Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Fuyao Glass Industry Group / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>AH premia up, erasing the previous week's gains for Hs. "Beautiful Skew" continues in negative overall performance. </li>
<li>Last week I said "This is the most significant 60-day AH pair average H outperformance in five years, maybe ever. Remarkable." This week it unwound some.</li>
<li>The data tables below update on a daily basis in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Tools</a> section of Smartkarma. The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/south-flow-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">SOUTHBOUND Flow Monitor</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/ah-shares-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">AH Monitor</a> are both there free for SK readers.</li>
</ul>


AH premia up, erasing the previous week's gains for Hs. "Beautiful Skew" continues in negative overall performance. 
Last week I said "This is the most significant 60-day AH pair average H outperformance in five years, maybe ever. Remarkable." This week it unwound some.
The data tables below update on a daily basis in the Tools section of Smartkarma. The SOUTHBOUND Flow Monitor and AH Monitor are both there free for SK readers.


A/H Premium Tracker (To 1 Aug 2025):  HUGE SOUTHBOUND Buying Helps Beautiful Skew but Premia Up

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of HSI in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on Jd, CCB, Meituan, BOC, ICBC, Xinyi Solar, Bidu.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of HSI in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on Jd, CCB, Meituan, BOC, ICBC, Xinyi Solar, Bidu.


HSI Index Earning Revision (Jul): Jd, CCB, Meituan, BOC, ICBC, Xinyi Solar, Bidu

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outflows, and holding by mainland investors.</li>
<li>We highlight flows of CCB, China Life, SMIC, Meituan, China Mobile.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.
We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outflows, and holding by mainland investors.
We highlight flows of CCB, China Life, SMIC, Meituan, China Mobile.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (July): Near $15bn Inflows

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of CSI 100 in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on Wuxi Apptec, Ping An Insurance, Muyuan Foods, Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine, China Vanke, Tongwei.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of CSI 100 in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on Wuxi Apptec, Ping An Insurance, Muyuan Foods, Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine, China Vanke, Tongwei.


CSI 100 Index Earning Revision (Jul): Wuxi Apptec, Ping An Insurance, Muyuan Foods

Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>
Context: Index heavyweight <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hsbc-holdings-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:516:1" rel="noopener">HSBC (5 HK)</a> / <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hsbc-holdings-plc-a723bd63-0890-486f-aaa0-3bb9ad2b95ce" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21976:1" rel="noopener">HSBC (HSBA LN)</a> is set to report Interim Results 2025 on 30 July at 12:00 HKT — during the Hong Kong trading lunch break.</li>
<li>
Expected Move: Historical data reveals <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hsbc-holdings-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:516:1" rel="noopener">HSBC</a>'s announcement-day moves are significantly larger than average, with options currently pricing in a remarkably aligned ± 2.2% implied move.</li>
<li>
Actionable Strategies: Understand the potential for amplified volatility and explore actionable option strategies leveraging the distinctive term structure around earnings.</li>
</ul>



Context: Index heavyweight HSBC (5 HK) / HSBC (HSBA LN) is set to report Interim Results 2025 on 30 July at 12:00 HKT — during the Hong Kong trading lunch break.

Expected Move: Historical data reveals HSBC's announcement-day moves are significantly larger than average, with options currently pricing in a remarkably aligned ± 2.2% implied move.

Actionable Strategies: Understand the potential for amplified volatility and explore actionable option strategies leveraging the distinctive term structure around earnings.


HSBC (5 HK) Earnings on 30 July: Price Action and Option Strategies

China

Industrial and Commercial Bank of China Limited provides banking services. The Company offers deposits, loans, fund underwriting, foreign currency settlement, and other services. Industrial and Commercial Bank of China provides its services to individuals, enterprises, and other clients.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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Dividend (Yield)	0.00

ICBC (H) (1398 HK)

A/H Premium Tracker (To 1 Aug 2025): HUGE SOUTHBOUND Buying Helps Beautiful Skew but Premia Up

AH Premia rose on the week after the strongest 60-day average H outperformance seen in many years. SOUTHBOUND buying was huge, but H...

Travis Lundy

HSI Index Earning Revision (Jul): Jd, CCB, Meituan, BOC, ICBC, Xinyi Solar, Bidu

We analyzed HSI's consensus for Jul 2025 and highlighted changes of EPS in Jd, CCB, Meituan, BOC, ICBC, Xinyi Solar, Bidu.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Connect Flows (July): Near $15bn Inflows

We estimate inflows to the HK shares from mainland investors amount to US$14.5bn in July. We highlight flows for CCB, China Life, SMIC, Meituan,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

CSI 100 Index Earning Revision (Jul): Wuxi Apptec, Ping An Insurance, Muyuan Foods

We analyzed CSI 100's consensus for Jul 2025 and highlighted changes of EPS in Wuxi Apptec, Ping An Insurance, Muyuan Foods, Jiangsu Hengrui...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HSBC (5 HK) Earnings on 30 July: Price Action and Option Strategies

HSBC (5 HK) reports results today at 12:00 HKT. Since the original publication, the stock has barely moved, but near-term option implied volatility...

Gaudenz Schneider

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)