractive Growth Profile; Drop in Multiples Offer a Good Entry Point

Though TDCX's share price has moved up over the last three weeks, there is further upside as the company's client acquisition has started paying...

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)