Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Isetan Mitsukoshi Holdings Ltd / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/isetan-mitsukoshi-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18871:1" rel="noopener">Isetan Mitsukoshi Holdings Ltd (3099 JP)</a> on Friday announced Q3 results, a huge hike in H2 dividend (from ¥12/share guided to ¥20/share newly guided), and a buyback. </li>
<li>9mo Revenues were up 9.4%yoy (after +16.7% the previous year), OP +66.7%, and Net Profits +59.0%yoy through three quarters. Full-year Revenues, OP, and NP were all revised up slightly.</li>
<li>The buyback is for up to 11mm shares, spending up to ¥15bn over the next 8 weeks. Looking at details of the shareholder structure is worthwhile.</li>
</ul>



Isetan Mitsukoshi Holdings Ltd (3099 JP) on Friday announced Q3 results, a huge hike in H2 dividend (from ¥12/share guided to ¥20/share newly guided), and a buyback. 
9mo Revenues were up 9.4%yoy (after +16.7% the previous year), OP +66.7%, and Net Profits +59.0%yoy through three quarters. Full-year Revenues, OP, and NP were all revised up slightly.
The buyback is for up to 11mm shares, spending up to ¥15bn over the next 8 weeks. Looking at details of the shareholder structure is worthwhile.


Isetan-Mitsukoshi (3099) - Good Results, Higher Forecast, Higher Div, Short Sharp Buyback

Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets, JapanConsuming

Michael Causton

Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets

Real Insight on Japanese Consumer Markets

JapanConsuming

JapanConsuming is a specialist research firm producing intelligence on Japanese retail and consumer markets. Founded in 2000, JapanConsuming has become the leading provider of insights on Japanese retailers and consumer trends to retailers, brands, government agencies and investors. As well as a highly regarded monthly report on the market, JapanConsuming produces in-depth reports on retail sectors, seminars on key trends and telephone consulting to investors on trends and retailers.

JapanConsuming was founded by Michael Causton and Roy Larke. 

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The following is an in-depth review of the Japanese retail sector in 2021-22 and is designed to provide a complete overview for any investor in Japanese retail/consumer markets.</li>
<li>FY2021-22 proved a rebound year for retailers at the sector level. But on a company by company basis, there has been radical divergence between the best and the rest. </li>
<li>We look at the reasons for this divergence and the implications for Japanese retail and consumer firms in the years ahead.</li>
</ul>


The following is an in-depth review of the Japanese retail sector in 2021-22 and is designed to provide a complete overview for any investor in Japanese retail/consumer markets.
FY2021-22 proved a rebound year for retailers at the sector level. But on a company by company basis, there has been radical divergence between the best and the rest. 
We look at the reasons for this divergence and the implications for Japanese retail and consumer firms in the years ahead.


Japanese Retailing 2021-22: What's Really Going on and What's Next?

Equity Bottom-Up

Isetan Mitsukoshi Holdings Ltd / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Isetan Shinjuku has always outperformed competitors by a large distance but the store’s management is intent on widening this gap further. </li>
<li>The key will be a focus on premium customers with ever more granular data sets to personalise marketing. 68% of sales now come from cardholders, compared to 50% in 2018.</li>
<li>While dependence on just a few stores makes <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/isetan-mitsukoshi-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18871:1" rel="noopener">Isetan Mitsukoshi Holdings Ltd (3099 JP)</a> vulnerable to downturns – such as the loss of tourist traffic – these stores are also resilient.</li>
</ul>


Isetan Shinjuku has always outperformed competitors by a large distance but the store’s management is intent on widening this gap further. 
The key will be a focus on premium customers with ever more granular data sets to personalise marketing. 68% of sales now come from cardholders, compared to 50% in 2018.
While dependence on just a few stores makes Isetan Mitsukoshi Holdings Ltd (3099 JP) vulnerable to downturns – such as the loss of tourist traffic – these stores are also resilient.


Isetan-Mitsukoshi: ¥300 Billion from Just One Store

<ul>
<li>Results for FY2022-23 provide a snapshot of winners and losers in Japan's retail sector.</li>
<li>The data shows a big improvement in performance for retailers with sales of ¥250 billion or more and the outlook is positive for most, particularly for profits.</li>
<li>This also means that market concentration is intensifying, particularly in sectors like drugstores but also now in supermarkets. We highlight the winners in each sector.</li>
</ul>


Results for FY2022-23 provide a snapshot of winners and losers in Japan's retail sector.
The data shows a big improvement in performance for retailers with sales of ¥250 billion or more and the outlook is positive for most, particularly for profits.
This also means that market concentration is intensifying, particularly in sectors like drugstores but also now in supermarkets. We highlight the winners in each sector.


Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lawson-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1040:1" rel="noopener">Lawson Inc (2651 JP)</a> has confirmed it will list its upscale supermarket subsidiary, Seijo Ishii early next year.</li>
<li>Seijo leads in premium supermarket retailing and is growing as fast as the wealth market does, with plenty of room left to expand.</li>
<li>Seijo Ishii is now building its own production and import capabilities to increase originality and could begin to challenge even some of their larger rivals.</li>
</ul>



Lawson Inc (2651 JP) has confirmed it will list its upscale supermarket subsidiary, Seijo Ishii early next year.
Seijo leads in premium supermarket retailing and is growing as fast as the wealth market does, with plenty of room left to expand.
Seijo Ishii is now building its own production and import capabilities to increase originality and could begin to challenge even some of their larger rivals.


Japan

Isetan Mitsukoshi Holdings Ltd. is a holding company established through a merger of Mitsukoshi and Isetan. The group operates department stores nationwide, selling clothing, foods, household goods, cosmetics and general merchandise.

Isetan Mitsukoshi Holdings Ltd (3099 JP)

Isetan-Mitsukoshi (3099) - Good Results, Higher Forecast, Higher Div, Short Sharp Buyback

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Japanese Retailing 2021-22: What's Really Going on and What's Next?

There is increasing divergence between the winners and losers in Japanese retailing and the following in-depth review looks at performance in the...

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Isetan-Mitsukoshi: ¥300 Billion from Just One Store

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Japan's Best Performing Retailers

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Lawson Confirms Seijo Ishii IPO

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