Asean-focused. Ex-Head of Thai Research

Athaporn Arayasantiparb, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

With our new 5-part Silicon September series, we explore five of the newest technology trends sweeping through the globe starting with ride hailing and autonomous driving, led by innovative leaders Google and Tesla. At some point, self-driving cars could put Bangkok's 20,000 taxi drivers out of work, but the impact on retailers that serve them (eg CP All) would be minimal. Even if cars drove themselves, someone still needs to own them, and that's where MTLS (Maung  Thai Leasing), the market leader in this area, comes in. On its own, we think MTLS is a good business, but at 37x PE, it's a little overblown for its current fundamentals. If they owned a vast fleet of cars that drove themselves, things could be different. Of course, there's more at stake than just cars. Oil giants like PTT could get hit big time. Meanwhile, power companies like GSPC (Global Synergy Power) could benefit. Maybe, that's why GSPC is PTT's favorite subsidiary today.

With our new 5-part Silicon September series, we explore five of the newest technology trends sweeping through the globe starting with ride hailing and autonomous driving, led by innovative leaders Google and Tesla. At some point, self-driving cars could put Bangkok's 20,000 taxi drivers out of work, but the impact on retailers that serve them (eg CP All) would be minimal. Even if cars drove themselves, someone still needs to own them, and that's where MTLS (Maung  Thai Leasing), the market leader in this area, comes in. On its own, we think MTLS is a good business, but at 37x PE, it's a little overblown for its current fundamentals. If they owned a vast fleet of cars that drove themselves, things could be different. Of course, there's more at stake than just cars. Oil giants like PTT could get hit big time. Meanwhile, power companies like GSPC (Global Synergy Power) could benefit. Maybe, that's why GSPC is PTT's favorite subsidiary today.

Silicon September 1.0: Ride Hailing and Autonomous Driving

Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>There is a boom in Bangkok, yet again.</li><li>This tends to be positive for banks.</li><li>It creates loan demand, both by developers and also companies making and selling products for construction.It also supports mortgage lending and collateral values behind loans.</li><li>A benign credit cycle, high provisions and reasonable margins is reason enough to be positive on Thai banks. Additionally is the current construction boom.</li><li>But the warning and focus of this note is that not all banks are created equal. And it may be surprising, that some of Thailand&rsquo;s newest banks are showing trends completely at odds with mainstream banks. </li><li>It pays to differentiate, even in a boom</li></ul>

There is a boom in Bangkok, yet again.This tends to be positive for banks.It creates loan demand, both by developers and also companies making and selling products for construction.It also supports mortgage lending and collateral values behind loans.A benign credit cycle, high provisions and reasonable margins is reason enough to be positive on Thai banks. Additionally is the current construction boom.But the warning and focus of this note is that not all banks are created equal. And it may be surprising, that some of Thailand&rsquo;s newest banks are showing trends completely at odds with mainstream banks. It pays to differentiate, even in a boom

Thailand: Despite Boom, Small Banks are Dull. Big Banks are Irresistible.

Thailand

Phatra Leasing Public Company Limited provides leasing services to corporate entities. The Company primarily focuses on operating leases by providing assets to lessees who have the right to utilize them, while the Company still retains ownership of the assets.

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Phatra Leasing Pub (PL TB)

Silicon September 1.0: Ride Hailing and Autonomous Driving

With our new 5-part Silicon September series, we explore five of the newest technology trends sweeping through the globe starting with ride hailing...

Athaporn Arayasantiparb, CFA

Thailand: Despite Boom, Small Banks are Dull. Big Banks are Irresistible.

There is a boom in Bangkok, yet again. This tends to be positive for banks. It creates loan demand, both by developers and also companies making...

Daniel Tabbush

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Market Cap (USDm)

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