Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Our flash checks across a couple of dealers indicate pressure on margins across the industry. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/voltas-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19924:1" rel="noopener">Voltas Ltd (VOLT IN)</a> is trying hard to gain market share.</li>
<li>Other names discussed include <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pnb-housing-finance-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23613:1" rel="noopener">PNB Housing Finance Ltd (PNBHOUSI IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vedant-fashions-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34260:1" rel="noopener">Vedant Fashions (MANYAVAR IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bandhan-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26705:1" rel="noopener">Bandhan Bank Ltd (BANDHAN IN)</a>. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/varun-beverages-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23653:1" rel="noopener">Varun Beverages (VBL IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/schaeffler-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6434:1" rel="noopener">Schaeffler India (SCHFL IN)</a> show up as interesting ARs to read. </li>
</ul>


Our flash checks across a couple of dealers indicate pressure on margins across the industry. Voltas Ltd (VOLT IN) is trying hard to gain market share.
Other names discussed include PNB Housing Finance Ltd (PNBHOUSI IN), Vedant Fashions (MANYAVAR IN) and Bandhan Bank Ltd (BANDHAN IN). 

Varun Beverages (VBL IN) and Schaeffler India (SCHFL IN) show up as interesting ARs to read. 


[#22] Namaste India 🙏 | Voltas Ltd (VOLT IN) | Margin Pressure to Continue

Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Event-Driven

Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Ltd / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aditya-birla-fashion-and-retail-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19048:1" rel="noopener">Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Ltd (ABFRL IN)</a> on 1st April announced a vertical demerger and separate listing of its matured and asset-light Madura brand portfolio.</li>
<li>Assessment of demerger: whether it is seriously a value creation opportunity or just a strategic gimmick for merger-demerger in Mega Bull Run.</li>
<li>Valuation of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aditya-birla-fashion-and-retail-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19048:1" rel="noopener">Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Ltd (ABFRL IN)</a> , whether any juice left in the company?</li>
</ul>



Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Ltd (ABFRL IN) on 1st April announced a vertical demerger and separate listing of its matured and asset-light Madura brand portfolio.
Assessment of demerger: whether it is seriously a value creation opportunity or just a strategic gimmick for merger-demerger in Mega Bull Run.
Valuation of Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Ltd (ABFRL IN) , whether any juice left in the company?


ABFRL's Demerger: A Game-Changer or a Gamble?

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Ethan Aw

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

SBFC Finance Limited / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sbfc-finance-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36713:1" rel="noopener">SBFC Finance Limited (SBFC IN) </a>raised around US$131m in its India IPO, after the deal was priced at INR57/share. Its six-month lockup will expire on 12th Feb 2024. </li>
<li>SBFC Finance is a systematically important, non-deposit taking non-banking finance company (NBFC-ND-SI), offering secured MSME Loans and Loans against Gold.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.</li>
</ul>



SBFC Finance Limited (SBFC IN) raised around US$131m in its India IPO, after the deal was priced at INR57/share. Its six-month lockup will expire on 12th Feb 2024. 
SBFC Finance is a systematically important, non-deposit taking non-banking finance company (NBFC-ND-SI), offering secured MSME Loans and Loans against Gold.
In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.


SBFC Finance Lockup Expiry - Time to Cash in on Some Hefty Profits

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>We see 8 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 8 stocks moving from LargeCap to MidCap, 11 stocks from SmallCap to MidCap, and 14 stocks from MidCap to SmallCap.</li>
<li>Some stocks were added to global indices last month while some could be added in February. There are potential index implications for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">Nifty Next 50 Index</a> too.</li>
<li>The upward migrations have continued to outperform the downward migrations. The largest recent outperformance has come from stocks expected to move from the Mid Cap to the Large Cap segment.</li>
</ul>


We see 8 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 8 stocks moving from LargeCap to MidCap, 11 stocks from SmallCap to MidCap, and 14 stocks from MidCap to SmallCap.
Some stocks were added to global indices last month while some could be added in February. There are potential index implications for the NIFTY Index and Nifty Next 50 Index too.
The upward migrations have continued to outperform the downward migrations. The largest recent outperformance has come from stocks expected to move from the Mid Cap to the Large Cap segment.


AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (Dec 2023): MidCap to LargeCap Migrations Outperforming

Forensic Analyst, Trudence Capital Advisors

Nitin Mangal

Forensic Analyst

Credo Brands Marketing / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/credo-brands-marketing-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40400:1" rel="noopener">Credo Brands (Mufti) (CREDO IN)</a> IPO opens as a full OFS worth INR 5.5 bn. </li>
<li>The company operates ‘Mufti’ which is one of the renowned brands in Indian Men Casual Fashion category. </li>
<li>CMBL faces several questions including employee pay vs KMP, accounting for unsold inventory, delay in important payments, conflict of interest with BoD/SMPs etc.</li>
</ul>



Credo Brands (Mufti) (CREDO IN) IPO opens as a full OFS worth INR 5.5 bn. 
The company operates ‘Mufti’ which is one of the renowned brands in Indian Men Casual Fashion category. 
CMBL faces several questions including employee pay vs KMP, accounting for unsold inventory, delay in important payments, conflict of interest with BoD/SMPs etc.


Credo Brands Marketing IPO- Forensic Analysis

India

Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Ltd provides a wide range of mid-priced garments for men. The Company's collection includes internationally styled formal, elite, casual, party, and wedding apparel.

Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Ltd (ABFRL IN)

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Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Ltd (ABFRL IN)

[#22] Namaste India 🙏 | Voltas Ltd (VOLT IN) | Margin Pressure to Continue

Industry margins under pressure, Voltas Ltd striving for market share. Other companies discussed include PNB Housing Finance Ltd, Vedant Fashions,...

Pranav Bhavsar

ABFRL's Demerger: A Game-Changer or a Gamble?

Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Ltd announces vertical demerger of Madura brand portfolio, sparking debate on value creation vs strategic gimmick...

Nimish Maheshwari

SBFC Finance Lockup Expiry - Time to Cash in on Some Hefty Profits

SBFC Finance Limited (SBFC IN) raised around US$131m in its India IPO, after the deal was priced at INR57/share. Its six-month lockup will expire...

Ethan Aw

AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (Dec 2023): MidCap to LargeCap Migrations Outperforming

We see 41 stocks migrating between different market cap segments in Jan. A lot of stocks will have passive flows from NIFTY, NIFTYJR and global...

Brian Freitas

Credo Brands Marketing IPO- Forensic Analysis

Credo Brands Marketing Ltd IPO opens for renowned Indian men's fashion brand 'Mufti', but faces questions on employee pay, inventory, and some...

Nitin Mangal

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

[#22] Namaste India 🙏 | Voltas Ltd (VOLT IN) | Margin Pressure to Continue

​Industry margins under pressure, Voltas Ltd striving for market share. Other companies discussed include PNB Housing Finance Ltd, Vedant Fashions,...

Pranav Bhavsar

ABFRL's Demerger: A Game-Changer or a Gamble?

​Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Ltd announces vertical demerger of Madura brand portfolio, sparking debate on value creation vs strategic gimmick...

Nimish Maheshwari

SBFC Finance Lockup Expiry - Time to Cash in on Some Hefty Profits

SBFC Finance Limited (SBFC IN) raised around US$131m in its India IPO, after the deal was priced at INR57/share. Its six-month lockup will expire...

Ethan Aw

AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (Dec 2023): MidCap to LargeCap Migrations Outperforming

We see 41 stocks migrating between different market cap segments in Jan. A lot of stocks will have passive flows from NIFTY, NIFTYJR and global...

Brian Freitas

Credo Brands Marketing IPO- Forensic Analysis

​Credo Brands Marketing Ltd IPO opens for renowned Indian men's fashion brand 'Mufti', but faces questions on employee pay, inventory, and some...

Nitin Mangal

Industry margins under pressure, Voltas Ltd striving for market share. Other companies discussed include PNB Housing Finance Ltd, Vedant Fashions,...

Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Ltd announces vertical demerger of Madura brand portfolio, sparking debate on value creation vs strategic gimmick...

Credo Brands Marketing Ltd IPO opens for renowned Indian men's fashion brand 'Mufti', but faces questions on employee pay, inventory, and some...