Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

European Event-driven Analyst

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Spreads have generally tightened across our liquid universe, in line with the recent market gains.</li>
<li>Recommendations long ords / short prefs: Fuchs Petrolub, Investor AB, SSAB.</li>
<li>Recommendations long prefs / short ords: Sixt, VW, Danieli, MFE, Grifols, Atlas Copco, Ericsson Handelsbanken, Roche, Schroders.</li>
</ul>

<ul>
<li>MFEA lower-voting ordinary shares are trading at a 33.6% discount relative to the MFEB high-ordinary shares, which seems excessive (and above the 32% average since listing of A-shares).</li>
<li>If the offer for TL5 SM succeeds, MFEA would represent 0.68x the number of MFEB and 6.81x the number of votes of MFEB, thus increased percentage of votes and liquidity.</li>
<li>Estimated settlement of the takeover is 1 September. I target a 25% discount and recommend long 1 MFEA IM/short 1 MFEB IM.</li>
</ul>

<ul>
<li>There has not been a clear trend regarding premiums and discounts across our liquid universe since mid June. I highlight the widening discounts in Investor AB, Roche and Volkswagen.</li>
<li>Trade recommendations long ords / short prefs: Fuchs Petrolub, SSAB.
</li>
<li>Recommendations long prefs / short ords: Sixt, VW, MFE, Ericsson, Schroders.</li>
</ul>

<ul>
<li>MFE waived the minimum acceptance condition of the takeover bid for Mediaset España and acquired all of the shares that accepted the offer (27.23% of the share capital).</li>
<li>MFE will own 82.92% (thus not reaching squeeze-out threshold), the stock is much less liquid now. TV advertising looks increasingly grim in Spain. I would be short up to €2.8/share.</li>
<li>MFE A shares are trading at a 30% discount, which seems excessive. With more A shares coming in the market (and higher liquidity), I would be long MFEA/short MFEB.</li>
</ul>

<ul>
<li>Discounts have generally widened across our liquid universe, in line with the recent market losses. </li>
<li>Recommendations long ords / short prefs: BMW, Fuchs Petrolub, Investor AB, SSAB.</li>
<li>Recommendations long prefs / short ords: Sixt, VW, Danieli, MFE, Grifols, Atlas Copco, Ericsson Handelsbanken, Roche, Schroders.</li>
</ul>

Italy

MFE-MediaForEurope N.V. is a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, operates television broadcasting, television production, signal broadcasting management, and music production businesses, as well as television stations. MFE-MediaForEurope serves customers in Europe.

MFE-Media for Europe NV - MFEB IM

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