External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The aggregate performance of the Q1FY26 earnings season was steady as sequential improvement in YoY PAT growth continued in the current quarter</li><li>Aggregate revenue/PAT grew by 5%/10% YoY across the HSIE coverage (~246 stocks) in Q1FY26</li><li>Ex-OMCs, aggregate YoY revenue/earnings growth for the quarter was 6%/5%</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The aggregate performance of the Q1FY26 earnings season was steady as sequential improvement in YoY PAT growth continued in the current quarterAggregate revenue/PAT grew by 5%/10% YoY across the HSIE coverage (~246 stocks) in Q1FY26Ex-OMCs, aggregate YoY revenue/earnings growth for the quarter was 6%/5%Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Quarterly Flipbook: Earnings growth and downgrade cycle bottoming-out

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite Index / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass).</li>
<li>We will maintain our bullish intermediate-term view as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the SPX and ACWI-US are above 5700-5785 and $119-$121.</li>
<li>$125-$126 and $123-$123.50 are short-term supports to watch on ACWI-US; we will maintain our near-term bullish outlook as long as $123 support holds.</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass).
We will maintain our bullish intermediate-term view as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the SPX and ACWI-US are above 5700-5785 and $119-$121.
$125-$126 and $123-$123.50 are short-term supports to watch on ACWI-US; we will maintain our near-term bullish outlook as long as $123 support holds.


China and Japan Breaking Out -- Buy; Bullish Outlook Intact; U.S. Dollar (DXY) Remains Weak

<ul><li>The Indian PSU banking (PSB) sector, once considered structurally broken, is experiencing early signs of a secular turnaround, buttressed by a combination of governance reforms (balance sheet repair and recapitalization), modernized digital stack, and a gradual turnaround in the quality and sustainability of earnings</li><li>This is beginning to reflect in PSBs finally stabilizing their loan market share (+52bps market share gains during FY25), enhancing the quality of their customer franchise and service standards, and improving their return ratios</li><li>Despite improving profitability (FY25 RoAs approaching 1%), investors remain skeptical of the sustainability of these earnings</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The Indian PSU banking (PSB) sector, once considered structurally broken, is experiencing early signs of a secular turnaround, buttressed by a combination of governance reforms (balance sheet repair and recapitalization), modernized digital stack, and a gradual turnaround in the quality and sustainability of earningsThis is beginning to reflect in PSBs finally stabilizing their loan market share (+52bps market share gains during FY25), enhancing the quality of their customer franchise and service standards, and improving their return ratiosDespite improving profitability (FY25 RoAs approaching 1%), investors remain skeptical of the sustainability of these earningsContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Public Sector Banks: Repair, Reform, Reset

Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

<ul>
<li>The banking sector will likely see earnings growth bottom out in FY26, with the second half potentially performing better than the first half as deposit rate reductions eventually flow through.</li>
<li>This divergence between declining lending rates and sticky deposit costs is the core driver of NIM compression.</li>
<li>This monetary easing is expected to exert downward pressure on banks' lending yields, impacting NIMs, particularly in the first half of fiscal year 2026 (1HFY26). </li>
</ul>


The banking sector will likely see earnings growth bottom out in FY26, with the second half potentially performing better than the first half as deposit rate reductions eventually flow through.
This divergence between declining lending rates and sticky deposit costs is the core driver of NIM compression.
This monetary easing is expected to exert downward pressure on banks' lending yields, impacting NIMs, particularly in the first half of fiscal year 2026 (1HFY26). 


Impact of Rate Cut on Indian Banking Sector: NIMs & Earnings to Contract Further Amid Slowdown

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Emkay Global Financial Services Limited

Emkay

Emkay Global Financial Services Limited

Emkay Global Financial Services Ltd. is a leader in the financial services sector, actively creating wealth for our clients for over two decades. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Emkay Global Financial's research report on Indian Bank PSBs, including Indian Bank, have seen a correction in the recent past amid concerns around slowing growth (so also banking system) and peaking RoAs.</li><li>Our discussion with Indian Bank suggests that the bank’s fundamentals remain strong and it would maintain a fine balance between credit growth (~13-14%) and margins (&gt;3.25%), underpinning its strategic focus on delivering healthy and improving RoAs (&gt;1%).</li><li>The bank has been reporting steady improvement in asset quality with GNPA ratio down to 3.8% and NNPA ratio at an industry low of 0.4%.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Emkay Global Financial's research report on Indian Bank PSBs, including Indian Bank, have seen a correction in the recent past amid concerns around slowing growth (so also banking system) and peaking RoAs.Our discussion with Indian Bank suggests that the bank’s fundamentals remain strong and it would maintain a fine balance between credit growth (~13-14%) and margins (&gt;3.25%), underpinning its strategic focus on delivering healthy and improving RoAs (&gt;1%).The bank has been reporting steady improvement in asset quality with GNPA ratio down to 3.8% and NNPA ratio at an industry low of 0.4%.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Indian Bank - Fundamentally Solid as Ever; MD Change Remains a Monitorable

India

Indian Bank is a full service bank owned by the Government of India. The Bank offers a wide range of services including a foreign currency banking unit at Colombo and specialized overseas branches at Chennai, Bangalore, and Mumbai exclusively for handling foreign exchange  transactions arising out of export, import, remittances and non resident Indian business.

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Indian Bank (INBK IN)

Quarterly Flipbook: Earnings growth and downgrade cycle bottoming-out

The aggregate performance of the Q1FY26 earnings season was steady as sequential improvement in YoY PAT growth continued in the current quarter

HDFC Securities

China and Japan Breaking Out -- Buy; Bullish Outlook Intact; U.S. Dollar (DXY) Remains Weak

China's Shanghai Composite and Japan's TOPIX and TOPIX Small indexes Breaking Out -- Buy; Bullish Outlook Intact on global equities $ACWI; U.S....

Vermilion Research

Public Sector Banks: Repair, Reform, Reset

Despite improving profitability (FY25 RoAs approaching 1%), investors remain skeptical of the sustainability of these earnings

HDFC Securities

Impact of Rate Cut on Indian Banking Sector: NIMs & Earnings to Contract Further Amid Slowdown

Banking sector earnings growth expected to improve in FY26 as deposit rate reductions flow through, but NIM compression likely due to declining...

Nimish Maheshwari

Indian Bank - Fundamentally Solid as Ever; MD Change Remains a Monitorable

The bank has been reporting steady improvement in asset quality with GNPA ratio down to 3.8% and NNPA ratio at an industry low of 0.4%.

Emkay

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Quarterly Flipbook: Earnings growth and downgrade cycle bottoming-out

The aggregate performance of the Q1FY26 earnings season was steady as sequential improvement in YoY PAT growth continued in the current quarter

HDFC Securities

China and Japan Breaking Out -- Buy; Bullish Outlook Intact; U.S. Dollar (DXY) Remains Weak

China's Shanghai Composite and Japan's TOPIX and TOPIX Small indexes Breaking Out -- Buy; Bullish Outlook Intact on global equities $ACWI; U.S....

Vermilion Research

Public Sector Banks: Repair, Reform, Reset

Despite improving profitability (FY25 RoAs approaching 1%), investors remain skeptical of the sustainability of these earnings

HDFC Securities

Impact of Rate Cut on Indian Banking Sector: NIMs & Earnings to Contract Further Amid Slowdown

​Banking sector earnings growth expected to improve in FY26 as deposit rate reductions flow through, but NIM compression likely due to declining...

Nimish Maheshwari

Indian Bank - Fundamentally Solid as Ever; MD Change Remains a Monitorable

The bank has been reporting steady improvement in asset quality with GNPA ratio down to 3.8% and NNPA ratio at an industry low of 0.4%.

Emkay

Banking sector earnings growth expected to improve in FY26 as deposit rate reductions flow through, but NIM compression likely due to declining...