Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>KODEX doing LG Energy/LG Chem rebalancing over ten trading days for two reasons: 1. minimize the impact on LG Chem and 2. reduce the yield gap with TIGER.</li>
<li>We need to keep an eye on the possibility that KODEX will complete its LG Energy/LG Chem rebalancing schedule earlier than the full ten trading days.</li>
<li>Of course, this is also a risky trading approach. But considering the current share prices of LG Energy and LG Chem, there is sufficient circumstantial probability to support this.</li>
</ul>


KODEX doing LG Energy/LG Chem rebalancing over ten trading days for two reasons: 1. minimize the impact on LG Chem and 2. reduce the yield gap with TIGER.
We need to keep an eye on the possibility that KODEX will complete its LG Energy/LG Chem rebalancing schedule earlier than the full ten trading days.
Of course, this is also a risky trading approach. But considering the current share prices of LG Energy and LG Chem, there is sufficient circumstantial probability to support this.


KODEX Playing a Risky Game on LG Energy/LG Chem Rebalancing & Any Trading Opportunity from It?

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>There are two key, positive catalysts for major Korean holding companies that could result in these stocks outperforming the market in the coming months.</li>
<li>The first main catalyst is that the two leading presidential candidates are both have campaign pledges to protect minority shareholders when conglomerates conduct physical division spin-offs/splits. </li>
<li>The second key catalyst is the shift from growth to value stocks amid heightened market volatility.</li>
</ul>


There are two key, positive catalysts for major Korean holding companies that could result in these stocks outperforming the market in the coming months.
The first main catalyst is that the two leading presidential candidates are both have campaign pledges to protect minority shareholders when conglomerates conduct physical division spin-offs/splits. 
The second key catalyst is the shift from growth to value stocks amid heightened market volatility.


Two Key Positive Catalysts for Major Korean Holding Companies

<ul>
<li>For KODEX (FnGuide), the actual rebalancing trading must have begun yesterday, Feb 8, and runs until Feb 22, presumably at an equal daily weighting.</li>
<li>TIGER (WISE) announced that its implementation of LG Energy IN/LG Chem OUT was completed as of the end of yesterday.</li>
<li>As for the daily passive impact from KODEX until Feb 22, LG Energy is expected to receive an inflow of 0.03x DTV, whereas LG Chem's outflow should be -0.10x ADTV.</li>
</ul>


For KODEX (FnGuide), the actual rebalancing trading must have begun yesterday, Feb 8, and runs until Feb 22, presumably at an equal daily weighting.
TIGER (WISE) announced that its implementation of LG Energy IN/LG Chem OUT was completed as of the end of yesterday.
As for the daily passive impact from KODEX until Feb 22, LG Energy is expected to receive an inflow of 0.03x DTV, whereas LG Chem's outflow should be -0.10x ADTV.


LG Energy IN/LG Chem OUT: TIGER (WISE) Done on Feb 8 & KODEX (FnGuide) Under Progress Until Feb 22

<ul>
<li>As for LG Energy's inclusion timing, Solactive made a rule change, presumably designed for LG Energy's earlier entry on April 29.</li>
<li>Since LG Chem also has a battery-related business, LG Chem may remain in this index. However, the possibility should be low because its battery business is small in total sales.</li>
<li>LG Chem will experience an outflow of ₩250B (1.0x ADTV). And assuming that LG Energy receives 4.75%, a passive impact of 0.31x at a DTV of 1.5M shares is expected.</li>
</ul>


As for LG Energy's inclusion timing, Solactive made a rule change, presumably designed for LG Energy's earlier entry on April 29.
Since LG Chem also has a battery-related business, LG Chem may remain in this index. However, the possibility should be low because its battery business is small in total sales.
LG Chem will experience an outflow of ₩250B (1.0x ADTV). And assuming that LG Energy receives 4.75%, a passive impact of 0.31x at a DTV of 1.5M shares is expected.


Solactive Global Lithium Index (LIT): Earlier Implementation Expected for LG Energy & LG Chem

<ul>
<li>There is recently a growing view that the ETF operators (KODEX and TIGER) will conduct most of the rebalancing trading on February 9 to avoid excessive tracking errors.</li>
<li>
LG Chem will face an outflow of ₩0.38T (0.8% of SO and 1.37x ADTV). LG Energy would be 0.36x ADTV and 0.31% of SO, assuming a DTV of 2M shares.</li>
<li>This is definitely a clear long/short setup opportunity: LG Energy LONG/LG Chem SHORT position. Alternatively, we can also consider approaching this event with Battery ETFs LONG/LG Chem Short setup.</li>
</ul>


There is recently a growing view that the ETF operators (KODEX and TIGER) will conduct most of the rebalancing trading on February 9 to avoid excessive tracking errors.

LG Chem will face an outflow of ₩0.38T (0.8% of SO and 1.37x ADTV). LG Energy would be 0.36x ADTV and 0.31% of SO, assuming a DTV of 2M shares.
This is definitely a clear long/short setup opportunity: LG Energy LONG/LG Chem SHORT position. Alternatively, we can also consider approaching this event with Battery ETFs LONG/LG Chem Short setup.


LG Energy & LG Chem Passive Flow In/Out Estimations & Trading Considerations on February 9

South Korea

LG Energy Solution produces and sells batteries. The Company manufactures and sells automobile batteries, small batteries, energy storage system batteries, and other products. LG Energy Solution markets its products worldwide.

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LG Energy Solution (373220 KS)

KODEX Playing a Risky Game on LG Energy/LG Chem Rebalancing & Any Trading Opportunity from It?

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Two Key Positive Catalysts for Major Korean Holding Companies

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As for the local ETFs' LG Energy IN/LG Chem OUT trading, TIGER (WISE) was completed yesterday, whereas KODEX (FnGuide) began yesterday and runs...

Sanghyun Park

Solactive Global Lithium Index (LIT): Earlier Implementation Expected for LG Energy & LG Chem

Solactive Global Lithium Index (LIT) will likely make earlier Implementation for LG Energy and LG Chem, likely on April 29, the last business day...

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LG Energy & LG Chem Passive Flow In/Out Estimations & Trading Considerations on February 9

This post estimates the passive flows of the local battery ETFs for LG Energy and LG Chem on February 9 and examines trading considerations.

Sanghyun Park

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