Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Of the ten items highlighted in last week’s Compass that we would like to see in order to turn more bullish, two have happened -- equal-weighted Energy and UK/European Financials are breaking out. This only serves to add to our already positive outlook as U.S. equities are poised to test all-time highs. We are upgrading equal-weight Energy to market weight. Also in today’s report, we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Technology: Large-, Mid-, and Small-Cap Semiconductors.

Of the ten items highlighted in last week’s Compass that we would like to see in order to turn more bullish, two have happened -- equal-weighted Energy and UK/European Financials are breaking out. This only serves to add to our already positive outlook as U.S. equities are poised to test all-time highs. We are upgrading equal-weight Energy to market weight. Also in today’s report, we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Technology: Large-, Mid-, and Small-Cap Semiconductors.

U.S. Equity Strategy: Upgrading Equal-Weight Energy Sector; Semis Are Leading Tech

Global energy equity and oil & gas macro analyst

Anish Kapadia

Akap Energy

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

LNG prices have dropped to a seasonal low, as we flagged in our outlook piece for this year (<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/2019-energy-market-themes-stocks-with-exposure-focus-on-oil-refining-lng-m-a-renewables" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:27522">2019 Energy Market Themes &amp; Stocks with Exposure: Focus on Oil, Refining, LNG, M&amp;A &amp; Renewables</a>) but this hasn't dampened enthusiasm to push new projects forward (see <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/a-huge-wave-of-new-lng-projects-coming-in-the-next-18-months-positive-for-the-e-c-companies" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:27771">A Huge Wave of New LNG Projects Coming in the Next 18 Months: Positive for The E&amp;C Companies</a>). We continue to see this as positive for the LNG contractors and negative for the LNG developers. We discuss recent LNG prices, European LNG demand and the FID outlook including project updates from Venture Global, Alaska and Cyprus.

LNG prices have dropped to a seasonal low, as we flagged in our outlook piece for this year (2019 Energy Market Themes &amp; Stocks with Exposure: Focus on Oil, Refining, LNG, M&amp;A &amp; Renewables) but this hasn't dampened enthusiasm to push new projects forward (see A Huge Wave of New LNG Projects Coming in the Next 18 Months: Positive for The E&amp;C Companies). We continue to see this as positive for the LNG contractors and negative for the LNG developers. We discuss recent LNG prices, European LNG demand and the FID outlook including project updates from Venture Global, Alaska and Cyprus. 

LNG: What Matters This Week? Prices Fall Further in Asia but New Projects Continue to Progress

The recent successful test of support at the 200-day moving average has paved the way for a meaningful bounce higher on the S&amp;P 500. Given this bounce, we have become incrementally more bullish. In today’s report we highlight the bullish implications of the recent move higher for the broad market as well as attractive and actionable groups within the Energy Sector: EN-02 Oil &amp; Gas, Global, Large-Cap, EN-08 Oil and Gas E&amp;P, Domestic, Large-Cap, and EN-10 Oil and Gas E&amp;P, Domestic Small-Cap.

The recent successful test of support at the 200-day moving average has paved the way for a meaningful bounce higher on the S&amp;P 500. Given this bounce, we have become incrementally more bullish. In today’s report we highlight the bullish implications of the recent move higher for the broad market as well as attractive and actionable groups within the Energy Sector: EN-02 Oil &amp; Gas, Global, Large-Cap, EN-08 Oil and Gas E&amp;P, Domestic, Large-Cap, and EN-10 Oil and Gas E&amp;P, Domestic Small-Cap.

U.S. Equity Strategy: Opportunities in Energy Stocks

While defensive sectors continue to lag, one cyclical sector, Energy, has surged to the top of our relative strength rankings. Though we continue to expect further consolidation and volatility, current sector leadership and mostly positive breadth indicators point to a risk-on environment. In today’s report we highlight attractive and actionable groups within Energy and Health Care: EN-08 Oil and Gas E&amp;P, Domestic, Large-Cap, HC-11 Cardiovascular Products, and HC-13 Surgical Devices &amp; Equipment... see pages 10-21.

While defensive sectors continue to lag, one cyclical sector, Energy, has surged to the top of our relative strength rankings. Though we continue to expect further consolidation and volatility, current sector leadership and mostly positive breadth indicators point to a risk-on environment. In today’s report we highlight attractive and actionable groups within Energy and Health Care: EN-08 Oil and Gas E&amp;P, Domestic, Large-Cap, HC-11 Cardiovascular Products, and HC-13 Surgical Devices &amp; Equipment... see pages 10-21.

U.S. Equity Strategy: Opportunities in Energy & Health Care Stocks

Energy Expert

Thierry Bros, PhD

Thierrybros.com

Interesting article in the Financial Time (FT) on stock exchanges fighting for Saudi Aramco IPO <a href="https://www.ft.com/content/41af604e-0315-11e7-ace0-1ce02ef0def9" target="_blank">https://www.ft.com/content/41af604e-0315-11e7-ace0-1ce02ef0def9 </a>with the following conclusion "Saudi Aramco will initially list as much as 5% of the company and investors and analysts have questioned the size of Riyadh’s $2tn valuation. But even if it reaches just half that target it would still raise $50bn — twice as much as Alibaba’s record IPO in 2014."Back in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/saudi-aramco-value-tn-maybe-not" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:8177">Saudi Aramco Value: $tn? Maybe Not!</a> my…

Interesting article in the Financial Time (FT) on stock exchanges fighting for Saudi Aramco IPO https://www.ft.com/content/41af604e-0315-11e7-ace0-1ce02ef0def9 with the following conclusion "Saudi Aramco will initially list as much as 5% of the company and investors and analysts have questioned the size of Riyadh’s $2tn valuation. But even if it reaches just half that target it would still raise $50bn — twice as much as Alibaba’s record IPO in 2014."Back in Saudi Aramco Value: $tn? Maybe Not! my…

New York and London Battle for Saudi Aramco IPO

United States

Noble Energy, Inc. is an independent energy exploration and production company. The Company explores for and produces crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids. Noble Energy operates primarily in the Rocky Mountains, Mid-continent, and deep-water Gulf of Mexico areas in the US, with key international operations offshore Israel, the North Sea and West Africa.

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Noble Energy (NBL US)

U.S. Equity Strategy: Upgrading Equal-Weight Energy Sector; Semis Are Leading Tech

Of the ten items highlighted in last week’s Compass that we would like to see in order to turn more bullish, two have happened -- equal-weighted...

Vermilion Research

LNG: What Matters This Week? Prices Fall Further in Asia but New Projects Continue to Progress

LNG prices have dropped to a seasonal low, as we flagged in our outlook piece for this year (2019 Energy Market Themes & Stocks with Exposure:...

Anish Kapadia

U.S. Equity Strategy: Opportunities in Energy Stocks

The recent successful test of support at the 200-day moving average has paved the way for a meaningful bounce higher on the S&P 500. Given this...

Vermilion Research

U.S. Equity Strategy: Opportunities in Energy & Health Care Stocks

While defensive sectors continue to lag, one cyclical sector, Energy, has surged to the top of our relative strength rankings. Though we continue...

Vermilion Research

New York and London Battle for Saudi Aramco IPO

Interesting article in the Financial Time (FT) on stock exchanges fighting for Saudi Aramco IPO...

Thierry Bros, PhD

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