Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Disappointingly, the sensitivity and specificity of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/narhex-life-sciences-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9728:1" rel="noopener">ResApp Health (RAP AU)</a>'s cough trial were significantly lower than its March pilot study.</li>
<li>As such, the Scheme Consideration from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pfizer-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1131:1" rel="noopener">Pfizer Inc (PFE US)</a> will be A$0.146/share, which is still a 62.2% premium to the undisturbed price.</li>
<li>Trading super wide to terms after short-term punters kicked out. </li>
</ul>


Disappointingly, the sensitivity and specificity of ResApp Health (RAP AU)'s cough trial were significantly lower than its March pilot study.
As such, the Scheme Consideration from Pfizer Inc (PFE US) will be A$0.146/share, which is still a 62.2% premium to the undisturbed price.
Trading super wide to terms after short-term punters kicked out. 


ResApp (RAP AU): Low-End Pfizer Offer As Cough Trial Fails

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>On the ECM front, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thai-life-insurance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34915:1" rel="noopener">Thai Life Insurance (124744Z TB)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/acommerce-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35789:1" rel="noopener">aCommerce Group (ACOM TB)</a> are premarketing US$1bn and US$200m IPOs. Tianqi Lithium has passed the HKEx listing hearing for US$1-1.5bn raise.</li>
<li>On the Event-Driven front, developments at <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-administration-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:970:1" rel="noopener">Link Administration (LNK AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/frasers-hospitality-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:913:1" rel="noopener">Frasers Hospitality Trust (FHT SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-net-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1050:1" rel="noopener">Link Net (LINK IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/narhex-life-sciences-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9728:1" rel="noopener">Resapp Health (RAP AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beijing-enterprises-urban-re" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29131:1" rel="noopener">Beijing Enterprises Urban Resources (3718 HK)</a>. </li>
</ul>


A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.
On the ECM front, Thai Life Insurance (124744Z TB) and aCommerce Group (ACOM TB) are premarketing US$1bn and US$200m IPOs. Tianqi Lithium has passed the HKEx listing hearing for US$1-1.5bn raise.
On the Event-Driven front, developments at Link Administration (LNK AU), Frasers Hospitality Trust (FHT SP), Link Net (LINK IJ), Resapp Health (RAP AU), Beijing Enterprises Urban Resources (3718 HK). 


Weekly Deals Digest (19 Jun): Frasers Hospitality, Link Admin, Link Net, Thai Life, GOGOX, ResApp

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/frasers-hospitality-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:913:1" rel="noopener">Frasers Hospitality (FHT SP)</a>'s Offer comes at an all-time high price, exceeding the end-2019 price on a dividend-adjusted basis.  This should be done, but it is worth thinking about how.</li>
<li>There is clearly an intentional miscommunication and bad faith posturing by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyo-construction-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1176:1" rel="noopener">Toyo Construction (1890 JP)</a>. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-administration-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:970:1" rel="noopener">Link Admin (LNK AU)</a> has to exit PEXA to appease ACCC. But how badly do D&amp;D want PEXA? Will they walk? Time to look at Link fundamentally.</li>
</ul>



Frasers Hospitality (FHT SP)'s Offer comes at an all-time high price, exceeding the end-2019 price on a dividend-adjusted basis.  This should be done, but it is worth thinking about how.
There is clearly an intentional miscommunication and bad faith posturing by Toyo Construction (1890 JP). 

Link Admin (LNK AU) has to exit PEXA to appease ACCC. But how badly do D&amp;D want PEXA? Will they walk? Time to look at Link fundamentally.


Last Week in Event SPACE: Frasers Hospitality, Toyo Construction, Link Admin, Kito Corporation

<ul>
<li>There are 49 - mostly firm - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.</li>
<li>Two new deals this week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/frasers-hospitality-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:913:1" rel="noopener">Frasers Hospitality Trust (FHT SP)</a>'s Scheme, and  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pfizer-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1131:1" rel="noopener">Pfizer Inc (PFE US)</a>'s Offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/narhex-life-sciences-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9728:1" rel="noopener">Resapp Health (RAP AU)</a>.</li>
<li>Key updates took place for: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-administration-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:970:1" rel="noopener">Link Administration (LNK AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/virtus-health-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14776:1" rel="noopener">Virtus Health (VRT AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyo-construction-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1176:1" rel="noopener">Toyo Construction (1890 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kito-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19512:1" rel="noopener">Kito Corporation (6409 JP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hwa-hong-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6648:1" rel="noopener">Hwa Hong Corp (HWAH SP)</a>.</li>
</ul>


There are 49 - mostly firm - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.
Two new deals this week: Frasers Hospitality Trust (FHT SP)'s Scheme, and  Pfizer Inc (PFE US)'s Offer for Resapp Health (RAP AU).
Key updates took place for: Link Administration (LNK AU), Virtus Health (VRT AU), Toyo Construction (1890 JP), Kito Corporation (6409 JP), and Hwa Hong Corp (HWAH SP).


Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: ResApp Health, Kto Corp, Link Admin, Toyo, Fraser Hospitality

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pfizer-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1131:1" rel="noopener">Pfizer Inc (PFE US)</a> is Offering <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/narhex-life-sciences-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9728:1" rel="noopener">ResApp Health (RAP AU)</a> shareholders up to A$0.207/share by way of a Scheme. ResApp's Board unanimously recommends the Offer.</li>
<li>ResApp is currently trialing a cough-based Covid detection tool. If the study proves satisfactory, Pfizer will outlay A$0.207/share. If not, shareholders get A$0.146/share. Pfizer initially pitched A$0.115/share. </li>
<li>The results of the study are due out on the 20 June. </li>
</ul>



Pfizer Inc (PFE US) is Offering ResApp Health (RAP AU) shareholders up to A$0.207/share by way of a Scheme. ResApp's Board unanimously recommends the Offer.
ResApp is currently trialing a cough-based Covid detection tool. If the study proves satisfactory, Pfizer will outlay A$0.207/share. If not, shareholders get A$0.146/share. Pfizer initially pitched A$0.115/share. 
The results of the study are due out on the 20 June. 


United States

Pfizer Inc. operates as a pharmaceutical company. The Company offers medicines, vaccines, medical devices, and consumer healthcare products for oncology, inflammation, cardiovascular, and other therapeutic areas. Pfizer serves customers worldwide.

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Pfizer (PFE UN)

ResApp (RAP AU): Low-End Pfizer Offer As Cough Trial Fails

At A$0.12/share as I type, ResApp is trading at a very wide 21.6% gross spread. I'd take that bet. However, this is not a super liquid arb situation.

David Blennerhassett

Weekly Deals Digest (19 Jun): Frasers Hospitality, Link Admin, Link Net, Thai Life, GOGOX, ResApp

Last week, notable developments occurred in Event-Driven (Frasers Hospitality, Link Admin, Link Net, ResApp, BEUR, Hwa Hong, Cocoaland, MyDeal.com)...

Arun George

Last Week in Event SPACE: Frasers Hospitality, Toyo Construction, Link Admin, Kito Corporation

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: ResApp Health, Kto Corp, Link Admin, Toyo, Fraser Hospitality

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

ResApp (RAP AU): Pfizer Coughs Up

At A$0.17/share as I type, ResApp is trading at a 21.8% gross spread to the upper terms, against 14.1% downside to the lower end. I'd take that...

David Blennerhassett

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