Silver Point

Thomas J. Monaco

Silver Point is a boutique research firm that focuses on the broader financial services sector, with a particular focus on troubled institutions globally. 

Asia Ex Japan

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

* Circular 46 enabling the CBRC to properly do its job, as Shanghai Pudong Development Bank  - the first of many high profile names - gets exposed for aggressive accounting.  * HNA, China Wanda, and Anbang Insurance monkey business also expose numerous shenanigans in the corporate sector as well.<h2>Summary</h2>The appointment of Guo Shuqing to head the China Bank Regulatory Commission (CBRC) was a clear sign that the mainland Chinese authorities are intent on cleaning up some of the excesses within the…

* Circular 46 enabling the CBRC to properly do its job, as Shanghai Pudong Development Bank  - the first of many high profile names - gets exposed for aggressive accounting.  * HNA, China Wanda, and Anbang Insurance monkey business also expose numerous shenanigans in the corporate sector as well.SummaryThe appointment of Guo Shuqing to head the China Bank Regulatory Commission (CBRC) was a clear sign that the mainland Chinese authorities are intent on cleaning up some of the excesses within the…

China Banks – Questionable Accounting Practices Exposed

Equity Bottom-Up

* After running 110% in 2017, Ping An Insurance (<a href="http://2318.hk/" target="_blank" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?hl=en&amp;q=http://2318.HK&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1516670325543000&amp;usg=AFQjCNGc3N_-tlhJq309egkx7jwFprvoSw">2318.HK</a>) [Ping An] shares are off to the races yet again as the fintech story continues to have legs. * Ping An, however, remains the poster child for everything that is fundamentally wrong with the mainland Chinese financial system - having its hands in nearly every hot button issue. <h2>Summary</h2>In the past, we have argued that Ping An is the poster child for every thing which is wrong in the mainland Chinese financial system, having: 1) Over 50% of its…

* After running 110% in 2017, Ping An Insurance (2318.HK) [Ping An] shares are off to the races yet again as the fintech story continues to have legs.  * Ping An, however, remains the poster child for everything that is fundamentally wrong with the mainland Chinese financial system - having its hands in nearly every hot button issue.  SummaryIn the past, we have argued that Ping An is the poster child for every thing which is wrong in the mainland Chinese financial system, having:  1) Over 50% of its…

Ping An Insurance - Not a Good Company, But You Can't Argue With the Power of Fin-Tech

Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Other asset growth is surging at China’s banks. It is a line item often associated with assets of limited liquidity, impossible to value, or not easy to fit into a more benign classifications. In the Asian Financial Crisis this was an area of interest: this account included interest in suspense, which was linked to delinquent loans.  Even on a good day, China’s granular data is not wholly clear, so data here is murky. Save to say, that with these so-called other assets now account for more than…

Other asset growth is surging at China’s banks. It is a line item often associated with assets of limited liquidity, impossible to value, or not easy to fit into a more benign classifications. In the Asian Financial Crisis this was an area of interest: this account included interest in suspense, which was linked to delinquent loans.  Even on a good day, China’s granular data is not wholly clear, so data here is murky. Save to say, that with these so-called other assets now account for more than…

Other Assets May Conceal Bad Loans: China

The China Banking Regulatory Commission (CBRC) is concerned about high growth in consumer loans. But not only the pace. It is also worried about misdirected lending into mortgage real estate loans, from other categories of consumer, such as personal or credit card. While impossible to prove, experience in Asia has shown mis-directed lending to be fairly normal, and especially when growth is over-sized.Most of China’s credit growth in recent quarters, is from consumer, which is basically…

The China Banking Regulatory Commission (CBRC) is concerned about high growth in consumer loans. But not only the pace. It is also worried about misdirected lending into mortgage real estate loans, from other categories of consumer, such as personal or credit card. While impossible to prove, experience in Asia has shown mis-directed lending to be fairly normal, and especially when growth is over-sized.Most of China’s credit growth in recent quarters, is from consumer, which is basically…

China Consumer Loans – Risk at Ping An Bank, China Merchants Bank, and System?

The most visible sign of credit quality for banks are non-performing loans (NPL) or the NPL ratio. But there are many other indicators of credit quality that are less visible. Net write-offs are one such item. While not heralded with vigor in Asia Pacific, it is a data series that US bank analysts weed out as much or more so than NPL data. And it is often a leading indicator of deteriorating credit quality. In China, average NPL ratios have hardly moved in the past two years. Net…

The most visible sign of credit quality for banks are non-performing loans (NPL) or the NPL ratio. But there are many other indicators of credit quality that are less visible. Net write-offs are one such item. While not heralded with vigor in Asia Pacific, it is a data series that US bank analysts weed out as much or more so than NPL data. And it is often a leading indicator of deteriorating credit quality. In China, average NPL ratios have hardly moved in the past two years. Net…

China Banks: Rising Write-Offs at Odds with NPLs

China

Ping An Bank Co Ltd provides a full range of commercial banking services including RMB and foreign currency deposit, loan, international and domestic settlement, discount, currency trading, letter of credit, bank guarantee, and other related services.

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Ping An Bank Co Ltd A (000001 CH)

China Banks – Questionable Accounting Practices Exposed

* Circular 46 enabling the CBRC to properly do its job, as Shanghai Pudong Development Bank - the first of many high profile names - gets exposed...

Thomas J. Monaco

Ping An Insurance - Not a Good Company, But You Can't Argue With the Power of Fin-Tech

* After running 110% in 2017, Ping An Insurance (2318.HK) [Ping An] shares are off to the races yet again as the fintech story continues to have...

Thomas J. Monaco

Other Assets May Conceal Bad Loans: China

Other asset growth is surging at China’s banks. It is a line item often associated with assets of limited liquidity, impossible to value, or not...

Daniel Tabbush

China Consumer Loans – Risk at Ping An Bank, China Merchants Bank, and System?

The China Banking Regulatory Commission (CBRC) is concerned about high growth in consumer loans. But not only the pace. It is also worried about...

Daniel Tabbush

China Banks: Rising Write-Offs at Odds with NPLs

The most visible sign of credit quality for banks are non-performing loans (NPL) or the NPL ratio. But there are many other indicators of credit...

Daniel Tabbush

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52-week Range

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