External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>India’s long-awaited Capex cycle finally seems to be gathering momentum, after a hiatus of 10 years</li><li>While there were false starts in the last decade, we believe the recent post-COVID pick-up is looking sustainable and drivers are in place for multi-year growth</li><li>In this report, we have done a detailed bottom-up analysis of (a) 1,700+ government projects that are under implementation (explaining &gt;60% of total government Capex of FY22) and (b) Capex plans of top 400+ private sector companies to better understand the drivers and likely shape of the Capex demand curve</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

India’s long-awaited Capex cycle finally seems to be gathering momentum, after a hiatus of 10 yearsWhile there were false starts in the last decade, we believe the recent post-COVID pick-up is looking sustainable and drivers are in place for multi-year growthIn this report, we have done a detailed bottom-up analysis of (a) 1,700+ government projects that are under implementation (explaining &gt;60% of total government Capex of FY22) and (b) Capex plans of top 400+ private sector companies to better understand the drivers and likely shape of the Capex demand curveContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

India Equity Strategy - Capex: On a Sustainable Upswing

<ul><li>ONGC: We maintain our BUY recommendation on ONGC with a target price of INR 178, based on (1) increase in crude price realisation and (2) improvement in domestic gas price realisation</li><li>Q1FY23 revenue/EBITDA/APAT stood at INR 423/259/152bn, below our estimates, owing to higher other expenses, depreciation and interest cost, partially offset by higher-than-expected other income</li><li>Crude oil and gas production were broadly in line, but total crude oil sales, including JV share, came below estimates. Trent: Trent reported a stellar Q1 print</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

ONGC: We maintain our BUY recommendation on ONGC with a target price of INR 178, based on (1) increase in crude price realisation and (2) improvement in domestic gas price realisationQ1FY23 revenue/EBITDA/APAT stood at INR 423/259/152bn, below our estimates, owing to higher other expenses, depreciation and interest cost, partially offset by higher-than-expected other incomeCrude oil and gas production were broadly in line, but total crude oil sales, including JV share, came below estimates. Trent: Trent reported a stellar Q1 printContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: ONGC, Trent, Phoenix Mills, Fine Organic Industries

<ul><li>Sustenance sales to drive Q1FY23 presales; delayed launches to result in healthy H2FY23: Oberoi reported decent sustenance presales of INR 7.5bn (+3.4x/-19%, YoY/QoQ).</li><li>Demand slowdown transitory, structural drivers remain intact: Post the recent interest rate hikes, the loan eligibility has reduced, resulting in a larger down payment funding requirement.</li><li>Demand for Grade A rental housing seeing strong traction, with rents inching up 15-20% higher than pre-COVID: Quality living is gaining traction with larger, organised, gated communities’ projects witnessing strong rental demand and pricing, which is higher than pre-COVID levels.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Sustenance sales to drive Q1FY23 presales; delayed launches to result in healthy H2FY23: Oberoi reported decent sustenance presales of INR 7.5bn (+3.4x/-19%, YoY/QoQ).Demand slowdown transitory, structural drivers remain intact: Post the recent interest rate hikes, the loan eligibility has reduced, resulting in a larger down payment funding requirement.Demand for Grade A rental housing seeing strong traction, with rents inching up 15-20% higher than pre-COVID: Quality living is gaining traction with larger, organised, gated communities’ projects witnessing strong rental demand and pricing, which is higher than pre-COVID levels.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Nirmal Bang

Nirmal Bang

A Relationship Beyond Broking

Nirmal Bang, one of the leading stock broking companies in India, caters to retail and institutional clients by offering them a range of financial products and services, including equities, derivatives, commodities, currency derivatives, mutual funds, IPOs, insurance, depository services and PMS.

Nirmal Bang is drawn from a diversity of professional backgrounds, and blend of experience, skill and dedication is shared with its clients. Nirmal Bang emphasizes adequate, thorough research local and world-wide developments, balancing these with the astute discovery of intrinsic values, synergies and growth. The aim is simply to help the investors to maximize their returns.

<div><div><div><div><ul><li>Brigade Enterprise: We expect revenue to increase by 122% YoY in 1QFY23, but decline by 10% QoQ to Rs8,493mn.</li><li>The sharp increase in revenue YoY is mainly due to a lower base in 1QFY22, which was affected by the second covid wave.</li><li>EBITDA margin for 1QFY23 is expected at 26.2% vs 21.8%/29.1% in 4QFY22/1QFY22.</li></ul></div></div></div></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Brigade Enterprise: We expect revenue to increase by 122% YoY in 1QFY23, but decline by 10% QoQ to Rs8,493mn.The sharp increase in revenue YoY is mainly due to a lower base in 1QFY22, which was affected by the second covid wave.EBITDA margin for 1QFY23 is expected at 26.2% vs 21.8%/29.1% in 4QFY22/1QFY22.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Real Estate and Ceramics - Residential Demand Remains Strong; Commercial Demand in Recovering Phase

Equity Bottom-Up

<div><ul><li>Revenue increases by 16.6% QoQ and 28.4% YoY to Rs4,954mn: The company reported revenue of Rs4,954mn in 4QFY22, up 16.6% QoQ, led by 20.7%/17.8%/80.4% QoQ increase in revenue from Retail/Commercial/Residential segments.</li></ul><div><ul><li>However, revenue from Hotels declined by 11% QoQ to Rs586mn in 4QFY22 on account of a decline in occupancy level in Jan’22 amid the 3rd covid wave.</li></ul><div><ul><li>Retail - Strong driven by consumption: Revenue grew by 21% QoQ and 26% YoY to Rs3,358mn in 4QFY22, mainly as better recovery was witnessed across cities on the back of (1) Improving demand from new tenants, l<span style="font-size: var(--content-font-size);">ed by pick-up in their business activities (2) More categories and businesses, especially food courts, being allowed to re-open amid the waning impact of 3rd covid wave and reduced restrictions (3) More footfalls amid festive and wedding season.</span></li></ul></div></div></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Revenue increases by 16.6% QoQ and 28.4% YoY to Rs4,954mn: The company reported revenue of Rs4,954mn in 4QFY22, up 16.6% QoQ, led by 20.7%/17.8%/80.4% QoQ increase in revenue from Retail/Commercial/Residential segments.However, revenue from Hotels declined by 11% QoQ to Rs586mn in 4QFY22 on account of a decline in occupancy level in Jan’22 amid the 3rd covid wave.Retail - Strong driven by consumption: Revenue grew by 21% QoQ and 26% YoY to Rs3,358mn in 4QFY22, mainly as better recovery was witnessed across cities on the back of (1) Improving demand from new tenants, led by pick-up in their business activities (2) More categories and businesses, especially food courts, being allowed to re-open amid the waning impact of 3rd covid wave and reduced restrictions (3) More footfalls amid festive and wedding season.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Phoenix Mills - Strong Consumption Recovery Continues

India

Phoenix Mills Ltd. is engaged, directly and through its subsidiaries and investments in the business of ownership, management, and development of large-format retail-led mixed use properties. The Company's properties include shopping, entertainment, commercial, residential, and hospitality properties. Phoenix Mills owns and operates High Street Phoenix Center in Mumbai.

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Phoenix Mills (PHNX IN)

India Equity Strategy - Capex: On a Sustainable Upswing

While there were false starts in the last decade, we believe the recent post-COVID pick-up is looking sustainable and drivers are in place for...

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: ONGC, Trent, Phoenix Mills, Fine Organic Industries

Crude oil and gas production were broadly in line, but total crude oil sales, including JV share, came below estimates. Trent: Trent reported a...

HDFC Securities

Real Estate - Mixed Performance

Sustenance sales to drive Q1FY23 presales; delayed launches to result in healthy H2FY23: Oberoi reported decent sustenance presales of INR 7.5bn...

HDFC Securities

Real Estate and Ceramics - Residential Demand Remains Strong; Commercial Demand in Recovering Phase

Demand for residential real estate continued to remain strong in 1QFY23 while a sharp recovery is expected in rental assets (malls/offices) as the...

Nirmal Bang

Phoenix Mills - Strong Consumption Recovery Continues

Performance of Phoenix Mills in 4QFY22 was healthy on the back of rental growth while consumption was driven by the strong operational performance...

Nirmal Bang

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