Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Rex American Resources / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass).</li>
<li>We will maintain our bullish outlook as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the SPX is above 6028-6059. Short-term supports on SPX include 6400-6410, 6200, 6100-6150, and 6028-6059.</li>
<li>SPX is testing 6400-6410 now, but QQQ and IWM are violating short-term supports at $572 and $226, respectively. This makes us believe we could see some near-term downside; buy pullbacks.</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass).
We will maintain our bullish outlook as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the SPX is above 6028-6059. Short-term supports on SPX include 6400-6410, 6200, 6100-6150, and 6028-6059.
SPX is testing 6400-6410 now, but QQQ and IWM are violating short-term supports at $572 and $226, respectively. This makes us believe we could see some near-term downside; buy pullbacks.


Staying Bullish Despite Near-Term Pullback Potential; Buy Pullbacks

Research from Water Tower Research, Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research

Research from Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research is a leading equity research firm that provides research on micro, small and mid cap companies.

Water Tower Research was founded by Wall Street veterans after witnessing a fundamental shift in the investment research industry with the result being a declining knowledge base among investors, a lack of awareness and a shrinking pool of fundamental research being conducted on companies across the small-cap and micro-cap spectrum. The same issues are now increasingly occurring in the mid-cap space. This sea change within the investment community is impacting not only the companies themselves but also current shareholders and potential investors. With significantly less active sell-side sponsorship by Wall Street, a substantial information gap has developed between companies and various constituents in the financial community. The net result is fewer channels for insight and information to flow between companies and investors.

Equity Research Firm

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Trump’s pick for CDC director, former Congressman Dave Weldon, had his nomination withdrawn just hours before the Senate committee hearing.</li><li>Weldon lacked sufficient support from Republicans to clear the committee, as he adhered to his anti-vaccine views more strongly than RFK Jr.</li><li>While vaccine makers (PFE, MRNA, BNTX, NVAX) rebounded briefly on the news, other federal actions kept the space under pressure, including the termination of NIH grants for research on vaccine hesitancy and uptake. </li></ul>

Trump’s pick for CDC director, former Congressman Dave Weldon, had his nomination withdrawn just hours before the Senate committee hearing.Weldon lacked sufficient support from Republicans to clear the committee, as he adhered to his anti-vaccine views more strongly than RFK Jr.While vaccine makers (PFE, MRNA, BNTX, NVAX) rebounded briefly on the news, other federal actions kept the space under pressure, including the termination of NIH grants for research on vaccine hesitancy and uptake. 

Biopharma Week in Review - March 17, 2025

<ul><li>Market uncertainty and further disruptions at health agencies led to continued divergence between SMID-cap and large biopharma, as investors sought shelter in lower- <span style="font-size: var(--content-font-size);">risk, higher-quality names. </span></li><li><span style="font-size: var(--content-font-size);">Trump nominees, Martin Makary for </span>the FDA and Jay Bhattacharya for the NIH, appeared on course for Senate confirmations after relatively uncontentious hearings, but both provided little confidence that they would stop or reverse the draconian changes at these agencies.</li><li>NIH grant funding has not resumed despite a judge ruling against the cuts. RFK Jr. changed his stance on the measles outbreak, from not unusual to deeply concerned, as the second death occurred in an unvaccinated adult.</li></ul>

Market uncertainty and further disruptions at health agencies led to continued divergence between SMID-cap and large biopharma, as investors sought shelter in lower- risk, higher-quality names. Trump nominees, Martin Makary for the FDA and Jay Bhattacharya for the NIH, appeared on course for Senate confirmations after relatively uncontentious hearings, but both provided little confidence that they would stop or reverse the draconian changes at these agencies.NIH grant funding has not resumed despite a judge ruling against the cuts. RFK Jr. changed his stance on the measles outbreak, from not unusual to deeply concerned, as the second death occurred in an unvaccinated adult.

Biopharma Week in Review - March 10, 2025

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

<ul>
<li>Daiichi Sankyo announced positive topline result from the phase 3 trial of Enhertu in gastric cancer. Kyorin Pharmaceutical outlicensed KRP-M223, a preclinical mast-cell-targeting candidate for chronic spontaneous urticaria, to Novartis.</li>
<li>Celltrion received FDA approval for Stoboclo and Osenvelt, biosimilars referencing Prolia and Xgeva, respectively. Zydus Lifesciences expects to start the development of world’s first combination vaccine against shigellosis and typhoid.</li>
<li>Biocon received FDA approval for lenalidomide capsules, indicated for types of multiple myeloma, and some other hematologic indications and dasatinib tablets for the treatment of chronic myeloid leukemia.</li>
</ul>


Daiichi Sankyo announced positive topline result from the phase 3 trial of Enhertu in gastric cancer. Kyorin Pharmaceutical outlicensed KRP-M223, a preclinical mast-cell-targeting candidate for chronic spontaneous urticaria, to Novartis.
Celltrion received FDA approval for Stoboclo and Osenvelt, biosimilars referencing Prolia and Xgeva, respectively. Zydus Lifesciences expects to start the development of world’s first combination vaccine against shigellosis and typhoid.
Biocon received FDA approval for lenalidomide capsules, indicated for types of multiple myeloma, and some other hematologic indications and dasatinib tablets for the treatment of chronic myeloid leukemia.


APAC Healthcare Weekly (Mar 9)- Daiichi Sankyo, Kyorin Pharma, Celltrion, Zydus Lifesciences, Biocon

<ul><li>We review last week’s biopharma news for meaningful clinical data, regulatory updates, research innovation, and M&amp;A.</li><li>The short holiday week saw another controversial name picked for NIH head, PSTX was acquired by RHHBY, AMGN underwhelmed with obesity data, and Medicare proposed to cover LLY and NVO obesity drugs.</li><li>In addition, SRPT filled its pipeline with ARWR assets, BHVN’s poor SMA results benefited SRRK, and MRK expanded its PAH drug benefit.</li></ul>

We review last week’s biopharma news for meaningful clinical data, regulatory updates, research innovation, and M&amp;A.The short holiday week saw another controversial name picked for NIH head, PSTX was acquired by RHHBY, AMGN underwhelmed with obesity data, and Medicare proposed to cover LLY and NVO obesity drugs.In addition, SRPT filled its pipeline with ARWR assets, BHVN’s poor SMA results benefited SRRK, and MRK expanded its PAH drug benefit.

Biopharma Week in Review - December 2, 2024

United States

Protagonist Therapeutics, Inc. operates as a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company. The Company focuses on discovering and developing peptide-based new chemical entities to address significant unmet medical needs. Protagonist Therapeutics serves customers worldwide.

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Protagonist Therapeutics (PTGX US)

Staying Bullish Despite Near-Term Pullback Potential; Buy Pullbacks

Buying a pullback; SPX testing 6400-6410 now, but QQQ and IWM are violating short-term supports at $572 and $226. This makes us believe we could...

Vermilion Research

Biopharma Week in Review - March 17, 2025

Trump’s pick for CDC director, former Congressman Dave Weldon, had his nomination withdrawn just hours before the Senate committee hearing.

Water Tower Research

Biopharma Week in Review - March 10, 2025

Market uncertainty and further disruptions at health agencies led to continued divergence between SMID-cap and large biopharma, as investors sought...

Water Tower Research

APAC Healthcare Weekly (Mar 9)- Daiichi Sankyo, Kyorin Pharma, Celltrion, Zydus Lifesciences, Biocon

APAC healthcare companies continued to get approvals for new products and initiates clinical trials. The companies continued with acquisitions and...

Tina Banerjee

Biopharma Week in Review - December 2, 2024

The short holiday week saw another controversial name picked for NIH head, PSTX was acquired by RHHBY, AMGN underwhelmed with obesity data

Water Tower Research

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