Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Obvious policy efforts are being made to drive consumption and improve consumer confidence.</li>
<li>Previous attempts have resulted in increased savings but policy direction has changed</li>
<li>Beaten-Up consumer names have a good risk-reward at this stage</li>
</ul>


Obvious policy efforts are being made to drive consumption and improve consumer confidence.
Previous attempts have resulted in increased savings but policy direction has changed
Beaten-Up consumer names have a good risk-reward at this stage


China Crosses the Rubicon - Direct Payments to Kickstart Consumption

Quantitative Equity Analyst, DMA

Charlotte van Tiddens, CFA

Quantitative Equity Analyst

Technology-First Company

DMA is a technology-first company that provides an end-to-end SaaS solution to institutional investors. DMA enables regulated entities like asset managers, wealth managers, investment managers and financial advisors to connect their front and back office, break silos and reduce headcount.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On Tuesday, China announced fresh stimulus measures targeting the stock market and property sector.</li>
<li>The PBoC reduced the main policy rate and cut the RRR, signaling that further cuts were on the cards for later this year.</li>
<li>Further stimulus measures were announced today ahead of the Golden Week holiday. The discounts of Naspers and Prosus have rallied on the news, we see room for further upside.</li>
</ul>


On Tuesday, China announced fresh stimulus measures targeting the stock market and property sector.
The PBoC reduced the main policy rate and cut the RRR, signaling that further cuts were on the cards for later this year.
Further stimulus measures were announced today ahead of the Golden Week holiday. The discounts of Naspers and Prosus have rallied on the news, we see room for further upside.


Prosus X Naspers: Discounts Catch Bid on China Stimulus, Trip.com Stake Fully Exited

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The fabled  PBoC Put is finally out in the open</li>
<li>Is there a floor under the stock market, if not the property market?</li>
<li>Has the asymetric opportunity now gone with this recent rally?</li>
</ul>


The fabled  PBoC Put is finally out in the open
Is there a floor under the stock market, if not the property market?
Has the asymetric opportunity now gone with this recent rally?


After the Rally. What Next for the Hong Kong Market?

<ul>
<li>A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes or outlook</li>
<li>We take a look at how some of the markets we focus on reacted to the aftermath of the Federal Reserve Decision.</li>
<li>China is watching key levels on the Shanghai Composite Index</li>
</ul>


A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes or outlook
We take a look at how some of the markets we focus on reacted to the aftermath of the Federal Reserve Decision.
China is watching key levels on the Shanghai Composite Index


Quantitative Researcher, MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Quantitative Researcher

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>We continue our coverage of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Index</a> : in our <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/eqd-updated-support-levels-to-buy-for-hsi-index-rally-continuation-in-september" target="_blank" rel="noopener">previous insight</a> we theorized a continuation of the rally in September. </li>
<li>So far the index is following the path outlined (pullback, then rally). What is going to happen in the next few weeks, if September closes up?</li>
<li>Broadly speaking we see a potential continuation of the rally in October, but there may be some resistance in the short-term.</li>
</ul>


We continue our coverage of the Hang Seng Index : in our previous insight we theorized a continuation of the rally in September. 
So far the index is following the path outlined (pullback, then rally). What is going to happen in the next few weeks, if September closes up?
Broadly speaking we see a potential continuation of the rally in October, but there may be some resistance in the short-term.


Hong Kong

The Hang Seng Index is a free-float capitalization-weighted index of a selection of companies from the Stock Exchange of Hong Kong. The components of the index are divided into four subindices: Commerce and Industry, Finance, Utilities, and Properties. The index was developed with a base level of 100 as of July 31, 1964.

Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX)

China Crosses the Rubicon - Direct Payments to Kickstart Consumption

Policy efforts are shifting towards driving consumption and boosting consumer confidence, presenting a favourable risk-reward opportunity for...

Rikki Malik

Prosus X Naspers: Discounts Catch Bid on China Stimulus, Trip.com Stake Fully Exited

The discounts of Naspers and Prosus have rallied following news flow out of China on fresh stimulus measures. There is likely room for further...

DMA

After the Rally. What Next for the Hong Kong Market?

The emergence of the PBoC Put and what to do now that the Hang Seng Index has rallied so fast and hard. Has the boat been missed?

Rikki Malik

Overview #9 Fallout from the Fed

A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes and outlook. We look at the usual suspects of Gold, the JPY, Topix and the Hang...

Rikki Malik

EQD | HSI September Rally: What's Next?

The analysis of the Hang Seng Index based on our WEEKLY models suggests a rally continuation into the end of September, with potential resistance...

Nico Rosti

China Crosses the Rubicon - Direct Payments to Kickstart Consumption

​Policy efforts are shifting towards driving consumption and boosting consumer confidence, presenting a favourable risk-reward opportunity for...

Rikki Malik

Prosus X Naspers: Discounts Catch Bid on China Stimulus, Trip.com Stake Fully Exited

The discounts of Naspers and Prosus have rallied following news flow out of China on fresh stimulus measures. There is likely room for further...

DMA

After the Rally. What Next for the Hong Kong Market?

The emergence of the PBoC Put and what to do now that the Hang Seng Index has rallied so fast and hard. Has the boat been missed?

Rikki Malik

Overview #9 Fallout from the Fed

A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes and outlook. We look at the usual suspects of Gold, the JPY, Topix and the Hang...

Rikki Malik

EQD | HSI September Rally: What's Next?

​The analysis of the Hang Seng Index based on our WEEKLY models suggests a rally continuation into the end of September, with potential resistance...

Nico Rosti

Policy efforts are shifting towards driving consumption and boosting consumer confidence, presenting a favourable risk-reward opportunity for...

The analysis of the Hang Seng Index based on our WEEKLY models suggests a rally continuation into the end of September, with potential resistance...