Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shopify-inc-de74469e-4678-489b-9b50-a80a5790c5ef" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25906:1" rel="noopener">Shopify Inc (SHOP US)</a> 's share price declined by -15% in after hours trade on weaker-than-expected US E-commerce trends</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mercari-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27149:1" rel="noopener">Mercari Inc (4385 JP)</a> 's US business is highly correlated with its US peer, as is its stock price</li>
<li>A normalisation of e-commerce trends could also impact its much larger Japanese GMV as consumers shift spending patterns back to normal </li>
</ul>



Shopify Inc (SHOP US) 's share price declined by -15% in after hours trade on weaker-than-expected US E-commerce trends

Mercari Inc (4385 JP) 's US business is highly correlated with its US peer, as is its stock price
A normalisation of e-commerce trends could also impact its much larger Japanese GMV as consumers shift spending patterns back to normal 


Mercari (4385) | We Were Wrong…its Worse

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Ying Pan

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>3690 HK: Meituan Food Delivery Daily Orders Reach 90 Million (+)</li>
<li>JD US: JD Officially Launches OTA Hotel and Travel Business with Three-Year Zero Commission Policy(+/-/-)</li>
<li>1439927D CH/4689 JP/4755 JP/4385 JP: TikTok Announces Launch of Japan E-commerce Business as Early as This Month (+/-/-/-)</li>
</ul>


3690 HK: Meituan Food Delivery Daily Orders Reach 90 Million (+)
JD US: JD Officially Launches OTA Hotel and Travel Business with Three-Year Zero Commission Policy(+/-/-)
1439927D CH/4689 JP/4755 JP/4385 JP: TikTok Announces Launch of Japan E-commerce Business as Early as This Month (+/-/-/-)


[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:3690 HK/JD US/1439927D CH/4689 JP/4755 JP/4385 JP/700 HK/NTESUS/BABAUS

<ul>
<li>Mercari Q1 FY25: Stock Down 16%; Revenues up +2% y/y, but core OP down -13% y/y</li>
<li>This quarter was a rough one for Mercari’s core Marketplace business. GMV growth slowed to mid-single digits</li>
<li>Fintech segment continues to power ahead. Revenue here jumped +37%, fueled by more customers and higher credit balances.</li>
</ul>


Mercari Q1 FY25: Stock Down 16%; Revenues up +2% y/y, but core OP down -13% y/y
This quarter was a rough one for Mercari’s core Marketplace business. GMV growth slowed to mid-single digits
Fintech segment continues to power ahead. Revenue here jumped +37%, fueled by more customers and higher credit balances.


Mercari (4385) | Q1 FY25 Results: Stock Down 16%

External reports (aggregated public sources), Value Investors Club

Value Investors Club

External reports (aggregated public sources)

<ul><li>Mercari is a Japanese e-commerce company known for operating the leading online used goods marketplace in Japan with over 23 million monthly active users and significant annual GMV.</li><li>The company's strong network effects moat and growth prospects in Japan's second-hand goods market suggest substantial potential value, despite investor frustration with loss-making initiatives like Mercari US and its Fintech segment.</li><li>Analysts believe that Mercari Japan alone is worth nearly double the company's current market cap, highlighting potential for significant upside.</li></ul><p><em>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.</em></p>

Mercari is a Japanese e-commerce company known for operating the leading online used goods marketplace in Japan with over 23 million monthly active users and significant annual GMV.The company's strong network effects moat and growth prospects in Japan's second-hand goods market suggest substantial potential value, despite investor frustration with loss-making initiatives like Mercari US and its Fintech segment.Analysts believe that Mercari Japan alone is worth nearly double the company's current market cap, highlighting potential for significant upside.This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.

Mercari, Inc. (4385) - Tuesday, Jul 9, 2024

<ul>
<li>Mercari's US operations, responsible for major losses, saw a workforce reduction by 45%, potentially preceding a market exit to improve overall margins.</li>
<li>Fintech growth is strong, with Mercari issuing over 3 million credit cards, achieving a 67% YoY credit balance increase, despite current operational losses</li>
<li>Mercari Hallo, an on-demand work platform, has rapidly gained users and business partners, positioning it to capitalize on Japan's growing gig economy.</li>
</ul>


Mercari's US operations, responsible for major losses, saw a workforce reduction by 45%, potentially preceding a market exit to improve overall margins.
Fintech growth is strong, with Mercari issuing over 3 million credit cards, achieving a 67% YoY credit balance increase, despite current operational losses
Mercari Hallo, an on-demand work platform, has rapidly gained users and business partners, positioning it to capitalize on Japan's growing gig economy.


Mercari (4385) | Fintech and Gig Economy as Key Catalysts

Japan

Mercari, Inc. operates as an electronic commercial company. The Company offers electronic commercial software, operation management, marketing planning, and other marketplace services. Mercari serves customers worldwide.

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Mercari (4385 JP)

Mercari (4385) | We Were Wrong…its Worse

We are Bearish on Mercari as we think GMV in the US will see a sharp pullback as early as the current quarter (4Q: April-June), with higher-than...

Mark Chadwick

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:3690 HK/JD US/1439927D CH/4689 JP/4755 JP/4385 JP/700 HK/NTESUS/BABAUS

Meituan Food Delivery hits 90 million daily orders, JD launches OTA hotel and travel business with zero commission policy, TikTok to launch Japan...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Mercari (4385) | Q1 FY25 Results: Stock Down 16%

Mercari's Q1 FY25 sees stock drop 16% as Marketplace business struggles with slowing growth, while Fintech segment thrives with 37% revenue increase.

Mark Chadwick

Mercari, Inc. (4385) - Tuesday, Jul 9, 2024

Mercari is a leading Japanese e-commerce company with a strong online used goods marketplace in Japan, but faces investor frustration due to loss...

Value Investors Club

Mercari (4385) | Fintech and Gig Economy as Key Catalysts

Mercari's US operations cut workforce by 45% to improve margins, while fintech growth remains strong and Mercari Hallo gains traction in Japan's...

Mark Chadwick

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Mercari (4385) | We Were Wrong…its Worse

We are Bearish on Mercari as we think GMV in the US will see a sharp pullback as early as the current quarter (4Q: April-June), with higher-than...

Mark Chadwick

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:3690 HK/JD US/1439927D CH/4689 JP/4755 JP/4385 JP/700 HK/NTESUS/BABAUS

​Meituan Food Delivery hits 90 million daily orders, JD launches OTA hotel and travel business with zero commission policy, TikTok to launch Japan...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Mercari (4385) | Q1 FY25 Results: Stock Down 16%

​Mercari's Q1 FY25 sees stock drop 16% as Marketplace business struggles with slowing growth, while Fintech segment thrives with 37% revenue increase.

Mark Chadwick

Mercari, Inc. (4385) - Tuesday, Jul 9, 2024

Mercari is a leading Japanese e-commerce company with a strong online used goods marketplace in Japan, but faces investor frustration due to loss...

Value Investors Club

Mercari (4385) | Fintech and Gig Economy as Key Catalysts

​Mercari's US operations cut workforce by 45% to improve margins, while fintech growth remains strong and Mercari Hallo gains traction in Japan's...

Mark Chadwick

Meituan Food Delivery hits 90 million daily orders, JD launches OTA hotel and travel business with zero commission policy, TikTok to launch Japan...

Mercari's Q1 FY25 sees stock drop 16% as Marketplace business struggles with slowing growth, while Fintech segment thrives with 37% revenue increase.

Mercari's US operations cut workforce by 45% to improve margins, while fintech growth remains strong and Mercari Hallo gains traction in Japan's...