Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Equity Capital Markets

<p>In calculating the corporate value for this listing, Kakao Bank selected PBR, the traditional method of calculating the value of financial companies.</p><p><strong>Apparently, the local street has no big disagreement about the use of PBR itself.</strong></p><p>Then, what matters is the level of the PBR multiple premium.</p><p><strong>Based on the indicative price band, Kakao Bank's PBR is 3.2-3.5x. On the other hand, the PBRs of Korea's four major financial holding companies are currently hovering between 0.4 and 0.5x.</strong></p><p><strong>That is, based on the current corporate value to net assets, Kakao Bank wants to receive a 7 to 8 times higher premium than Korea's major commercial banks.</strong></p><table class="table table-striped">
<colgroup>
<col width="200">
<col width="150">
<col width="150">
</colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Indicative price band"}'>Indicative price band</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Low"}'>Low</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"High"}'>High</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Price"}'>Price</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":33000}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"[$₩-412]#,##0",1]'>₩33,000</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":39000}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"[$₩-412]#,##0",1]'>₩39,000</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Implied market cap"}'>Implied market cap</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":15766.510221}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B",1]' data-sheets-formula="=R[-3]C[0]*R14C2/1000000000">₩15,766.5B</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":18633.148443}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B",1]' data-sheets-formula="=R[-3]C[0]*R14C2/1000000000">₩18,633.1B</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Equity, including capital inflow from IPO"}'>Equity, including capital inflow from IPO</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":5009.4}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B",1]' data-sheets-formula="=R[-13]C[0]+R[-12]C[0]">₩5,009.4B</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":5402.05}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"₩#,##0.0B",1]' data-sheets-formula="=R[-13]C[-1]+(Terms!R[-15]C[-1]*R[-5]C[0])/1000000000">₩5,402.1B</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"PBR"}'><strong>PBR</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":3.1473849604743087}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"0.00x"}' data-sheets-formula="=R[-3]C[0]/R[-1]C[0]"><strong>3.15x</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":3.449273598541294}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"0.00x"}' data-sheets-formula="=R[-3]C[0]/R[-1]C[0]"><strong>3.45x</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr><td colspan="3" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Source: DART"}'>Source: DART</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table><p>The valuation that converts the future value into present value at a time when growth is expected to stagnate still holds a significant premium.</p><p><strong>Kakao Bank's total deposits estimated as of 2025, when high growth will likely come to an end, are around ₩100T. Applying KB Financial's current multiple of 0.06 times the total deposits puts Kakao Bank's value in 2025 at ₩6T. Converted to the present value, the present value becomes ₩4.3T, suggesting a 3.7 to 4.3x premium to KB Financial.</strong></p>

In calculating the corporate value for this listing, Kakao Bank selected PBR, the traditional method of calculating the value of financial companies.Apparently, the local street has no big disagreement about the use of PBR itself.Then, what matters is the level of the PBR multiple premium.Based on the indicative price band, Kakao Bank's PBR is 3.2-3.5x. On the other hand, the PBRs of Korea's four major financial holding companies are currently hovering between 0.4 and 0.5x.That is, based on the current corporate value to net assets, Kakao Bank wants to receive a 7 to 8 times higher premium than Korea's major commercial banks.







Indicative price band
Low
High


Price
₩33,000
₩39,000


Implied market cap
₩15,766.5B
₩18,633.1B


Equity, including capital inflow from IPO
₩5,009.4B
₩5,402.1B


PBR
3.15x
3.45x

Source: DART

The valuation that converts the future value into present value at a time when growth is expected to stagnate still holds a significant premium.Kakao Bank's total deposits estimated as of 2025, when high growth will likely come to an end, are around ₩100T. Applying KB Financial's current multiple of 0.06 times the total deposits puts Kakao Bank's value in 2025 at ₩6T. Converted to the present value, the present value becomes ₩4.3T, suggesting a 3.7 to 4.3x premium to KB Financial.

Kakao Bank IPO: Valuation Peer Group Issues & Local Street's General View on Valuation Level

<div><h2>Offering size</h2></div><div>
<p>Kakao Bank released an IPO prospectus. Kakao Bank is the second Internet-only bank in Korea. It was officially launched on July 27, 2017. Unlike K-Bank, the first Internet-only bank, Kakao Bank is 100% mobile-only. Kakao Bank offers 65.45M shares, which account for 15.98% of the total shares, of which 55-75% are allocated to institutions.</p>
<table class="table table-striped">
<colgroup>
<col width="100">
<col width="100">
</colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr><td colspan="2" rowspan="1" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Offering size"}'>Offering size</td></tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Ticker"}'>Ticker</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":323410}'>323410</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Bourse"}'>Bourse</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"KOSPI"}'>KOSPI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Offering"}'><strong>Offering</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":65450000}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0","3":1}'><strong>65,450,000</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"- % of pre-IPO SO"}'><strong>- % of pre-IPO SO</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.1598}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}'><strong>15.98%</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Institutional allotment"}'><strong>Institutional allotment</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"55.00~75.00%"}'><strong>55.00~75.00%</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr><td colspan="2" rowspan="1" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Source: DART"}'>Source: DART</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div><h2>Split</h2></div>
<div><p>This is a 100% primary offering. As a result, this offering will see a capital increase rate of 15.98%. In addition, this IPO is free of any additional options: cornerstone, clawback, or greenshoe.</p></div>
<div>
<table class="table table-striped">
<colgroup>
<col width="100">
<col width="100">
</colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr><td colspan="2" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Split"}'>Split</td></tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Primary %"}'><strong>Primary %</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.6987911807185323}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=Terms!R[3]C[0]"><strong>100.00%</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Secondary %"}'>Secondary %</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.3012088192814677}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=Terms!R[4]C[0]">0.00%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Capital increase rate"}'><strong>Capital increase rate</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.16245294237403599}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=Terms!R[4]C[0]"><strong>15.98%</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Dilution"}'><strong>Dilution</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.139750123598349}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=Terms!R[4]C[0]"><strong>13.78%</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr><td colspan="2" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Source: DART"}'>Source: DART</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div><h2>Schedule</h2></div>
<div><p>The book opens on July 9 (for overseas investors) and runs until July 21. The allotment will be on July 22 with a final offering price. The subscription follows on July 26.</p></div>
<div>
<table class="table table-striped">
<colgroup>
<col width="100">
<col width="100">
</colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr><td colspan="2" rowspan="1" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Schedule"}'>Schedule</td></tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Book open"}'><strong>Book open</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":44375}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":5,"2":"yyyy. m. d","3":1}'><strong>2021. 7. 9</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Book close"}'>Book close</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":44386}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":5,"2":"yyyy. m. d","3":1}'>2021. 7. 21</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Allotment"}'>Allotment</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":44389}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":5,"2":"yyyy. m. d","3":1}'>2021. 7. 22</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Subscription"}'><strong>Subscription</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":44391}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":5,"2":"yyyy. m. d","3":1}'><strong>2021. 7. 26</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Payment"}'><strong>Payment</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":44396}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":5,"2":"yyyy. m. d","3":1}'><strong>2021. 7. 29</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Listing"}'>Listing</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"TBA"}'>2021. 8. 5</td>
</tr>
<tr><td colspan="2" rowspan="1" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Source: DART"}'>Source: DART</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div><h2>Pricing</h2></div>
<div>
<p>This IPO selected the following 4 valuation peers: Rocket Companies, PagSeguro Digital, TCS Group, and Nordnet AB. They calculated an average PBR of 7.3x by applying net assets as of 1Q11 to the market cap as of June 21.</p>
<table class="table table-striped">
<colgroup>
<col width="200">
<col width="150">
<col width="150">
<col width="150">
<col width="150">
</colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Valuation peers"}'>PBR valuation</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Rocket Companies Inc"}' data-sheets-formula='=googlefinance(R[1]C[0], "name")'>Rocket Companies Inc</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"PagSeguro Digital Ltd"}' data-sheets-formula='=googlefinance(R[1]C[0], "name")'>PagSeguro Digital Ltd</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"TCS Group Holding PLC"}' data-sheets-formula='=googlefinance(R[1]C[0], "name")'>TCS Group Holding PLC</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Nordnet AB (publ)"}' data-sheets-formula='=googlefinance(R[1]C[0], "name")'>Nordnet AB (publ)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Ticker"}'>Ticker</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"RKT"}' data-sheets-formula='="RKT"'>NYSE: RKT</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"PAGS"}' data-sheets-formula='="PAGS"'>NYSE: PAGS</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"MCX:TCSG"}' data-sheets-formula='="MCX:TCSG"'>MCX: TCSG</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"STO:SAVE"}' data-sheets-formula='="STO:SAVE"'>STO: SAVE</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Reference market cap: MIN[1M Avg, 1W Avg, 1D Close] as of June 21"}'>Reference market cap: MIN[1M Avg, 1W Avg, 1D Close] as of June 21</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":43184.655}'>₩43,184.7B</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":18918.666}'>₩18,918.7B</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":16522.978}'>₩16,523.0B</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":4923.031}'>₩4,923.0B</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Equity, as of 1Q21"}'>Equity, as of 1Q21</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":9404.053}'>₩9,404.1B</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":2152.996}'>₩2,153.0B</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":2057.841}'>₩2,057.8B</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":644.004}'>₩644.0B</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"PBR"}'><strong>PBR</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":4.592132243406114}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"0.0x","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=R[-2]C[0]/R[-1]C[0]"><strong>4.6x</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":8.787134764765007}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"0.0x","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=R[-2]C[0]/R[-1]C[0]"><strong>8.8x</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":8.029278258135589}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"0.0x","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=R[-2]C[0]/R[-1]C[0]"><strong>8.0x</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":7.64441059372302}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"0.0x","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=R[-2]C[0]/R[-1]C[0]"><strong>7.6x</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Average PBR"}'><strong>Average PBR</strong></td>
<td colspan="4" rowspan="1" style="text-align: center;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":7.2632389650074325}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"0.0x","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=average(R[-1]C[0]:R[-1]C[3])"><strong>7.3x</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr><td colspan="5" rowspan="1" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Source: DART"}'>Source: DART</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
<div><div><p>After applying the 7.3x multiple to Kakao Bank's equity in Q1 of this year, they added funds from the public offering to derive a market cap of ₩22.97T. This was then divided by the post-IPO total shares to arrive at ₩48,058 per share.</p></div></div>
<div><table class="table table-striped">
<colgroup>
<col width="200">
<col width="150">
<col width="150">
</colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr><td colspan="3" rowspan="1" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Kakao PBR"}'>Kakao PBR</td></tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"PBR"}'>PBR</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":7.3}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"0.0x","3":1}'>7.3x</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"A"}'>A</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Equity, as of 1Q21"}'>Equity, as of 1Q21</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":2849.5}' data-sheets-formula="=2849.5">₩2,849.5B</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"B"}'>B</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Capital inflow from IPO (based on the lower end of the indicative price band)"}'>Capital inflow from IPO (based on the lower end of the indicative price band)</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":2159.9}'>₩2,159.9B</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"C"}'>C</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Market cap"}'><strong>Market cap</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":22961.25}' data-sheets-formula="=R[-2]C[0]*R[-3]C[0]+R[-1]C[0]"><strong>₩22,961.3B</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"A × B + C"}'><strong>A × B + C</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Post-IPO SO"}'>Post-IPO SO</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":477773037}'>477,773,037</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"-"}'>-</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Price per share"}'><strong>Price per share</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":48058}'><strong>₩48,058</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"-"}'><strong>-</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr><td colspan="3" rowspan="1" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Source: DART"}'>Source: DART</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table></div>
<div><div>An 18.85~31.33% discount sets up an indicative price band of ₩33,000~39,000, implying a market cap of ₩15.77~18.63T.</div></div>
<div><table class="table table-striped">
<colgroup>
<col width="200">
<col width="150">
<col width="150">
</colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Indicative price band"}'>Indicative price band</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Low"}'>Low</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"High"}'>High</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Price"}'><strong>Price</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":33000}'><strong>₩33,000</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":39000}'><strong>₩39,000</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Base deal size"}'>Base deal size</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":2159.85}' data-sheets-formula="=R[-1]C[0]*Terms!R8C2/1000000000">₩2,159.9B</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":2552.55}' data-sheets-formula="=R[-1]C[0]*Terms!R8C2/1000000000">₩2,552.6B</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":" - Institutional allotment"}'>- Institutional allotment</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":1187.9175}' data-sheets-formula="=R[-1]C[0]*Terms!R12C2">₩1,187.9B</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":1403.9025000000001}' data-sheets-formula="=R[-1]C[0]*Terms!R12C2">₩1,403.9B</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Implied market cap"}'><strong>Implied market cap</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":15766.510221}' data-sheets-formula="=R[-3]C[0]*R14C2/1000000000"><strong>₩15,766.5B</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":18633.148443}' data-sheets-formula="=R[-3]C[0]*R14C2/1000000000"><strong>₩18,633.1B</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":" - Discount"}'><strong>- Discount</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.3133426873101421}' data-sheets-formula="=(R13C2-R[-1]C[0])/R13C2"><strong>31.33%</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.18849590318471346}' data-sheets-formula="=(R13C2-R[-1]C[0])/R13C2"><strong>18.85%</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr><td colspan="3" rowspan="1" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Source: DART"}'>Source: DART</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table></div>
</div>
</div>
</div>

Offering size
Kakao Bank released an IPO prospectus. Kakao Bank is the second Internet-only bank in Korea. It was officially launched on July 27, 2017. Unlike K-Bank, the first Internet-only bank, Kakao Bank is 100% mobile-only. Kakao Bank offers 65.45M shares, which account for 15.98% of the total shares, of which 55-75% are allocated to institutions.






Offering size

Ticker
323410


Bourse
KOSPI


Offering
65,450,000


- % of pre-IPO SO
15.98%


Institutional allotment
55.00~75.00%

Source: DART


Split
This is a 100% primary offering. As a result, this offering will see a capital increase rate of 15.98%. In addition, this IPO is free of any additional options: cornerstone, clawback, or greenshoe.







Split

Primary %
100.00%


Secondary %
0.00%


Capital increase rate
15.98%


Dilution
13.78%

Source: DART


Schedule
The book opens on July 9 (for overseas investors) and runs until July 21. The allotment will be on July 22 with a final offering price. The subscription follows on July 26.







Schedule

Book open
2021. 7. 9


Book close
2021. 7. 21


Allotment
2021. 7. 22


Subscription
2021. 7. 26


Payment
2021. 7. 29


Listing
2021. 8. 5

Source: DART


Pricing

This IPO selected the following 4 valuation peers: Rocket Companies, PagSeguro Digital, TCS Group, and Nordnet AB. They calculated an average PBR of 7.3x by applying net assets as of 1Q11 to the market cap as of June 21.










PBR valuation
Rocket Companies Inc
PagSeguro Digital Ltd
TCS Group Holding PLC
Nordnet AB (publ)


Ticker
NYSE: RKT
NYSE: PAGS
MCX: TCSG
STO: SAVE


Reference market cap: MIN[1M Avg, 1W Avg, 1D Close] as of June 21
₩43,184.7B
₩18,918.7B
₩16,523.0B
₩4,923.0B


Equity, as of 1Q21
₩9,404.1B
₩2,153.0B
₩2,057.8B
₩644.0B


PBR
4.6x
8.8x
8.0x
7.6x


Average PBR
7.3x

Source: DART



After applying the 7.3x multiple to Kakao Bank's equity in Q1 of this year, they added funds from the public offering to derive a market cap of ₩22.97T. This was then divided by the post-IPO total shares to arrive at ₩48,058 per share.







Kakao PBR

PBR
7.3x
A


Equity, as of 1Q21
₩2,849.5B
B


Capital inflow from IPO (based on the lower end of the indicative price band)
₩2,159.9B
C


Market cap
₩22,961.3B
A × B + C


Post-IPO SO
477,773,037
-


Price per share
₩48,058
-

Source: DART


An 18.85~31.33% discount sets up an indicative price band of ₩33,000~39,000, implying a market cap of ₩15.77~18.63T.








Indicative price band
Low
High


Price
₩33,000
₩39,000


Base deal size
₩2,159.9B
₩2,552.6B


- Institutional allotment
₩1,187.9B
₩1,403.9B


Implied market cap
₩15,766.5B
₩18,633.1B


- Discount
31.33%
18.85%

Source: DART






Kakao Bank IPO: Offering Detail, Valuation Issue, & Index Fast Entry

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<p>STIC aims to raise around US$750m via selling all of its remaining stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/big-hit-entertainment-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28959:1" rel="noopener">HYBE (352820 KS)</a>. </p><p>This will be the first major selldown in the company, post its listing last year. In this note, we will run the deal through our ECM framework and talk about deal dynamics.</p>

STIC aims to raise around US$750m via selling all of its remaining stake in HYBE (352820 KS). This will be the first major selldown in the company, post its listing last year. In this note, we will run the deal through our ECM framework and talk about deal dynamics.

Hybe Block/Placement - Big Block for Big Hit

Event-Driven

<p>Kakao has seen around 9% correction in the last two trading days.</p><p>In the case of last Thursday, Kakao was attacked by a short sale of ₩121.5B, which is the largest amount of short selling among KOSPI stocks that day.</p><section class="figure"><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/215/412/original/Kakao.png?1624677796" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="215412"></figure></section><p>Nevertheless, Kakao is still recording a share price increase of close to 100% on a YTD basis. Therefore, it is necessary to examine Kakao's valuation at this point carefully.</p><p>This is to determine whether to continue to hold the short position or to use the stock price correction of the last two trading days as the time to close the position.</p>

Kakao has seen around 9% correction in the last two trading days.In the case of last Thursday, Kakao was attacked by a short sale of ₩121.5B, which is the largest amount of short selling among KOSPI stocks that day.Nevertheless, Kakao is still recording a share price increase of close to 100% on a YTD basis. Therefore, it is necessary to examine Kakao's valuation at this point carefully.This is to determine whether to continue to hold the short position or to use the stock price correction of the last two trading days as the time to close the position.

Kakao Valuation Studies: 12M Forward PER, Enterprise Multiples, & Discount to NAV

<p>In the end, the Financial Supervisory Service requested Krafton to submit a correction report.</p><p>The Financial Supervisory Service concluded that Krafton's securities declaration (IPO prospectus) submitted on June 16 through public disclosure could hinder investors' rational investment judgment or cause serious misunderstandings due to unclear material content.</p><p><strong>As a result, Krafton's current securities declaration is suspended.</strong></p><p><strong>In addition, Krafton must submit a correction report within three months from the receipt of the request for correction.</strong></p><section class="figure"><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/215/365/original/Screen+Shot+2021-06-25+at+12.22.18+PM.png?1624638338" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="215365"></figure><p>Krafton also confirmed through a regulatory filing that it had received a request for correction from the Financial Supervisory Service and said that <strong>the reason was the insufficient description of important matters</strong>.</p>
<section class="figure"><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/215/366/original/Screen+Shot+2021-06-25+at+12.27.56+PM.png?1624638510" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="215366"></figure></section></section>

In the end, the Financial Supervisory Service requested Krafton to submit a correction report.The Financial Supervisory Service concluded that Krafton's securities declaration (IPO prospectus) submitted on June 16 through public disclosure could hinder investors' rational investment judgment or cause serious misunderstandings due to unclear material content.As a result, Krafton's current securities declaration is suspended.In addition, Krafton must submit a correction report within three months from the receipt of the request for correction.Krafton also confirmed through a regulatory filing that it had received a request for correction from the Financial Supervisory Service and said that the reason was the insufficient description of important matters.


FSS Requested Krafton to Revise the Offering Price: Background & Impact

South Korea

Kakao Pay Corp. operates financial businesses. The Company provides online payment, currency encryption, and other services. Kakao Pay conducts businesses in South Korea.

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Kakaopay (377300 KS)

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FSS Requested Krafton to Revise the Offering Price: Background & Impact

The Financial Supervisory Service did not clearly state the specific reason. However, many in the market believe that the controversy over the...

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