Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

LightStream Research

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>GoTo’s share price lost more than 75% last year following its weaker-than-expected performance and lock-up expiry despite the company entering into a coordinated secondary offering of shares with pre-IPO shareholders.</li>
<li>The company’s share price has moved up 24% YTD partially driven by cost cutting measures that is expected to improve the company’s profitability.</li>
<li>Nevertheless, we expect this share price rebound to be temporary with e-commerce and food delivery market in Indonesia slowing down.</li>
</ul>

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

Aequitas Research

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>GoTo pre-IPO shareholders were released from the lockup on 1st Dec 2022, which led to a 47% slide in its share price.</li>
<li>We had written about the upcoming lockup expiry in our earlier note, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/goto-ipo-lockup-expiry-us-13bn-lockup-release-or-in-other-words-the-real-ipo" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:84796" rel="noopener">GoTo IPO Lockup Expiry - US$13bn Lockup Release or in Other Words, the Real IPO</a>.</li>
<li>While the price appears to be settling down now, given the intra-day trading limits in Indonesia,  very little volumes have been transacted compared to the shares released from lockup.</li>
</ul>

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>As 2022 comes to an end, we revisit our IPO calls over the last 12-months and how these stocks have performed to assess the effectiveness of our calls.</li>
<li>We made explicit buy/sell calls on 12 IPOs during this period with a hit-rate of 83.3% with Grab, GoTo, Cloud Music, SenseTime and Leapmotor IPOs making the highest returns.</li>
<li>We also wrote on several other IPOs during this period, however, those IPOs have not received approval yet.</li>
</ul>

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/Events/Delta One

Periscope Analytics

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/goto-gojek-tokopedia" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25976:1" rel="noopener">GoTo (GOTO IJ)</a> listed on 11 April and closed at its lowest point since listing yesterday. The lock-up on pre-IPO shareholders expires on 30 November.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/goto-gojek-tokopedia" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25976:1" rel="noopener">GoTo (GOTO IJ)</a> has confirmed that it is working with pre-IPO shareholders to explore a coordinated secondary offering.</li>
<li>The lock-up expiry will result in a lot of shares hitting the market in December. The increased float could result in MSCI/FTSE inclusion early next year.</li>
</ul>

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

<ul>
<li>In Mar 2022, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/goto-gojek-tokopedia" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25976:1" rel="noopener">GoTo (GOTO IJ)</a> raised around US$1bn from what was essentially a domestic Indonesian IPO. </li>
<li>GoTo has already burnt through the cash it raised from the listing and cash burn still remains high, while its cash balance is amongst the lowest in its peer set.</li>
<li>At its current cash burn pace, the company will have to come to the markets again soon.</li>
</ul>

Indonesia

PT GoTo Gojek Tokopedia Tbk operates as an e-commerce platform. The Company offers mobility, food delivery, logistics, e-commerce, and financial technology solutions. GoTo Gojek Tokopedia serves customers in Indonesia.

ADTV (USDm)	0.00
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
P/B	0.00
EV/EBITDA	0.00
EV/Sales	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

GoTo - GOTO IJ

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