Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Rex American Resources / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass).</li>
<li>We will maintain our bullish outlook as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the SPX is above 6028-6059. Short-term supports on SPX include 6400-6410, 6200, 6100-6150, and 6028-6059.</li>
<li>SPX is testing 6400-6410 now, but QQQ and IWM are violating short-term supports at $572 and $226, respectively. This makes us believe we could see some near-term downside; buy pullbacks.</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass).
We will maintain our bullish outlook as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the SPX is above 6028-6059. Short-term supports on SPX include 6400-6410, 6200, 6100-6150, and 6028-6059.
SPX is testing 6400-6410 now, but QQQ and IWM are violating short-term supports at $572 and $226, respectively. This makes us believe we could see some near-term downside; buy pullbacks.


Staying Bullish Despite Near-Term Pullback Potential; Buy Pullbacks

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ono-pharmaceutical-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8979:1" rel="noopener">Ono Pharmaceutical (4528 JP)</a> is an innovation driven pharmaceutical company, with major focus on oncology. Opdivo, Forxiga, and Orencia are the top three products, together contributing ~75% of product revenue.</li>
<li>While the competition intensified, use of Opdivo for malignant tumors was expanded to first-line treatment for NSCLC, esophageal cancer, and gastric cancer, resulting in FY22 sales of ¥112.4B (+14% y/y).</li>
<li>Ono’s second largest drug Forxiga is also on a double-digit growth path. The company has been expanding its pipeline beyond Opdivo by reinforcement of in-house research and in-licensing activities.</li>
</ul>



Ono Pharmaceutical (4528 JP) is an innovation driven pharmaceutical company, with major focus on oncology. Opdivo, Forxiga, and Orencia are the top three products, together contributing ~75% of product revenue.
While the competition intensified, use of Opdivo for malignant tumors was expanded to first-line treatment for NSCLC, esophageal cancer, and gastric cancer, resulting in FY22 sales of ¥112.4B (+14% y/y).
Ono’s second largest drug Forxiga is also on a double-digit growth path. The company has been expanding its pipeline beyond Opdivo by reinforcement of in-house research and in-licensing activities.


Ono Pharmaceutical (4528 JP): Key Drugs On High Growth Trajectory; Pipeline Expands Beyond Opdivo

<div>The action we are seeing in broad indexes, Sectors, and in market dynamics continues to support our overall bullish outlook. Additionally, the mild deterioration in market dynamics that we discussed the past two weeks is now much less of a concern. Continue to buy dips. In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Consumer Discretionary, Energy, and Health Care.</div>

The action we are seeing in broad indexes, Sectors, and in market dynamics continues to support our overall bullish outlook. Additionally, the mild deterioration in market dynamics that we discussed the past two weeks is now much less of a concern. Continue to buy dips. In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Consumer Discretionary, Energy, and Health Care.

U.S. Equity Strategy: Bullish Outlook Intact

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Capital Markets

HBM Holdings Limited / Equity Capital Markets

<p style="text-align: justify;">On November 22<sup>nd</sup> 2020 , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/harbour-biomed-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29717:1" rel="noopener">Harbour Biomed (2142 HK)</a> got approved to list on the main board of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange. Harbour is a biopharmaceutical company engaged in the R&amp;D of differential antibody therapies for immune and tumor diseases, and has more than 10 potential differentiated drug candidates in a diversified and balanced pipeline. So what is Harbour's core competence that set it apart from other biopharmaceutical companies?</p>

On November 22nd 2020 , Harbour Biomed (2142 HK) got approved to list on the main board of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange. Harbour is a biopharmaceutical company engaged in the R&amp;D of differential antibody therapies for immune and tumor diseases, and has more than 10 potential differentiated drug candidates in a diversified and balanced pipeline. So what is Harbour's core competence that set it apart from other biopharmaceutical companies?

Pre-IPO Harbour Biomed (2142.HK) - Don't Ignore The "Hidden Value"

<p>The last several months have been that of digestion and consolidation. While Sector and group leadership have taken a back seat to stock selection, rotations still seem to be the norm.  We have suggested that the current sector rotations are reminiscent of 1994. If conditions in the current market are indeed mimicking those of 1994, we would expect that sectors that are oversold are likely to bounce, and sectors that are overbought are likely to suffer pullbacks, which makes technical tools such as relative strength less viable.</p><p>In our July Strategy we outline this thesis and highlight opportunities within the Technology, Health Care, Financial and Energy Sectors.</p>

The last several months have been that of digestion and consolidation. While Sector and group leadership have taken a back seat to stock selection, rotations still seem to be the norm.  We have suggested that the current sector rotations are reminiscent of 1994. If conditions in the current market are indeed mimicking those of 1994, we would expect that sectors that are oversold are likely to bounce, and sectors that are overbought are likely to suffer pullbacks, which makes technical tools such as relative strength less viable.In our July Strategy we outline this thesis and highlight opportunities within the Technology, Health Care, Financial and Energy Sectors.

United States

Ligand Pharmaceuticals Incorporated develops drugs which regulate hormone activated intracellular receptors.  These receptors play a role in regulating the genetic processes affecting diseases such as gynecological disorders, certain cancers, as well as cardiovascular, inflammatory, and skin diseases.

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Ligand Pharmaceuticals (LGND US)

Staying Bullish Despite Near-Term Pullback Potential; Buy Pullbacks

Buying a pullback; SPX testing 6400-6410 now, but QQQ and IWM are violating short-term supports at $572 and $226. This makes us believe we could...

Vermilion Research

Ono Pharmaceutical (4528 JP): Key Drugs On High Growth Trajectory; Pipeline Expands Beyond Opdivo

Driven by indication expansion, Ono expects Opdivo sales to reach ¥155B in FY23, up 38% y/y. The company is developing clinical pipeline beyond...

Tina Banerjee

U.S. Equity Strategy: Bullish Outlook Intact

The action we are seeing in broad indexes, Sectors, and in market dynamics continues to support our overall bullish outlook. Continue to buy dips.

Vermilion Research

Pre-IPO Harbour Biomed (2142.HK) - Don't Ignore The "Hidden Value"

This article analyzed Harbour's core products, team, technology platforms, thoughts on valuation and the "hidden" value that is often easy to be...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

U.S. Equity Strategy:

The last several months have been that of digestion and consolidation. While Sector and group leadership have taken a back seat to stock selection,...

Vermilion Research

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