Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-semiconductor-sp-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8587:1" rel="noopener">Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US)</a>’s Plan to Build a Plant in Germany Faces Delays.</li>
<li>TSMC’s Fab 21 Project in Phoenix, Arizona: Progress, Challenges, and Future Plans.</li>
<li>There remains uncertainty about whether political factors — such as U.S. President Trump’s tariff threats targeting the semiconductor industry— might impact or even reverse TSMC’s investment decision.</li>
</ul>



Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US)’s Plan to Build a Plant in Germany Faces Delays.
TSMC’s Fab 21 Project in Phoenix, Arizona: Progress, Challenges, and Future Plans.
There remains uncertainty about whether political factors — such as U.S. President Trump’s tariff threats targeting the semiconductor industry— might impact or even reverse TSMC’s investment decision.


TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): Germany Fab Delayed for European Budget Crisis; Fab 21 Project in Arizona.

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The MV US Listed Semiconductor 25 index represents the performance of the biggest US-listed companies in the semiconductor industry.</li>
<li>There will be no index changes for the June 2025 rebalance event.</li>
<li>We expect a one-way flow of US$700mn for June 2025.</li>
</ul>


The MV US Listed Semiconductor 25 index represents the performance of the biggest US-listed companies in the semiconductor industry.
There will be no index changes for the June 2025 rebalance event.
We expect a one-way flow of US$700mn for June 2025.


[Quiddity Index] MV US Semiconductor Jun25 Rebalance Results: Flow Expectations

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>There are no constituent changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vaneck-vectors-semiconductor" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32807:1" rel="noopener">VanEck Vectors Semiconductor (SMH US)</a> ETF in June but there are a lot of float and capping changes.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 2.5% resulting in a round-trip trade of US$1.2bn. Impact on the stocks is small given they are highly liquid.</li>
<li>There will be more flows in a lot of these stocks from trackers of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/technology-select-sector-spdr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27543:1" rel="noopener">Technology Select Sector SPDR (XLK US)</a>. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/broadcom-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:998:1" rel="noopener">Broadcom (AVGO US)</a> will have largest outflows.</li>
</ul>


There are no constituent changes for the VanEck Vectors Semiconductor (SMH US) ETF in June but there are a lot of float and capping changes.
Estimated one-way turnover is 2.5% resulting in a round-trip trade of US$1.2bn. Impact on the stocks is small given they are highly liquid.
There will be more flows in a lot of these stocks from trackers of the Technology Select Sector SPDR (XLK US). Broadcom (AVGO US) will have largest outflows.


MV US Listed Semiconductor 25 Index Rebalance: US$1.2bn Round-Trip Trade

<ul>
<li>There is speculation that the cost of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-semiconductor-sp-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8587:1" rel="noopener">Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US)</a> 1.4nm wafers is more than 30% higher than that of 2nm wafers.  </li>
<li>In semiconductor node migration, newly introduced solutions are generally more advanced and therefore more valuable—which naturally means higher costs.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/apple-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:666:1" rel="noopener">Apple (AAPL US)</a>’s iPhone consistently adopts TSMC’s most advanced technology, ensuring its products maintain industry-leading operational efficiency.</li>
</ul>


There is speculation that the cost of Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US) 1.4nm wafers is more than 30% higher than that of 2nm wafers.  
In semiconductor node migration, newly introduced solutions are generally more advanced and therefore more valuable—which naturally means higher costs.

Apple (AAPL US)’s iPhone consistently adopts TSMC’s most advanced technology, ensuring its products maintain industry-leading operational efficiency.


TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): Is the Cost of Advanced Wafers a Concern? We Believe It Isn’t.

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Akshat Shah

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wistron-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2189:1" rel="noopener">Wistron Corp (3231 TT)</a> is looking to raise up to US$922m in its global depository receipts (GDRs) offering.</li>
<li>Similar to previous GDR listings, the firm has undergone a long drawn out process prior to launching the deal, having to jump through a number of board/shareholder/regulatory approval loops.</li>
<li>In this note, we run the deal through our ECM framework and comment on deal dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Wistron Corp (3231 TT) is looking to raise up to US$922m in its global depository receipts (GDRs) offering.
Similar to previous GDR listings, the firm has undergone a long drawn out process prior to launching the deal, having to jump through a number of board/shareholder/regulatory approval loops.
In this note, we run the deal through our ECM framework and comment on deal dynamics.


Wistron GDR Offering - Well Flagged US$922m Offering, Discount Slightly Wider than Recent Deals

United States

Intel Corporation designs, manufactures, and sells computer components and related products.  The Company's major products include microprocessors, chipsets, embedded processors and microcontrollers, flash memory products, graphics products, network and communications products, systems management software, conferencing products, and digital imaging products.

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Intel Corp (INTC US)

TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): Germany Fab Delayed for European Budget Crisis; Fab 21 Project in Arizona.

TSMC faces delays in building a plant in Germany and uncertainty in investment decisions due to political factors like Trump's tariff threats....

Patrick Liao

[Quiddity Index] MV US Semiconductor Jun25 Rebalance Results: Flow Expectations

No index changes to the MVIS US Semiconductor 25 Index but $700mm of capping flows makes for a bit of interest. There will be other semiconductor...

Travis Lundy

MV US Listed Semiconductor 25 Index Rebalance: US$1.2bn Round-Trip Trade

There are no constituent changes but float and capping changes result in an estimated one-way turnover of 2.5% and in a round-trip trade of...

Brian Freitas

TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): Is the Cost of Advanced Wafers a Concern? We Believe It Isn’t.

Speculation the cost of 1.4nm wafers from TSMC is over 30% higher than 2nm wafers, reflecting the trend of higher costs. Apple's iPhones benefit...

Patrick Liao

Wistron GDR Offering - Well Flagged US$922m Offering, Discount Slightly Wider than Recent Deals

Wistron Corporation (Wistron) is looking to raise up to US$922m in its global depository receipts (GDRs) offering. In this note, we run the deal...

Akshat Shah

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TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): Germany Fab Delayed for European Budget Crisis; Fab 21 Project in Arizona.

​TSMC faces delays in building a plant in Germany and uncertainty in investment decisions due to political factors like Trump's tariff threats....

Patrick Liao

[Quiddity Index] MV US Semiconductor Jun25 Rebalance Results: Flow Expectations

No index changes to the MVIS US Semiconductor 25 Index but $700mm of capping flows makes for a bit of interest. There will be other semiconductor...

Travis Lundy

MV US Listed Semiconductor 25 Index Rebalance: US$1.2bn Round-Trip Trade

There are no constituent changes but float and capping changes result in an estimated one-way turnover of 2.5% and in a round-trip trade of...

Brian Freitas

TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): Is the Cost of Advanced Wafers a Concern? We Believe It Isn’t.

​Speculation the cost of 1.4nm wafers from TSMC is over 30% higher than 2nm wafers, reflecting the trend of higher costs. Apple's iPhones benefit...

Patrick Liao

Wistron GDR Offering - Well Flagged US$922m Offering, Discount Slightly Wider than Recent Deals

Wistron Corporation (Wistron) is looking to raise up to US$922m in its global depository receipts (GDRs) offering. In this note, we run the deal...

Akshat Shah

TSMC faces delays in building a plant in Germany and uncertainty in investment decisions due to political factors like Trump's tariff threats....

Speculation the cost of 1.4nm wafers from TSMC is over 30% higher than 2nm wafers, reflecting the trend of higher costs. Apple's iPhones benefit...