Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>In 2025, the NPS could purchase significant amounts of Korean stocks (at least 25 trillion won) which could act as support in the domestic stock market. </li>
<li>At the end of September 2024, NPS's domestic stock portfolio was 12.7% of its total assets, a 2.2% lower than NPS's domestic stocks target at the end of 2025 (14.9%).</li>
<li>The top five net purchases by the NPS and local pension funds of Korean stocks in the past one month include Samsung Electronics, Kakao, SK Innovation, Hyundai Motor, and SEMCO.</li>
</ul>


In 2025, the NPS could purchase significant amounts of Korean stocks (at least 25 trillion won) which could act as support in the domestic stock market. 
At the end of September 2024, NPS's domestic stock portfolio was 12.7% of its total assets, a 2.2% lower than NPS's domestic stocks target at the end of 2025 (14.9%).
The top five net purchases by the NPS and local pension funds of Korean stocks in the past one month include Samsung Electronics, Kakao, SK Innovation, Hyundai Motor, and SEMCO.


NPS: Portfolio Rebalance Could Lead to Buying At Least 25 Trillion Won in Korean Stocks in 2025

Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>NPS will likely use the KRX Value-Up Index as its benchmark, with Long-Term Growth and Value categories likely to adopt it.</li>
<li>When NPS shifts to the Value-Up Index, KOSDAQ stocks will likely drive significant flow impacts due to their lower overlap.</li>
<li>These non-overlapping KOSDAQ stocks, attracting over 1 trillion won, could see significant price impacts as funds gradually flow in.</li>
</ul>


NPS will likely use the KRX Value-Up Index as its benchmark, with Long-Term Growth and Value categories likely to adopt it.
When NPS shifts to the Value-Up Index, KOSDAQ stocks will likely drive significant flow impacts due to their lower overlap.
These non-overlapping KOSDAQ stocks, attracting over 1 trillion won, could see significant price impacts as funds gradually flow in.


NPS Cash Inflow Projections for KRX Value-Up Index & Surging Interest in KOSDAQ Stocks

<ul>
<li>KOSDAQ stocks are expected to make up 10-15% of the Value-Up Index, with 10-15 names benefiting. Even with smaller passive funds, the impact on these stocks could be significant.</li>
<li>KOSDAQ Global Index criteria overlap with the Value-Up Index, and KRX’s push suggests many KOSDAQ Global stocks will also appear in the Value-Up Index.</li>
<li>In the past 30 days, the KOSDAQ Global Index dropped 5.14%, but 5 of the top 10 gainers either announced value-ups or received value-up picks from brokers.</li>
</ul>


KOSDAQ stocks are expected to make up 10-15% of the Value-Up Index, with 10-15 names benefiting. Even with smaller passive funds, the impact on these stocks could be significant.
KOSDAQ Global Index criteria overlap with the Value-Up Index, and KRX’s push suggests many KOSDAQ Global stocks will also appear in the Value-Up Index.
In the past 30 days, the KOSDAQ Global Index dropped 5.14%, but 5 of the top 10 gainers either announced value-ups or received value-up picks from brokers.


Korea Value-Up Index Drops on the 24th: Hunt for the Winners in the KOSDAQ Global Index

<ul>
<li>The reshuffle results align with expectations, but the decision to list 11 KOSDAQ Global stocks in April is surprising. Local authorities seem to prioritize boosting the derivatives market for liquidity.</li>
<li>Ecopro Materials' SSF listing, earlier than expected, attracts attention, potentially leading to an unusual basis pattern, coinciding with a major lockup release on May 17th.</li>
<li>We should also be wary of a pattern akin to last July's in KOSDAQ stocks. Spot prices of recent SSFs showed a pronounced short-term uptrend, especially in KOSDAQ, versus KOSPI.</li>
</ul>


The reshuffle results align with expectations, but the decision to list 11 KOSDAQ Global stocks in April is surprising. Local authorities seem to prioritize boosting the derivatives market for liquidity.
Ecopro Materials' SSF listing, earlier than expected, attracts attention, potentially leading to an unusual basis pattern, coinciding with a major lockup release on May 17th.
We should also be wary of a pattern akin to last July's in KOSDAQ stocks. Spot prices of recent SSFs showed a pronounced short-term uptrend, especially in KOSDAQ, versus KOSPI.


KRX's Official SSF/SSO Reshuffle Results: Trading Considerations

South Korea

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NPS: Portfolio Rebalance Could Lead to Buying At Least 25 Trillion Won in Korean Stocks in 2025

In 2025, the NPS could purchase significant amounts of Korean stocks (at least 25 trillion won) which could act as support in the domestic stock...

Douglas Kim

NPS Cash Inflow Projections for KRX Value-Up Index & Surging Interest in KOSDAQ Stocks

This post estimating how much cash NPS is looking to throw into the KRX Value-Up Index and why KOSDAQ stocks are becoming hot topics in the market.

Sanghyun Park

Korea Value-Up Index Drops on the 24th: Hunt for the Winners in the KOSDAQ Global Index

This post finds beneficiaries within the KOSDAQ Global Index as the Korea Value-Up Index details, including the constituents, will be released on...

Sanghyun Park

KRX's Official SSF/SSO Reshuffle Results: Trading Considerations

As pointed out in this post, considering KOSDAQ additions as a long basket is suitable. However, stocks with high pre-reshuffle price appreciation...

Sanghyun Park

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