Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Ingenuity

Our focus is exclusively on in-depth research & consulting in the broader semiconductor industry. We focus on the key players, namely Intel, Micron, Qualcomm, Apple, Samsung, NVIDIA, AMD, TSMC & Global Foundries - as well as some of the lesser known, but nonetheless critical, companies such as ASML (for EUV), Mellanox, Cavium, Xilinx etc. We specialise in their products, roadmaps, process technologies, competitive advantages & threats etc. We also help our clients understand the implications of new and emerging technologies, e.g. 3D X-Point, 3D NAND, Carbon Nanotubes, Autonomous Driving, Graphene, Silicon Photonics, Wafer-Level Optics, Artificial Intelligence, FPGA, GPU, ASIC etc. 

Semiconductor Analysis & Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>US DoD &amp; AWS deals are little more than distractions from the main event</li>
<li>Making Intel Foundry a subsidiary won't make one whit of a difference but may just be the next step in its eventual spin-off</li>
<li>The core issue, the GM collapse in Q224, was not addressed in the BM update from the CEO. That's a problem. </li>
</ul>


US DoD &amp; AWS deals are little more than distractions from the main event
Making Intel Foundry a subsidiary won't make one whit of a difference but may just be the next step in its eventual spin-off
The core issue, the GM collapse in Q224, was not addressed in the BM update from the CEO. That's a problem. 


Intel. US DoD & AWS Deals Are Distractions While The Head Remains Firmly In The Sand

Global TMT Analyst, Ex-PM, 30 years experience

Neil Campling

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Apple iPhone 16 pre-orders weak and Questions on Apple Intelligence remain</li>
<li>Big software investor days. Expect AI to feature big on hype, but what to expect from TAM to ARR to products?</li>
<li>Semis: Samsung challenges, Intel relief but pressures remain, TSM momentum, this time with ByteDance </li>
</ul>


Apple iPhone 16 pre-orders weak and Questions on Apple Intelligence remain
Big software investor days. Expect AI to feature big on hype, but what to expect from TAM to ARR to products?
Semis: Samsung challenges, Intel relief but pressures remain, TSM momentum, this time with ByteDance 


TMT Daily:Apple, TikTok, PINS, Semis (TSM, Samsung, Intel), Software (EA, CRM, CRWD, WDAY, HUBS),EVs

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

<ul><li>Intel Corporation, once the unchallenged leader in the semiconductor space, has recently found itself in a precarious position.</li><li>With its stock prices plummeting and revenues falling, Intel is struggling to regain its footing in a market dominated by foreign giants like TSMC and Samsung.</li><li>The U.S. government, through multiple initiatives and significant financial commitments, has stepped in to rescue the beleaguered company, seeing it as crucial to both national security and economic competitiveness.</li></ul>

Intel Corporation, once the unchallenged leader in the semiconductor space, has recently found itself in a precarious position.With its stock prices plummeting and revenues falling, Intel is struggling to regain its footing in a market dominated by foreign giants like TSMC and Samsung.The U.S. government, through multiple initiatives and significant financial commitments, has stepped in to rescue the beleaguered company, seeing it as crucial to both national security and economic competitiveness.

Intel’s Make-or-Break Moment: How the U.S. Government is Fighting to Save America’s Chip Giant

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR / Index Rebalance

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR

<ul>
<li>There are no constituent changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vaneck-vectors-semiconductor" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32807:1" rel="noopener">VanEck Vectors Semiconductor (SMH US)</a> ETF in September but there are a lot of float and capping changes.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-semiconductor-sp-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8587:1" rel="noopener">TSMC - ADR</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nvidia-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5891:1" rel="noopener">NVIDIA</a> are the largest sells with buying spread across <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asml-holding-nv-b0092428-e3ec-4a92-bdd6-2f6eff7f1879" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28204:1" rel="noopener">ASML Holding NV</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/qualcomm-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:969:1" rel="noopener">Qualcomm Inc</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/applied-materials-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:283:1" rel="noopener">Applied Materials</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/micron-technology-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13382:1" rel="noopener">Micron Technology</a>.</li>
<li>The selling in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nvidia-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5891:1" rel="noopener">NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US)</a> will add to the selling from the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/technology-select-sector-spdr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27543:1" rel="noopener">Technology Select Sector SPDR (XLK US)</a> due to the market consultation.</li>
</ul>


There are no constituent changes for the VanEck Vectors Semiconductor (SMH US) ETF in September but there are a lot of float and capping changes.

TSMC - ADR and NVIDIA are the largest sells with buying spread across ASML Holding NV, Qualcomm Inc, Applied Materials and Micron Technology.
The selling in NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US) will add to the selling from the Technology Select Sector SPDR (XLK US) due to the market consultation.


MV US Listed Semiconductor 25 Index Rebalance: Round-Trip Trade Over US$2bn

AI and Global Deep Tech, Mint Finance

Uttkarsh Kohli

AI and Global Deep Tech

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Advanced Micro Devices / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>AMD's market share in the desktop CPU segment has surged to 30%, driven by strong Ryzen sales and innovative product releases, challenging Intel's longstanding dominance in this space.</li>
<li>Intel's revenue in the data centre segment fell 20% year-over-year, reflecting challenges in product delays and increasing competition from AMD's EPYC processors, impacting overall growth potential.</li>
<li>Both companies have ramped up AI-related investments, with AMD committing $1.5 billion and Intel investing $3 billion in AI technology development, aiming to capitalize on the growing market demand.</li>
</ul>


AMD's market share in the desktop CPU segment has surged to 30%, driven by strong Ryzen sales and innovative product releases, challenging Intel's longstanding dominance in this space.
Intel's revenue in the data centre segment fell 20% year-over-year, reflecting challenges in product delays and increasing competition from AMD's EPYC processors, impacting overall growth potential.
Both companies have ramped up AI-related investments, with AMD committing $1.5 billion and Intel investing $3 billion in AI technology development, aiming to capitalize on the growing market demand.


AMD Strengthens CPU Market Position as Intel Faces Challenges in Data Center Growth

United States

Intel Corporation designs, manufactures, and sells computer components and related products.  The Company's major products include microprocessors, chipsets, embedded processors and microcontrollers, flash memory products, graphics products, network and communications products, systems management software, conferencing products, and digital imaging products.

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Intel Corp (INTC US)

Intel. US DoD & AWS Deals Are Distractions While The Head Remains Firmly In The Sand

US DoD & AWS deals are little more than distractions from the main event. Making IFS a subsidiary will make no difference.The GM collapse in Q224...

William Keating

TMT Daily:Apple, TikTok, PINS, Semis (TSM, Samsung, Intel), Software (EA, CRM, CRWD, WDAY, HUBS),EVs

Apple iPhone 16 pre-orders disappointing. Big software investor days AI hype and product expectations. Challenges for Samsung, Intel relief short...

Neil Campling

Intel’s Make-or-Break Moment: How the U.S. Government is Fighting to Save America’s Chip Giant

Intel Corporation, once the unchallenged leader in the semiconductor space, has recently found itself in a precarious position. With its stock...

Baptista Research

MV US Listed Semiconductor 25 Index Rebalance: Round-Trip Trade Over US$2bn

No constituent changes but a lot of capping changes. Estimated one-way turnover is 4.9% resulting in a one-way trade of US$1.04bn. The selling in...

Brian Freitas

AMD Strengthens CPU Market Position as Intel Faces Challenges in Data Center Growth

AMD's Ryzen success bolsters its CPU standing, while Intel sees a decline in data center revenues. Both companies ramp up AI investments to secure...

Mint Finance

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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Dividend (Yield)

Intel. US DoD & AWS Deals Are Distractions While The Head Remains Firmly In The Sand

US DoD & AWS deals are little more than distractions from the main event. Making IFS a subsidiary will make no difference.The GM collapse in Q224...

William Keating

TMT Daily:Apple, TikTok, PINS, Semis (TSM, Samsung, Intel), Software (EA, CRM, CRWD, WDAY, HUBS),EVs

​Apple iPhone 16 pre-orders disappointing. Big software investor days AI hype and product expectations. Challenges for Samsung, Intel relief short...

Neil Campling

Intel’s Make-or-Break Moment: How the U.S. Government is Fighting to Save America’s Chip Giant

Intel Corporation, once the unchallenged leader in the semiconductor space, has recently found itself in a precarious position. With its stock...

Baptista Research

MV US Listed Semiconductor 25 Index Rebalance: Round-Trip Trade Over US$2bn

No constituent changes but a lot of capping changes. Estimated one-way turnover is 4.9% resulting in a one-way trade of US$1.04bn. The selling in...

Brian Freitas

AMD Strengthens CPU Market Position as Intel Faces Challenges in Data Center Growth

AMD's Ryzen success bolsters its CPU standing, while Intel sees a decline in data center revenues. Both companies ramp up AI investments to secure...

Mint Finance

Apple iPhone 16 pre-orders disappointing. Big software investor days AI hype and product expectations. Challenges for Samsung, Intel relief short...