External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

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Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Record FY23 presales expected for most of the players: Going by the numbers for FY23 reported to date by top developers, we expect annual presales for most of them to surpass their previous highs</li><li>Godrej, Macrotech and Sobha, all reported their lifetime high in residential sales with INR 122/120/52bn respectively</li><li>The annual growth also has been substantial with Godrej growing by 55%, Macrotech by 34% and Sobha by 34%</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Record FY23 presales expected for most of the players: Going by the numbers for FY23 reported to date by top developers, we expect annual presales for most of them to surpass their previous highsGodrej, Macrotech and Sobha, all reported their lifetime high in residential sales with INR 122/120/52bn respectivelyThe annual growth also has been substantial with Godrej growing by 55%, Macrotech by 34% and Sobha by 34%Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Equity Bottom-Up

Prestige Estates Projects / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>We attended the Prestige Estates (PEPL) analyst meet in Mumbai where it showcased its roadmap for the next five years</li><li>PEPL has achieved INR 90bn presales as of 9MFY23 and has guided for INR 120bn of presales by FY23 and INR 250bn by FY26</li><li>This is expected to be achieved on the back of a strong launch pipeline of 73msf for the next two years across geographies with 55/15% (incl)</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We attended the Prestige Estates (PEPL) analyst meet in Mumbai where it showcased its roadmap for the next five yearsPEPL has achieved INR 90bn presales as of 9MFY23 and has guided for INR 120bn of presales by FY23 and INR 250bn by FY26This is expected to be achieved on the back of a strong launch pipeline of 73msf for the next two years across geographies with 55/15% (incl)Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Prestige Estates: Strong Visibility on Launches and Rental Ramp Up.

<ul><li>ONGC: We maintain our BUY recommendation on ONGC with a target price of INR 170, based on (1) an increase in crude price realisation and (2) an improvement in domestic gas price realisation</li><li>Q3FY23 revenue/EBITDA at INR 386/204bn, came in marginally above our estimates but APAT, at INR 110bn, came below estimates due to higher-than-expected DD&amp;A and finance costs and lower-than-expected other income</li><li>Crude oil and gas production came broadly in line</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

ONGC: We maintain our BUY recommendation on ONGC with a target price of INR 170, based on (1) an increase in crude price realisation and (2) an improvement in domestic gas price realisationQ3FY23 revenue/EBITDA at INR 386/204bn, came in marginally above our estimates but APAT, at INR 110bn, came below estimates due to higher-than-expected DD&amp;A and finance costs and lower-than-expected other incomeCrude oil and gas production came broadly in lineContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: ONGC, Bata India, Prestige Estates, Radico Khaitan

<ul><li>Mortgage rates on the cusp of denting demand; structural drivers remain intact: Post the recent interest rate hikes, loan eligibility has reduced, resulting in a larger funding requirement for down payments</li><li>Another 50bps interest hike may destroy demand further. The all-time high affordability is still aiding demand</li><li>We believe developers would not take price hikes now and support recovery</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Mortgage rates on the cusp of denting demand; structural drivers remain intact: Post the recent interest rate hikes, loan eligibility has reduced, resulting in a larger funding requirement for down paymentsAnother 50bps interest hike may destroy demand further. The all-time high affordability is still aiding demandWe believe developers would not take price hikes now and support recoveryContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Real Estate (Q3FY23 Results Preview): Resilient Performance

<ul><li>Demand momentum may continue to reflect in presales: We expect presales momentum to continue, driven by high affordability, stable prices, and overall positive sentiment for real estate</li><li>Mortgage rate increase is yet to meaningfully reflect in demand destruction as we may be closer to peak of interest rate tightening</li><li>Affordability still has an upper hand in decision-making</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Demand momentum may continue to reflect in presales: We expect presales momentum to continue, driven by high affordability, stable prices, and overall positive sentiment for real estateMortgage rate increase is yet to meaningfully reflect in demand destruction as we may be closer to peak of interest rate tighteningAffordability still has an upper hand in decision-makingContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Real Estate (Q2FY23 Results Preview): Resilient demand

India

Prestige Estates Projects Ltd. develops real estate.  The Company builds residential projects including apartments, villas, plotted developments and integrated townships; commercial projects including corporate office buildings and technology parks; hotels and resorts; and retail buildings.

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Prestige Estates Projects (PEPL IN)

Real Estate - Stable Performance

Going by the numbers for FY23 reported to date by top developers, we expect annual presales for most of them to surpass their previous highs

HDFC Securities

Prestige Estates: Strong Visibility on Launches and Rental Ramp Up.

We attended the Prestige Estates (PEPL) analyst meet in Mumbai where it showcased its roadmap for the next five years. PEPL has achieved INR 90bn...

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: ONGC, Bata India, Prestige Estates, Radico Khaitan

We maintain our BUY recommendation on ONGC with a target price of INR 170, based on (1) an increase in crude price realisation and (2) an...

HDFC Securities

Real Estate (Q3FY23 Results Preview): Resilient Performance

Post the recent interest rate hikes, loan eligibility has reduced, resulting in a larger funding requirement for down payments. Another 50bps...

HDFC Securities

Real Estate (Q2FY23 Results Preview): Resilient demand

We expect presales momentum to continue, driven by high affordability, stable prices, and overall positive sentiment for real estate

HDFC Securities

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